Worrisome-Hay — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$247

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.2%

Resolved

Trades

248

lifetime

Volume

$1.32K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 05-27 03:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Politics

48% 54% $-78

Other

46% 46% $-158

Crypto

6% 45% $-11

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades on file.

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	30	$192	18,285	268	+18,017	Yes	$-96	04-24 17:52
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	18	$120	277	89	+189	Yes	+$16	03-08 14:04
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	6	$79	51	51	+0	Yes	+$23	01-31 06:06
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	7	$60	63	63	+0	Yes	+$4	04-12 16:07
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	4	$58	305	0	+305	No	$-58	02-03 16:16
will the government shutdown last 7 days or more 188 769 669 728 992	10	$56	513	0	+513	No	$-56	02-03 07:32
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	2	$51	31	31	+0	Yes	+$11	04-06 06:00
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	5	$46	28	28	+0	No	+$6	04-08 09:58
will the government shutdown last 14 days or more 343 693 775 861 153	6	$40	1,150	0	+1,150	No	$-40	02-03 07:33
another us government shutdown by february 14	7	$39	96	59	+38	No	$-15	02-13 17:17
will any of trumps greenland tariffs go into effect by feb 1	3	$39	24	24	+0	No	+$9	01-22 13:56
will the dhs shutdown last 30 days or more 945 663	12	$37	133	133	+0	Yes	$-31	03-12 00:26
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	4	$31	76	76	+0	Yes	+$1	04-07 23:32
will the government shutdown last 7 days or more 131 166 287 285 292 389	3	$31	31	31	+0	No	+$19	02-13 07:04
will the dhs shutdown last 60 days or more 988 872 151 791 415 422	7	$29	34	34	+0	Yes	+$13	04-09 08:51
will the dhs shutdown last 21 days or more 531	8	$26	189	154	+34	Yes	$-16	03-04 01:44
Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?	2	$24	16	16	+0	No	+$4	01-30 17:49
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	5	$24	214	0	+214	Yes	$-24	04-21 04:40
ice shooter fired by march 31	2	$23	83	83	+0	No	+$3	02-01 05:56
will the government shutdown last 14 days or more 222 434 555 498 766	3	$21	16	16	+0	No	+$7	02-13 07:05
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$21	16	16	+0	No	+$11	03-26 15:06
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	5	$19	300	300	+0	No	$-15	01-31 16:02
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$14	9	9	+0	No	+$4	04-01 05:21
btc updown 5m 1773725100	4	$13	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	03-17 05:30
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	2	$13	35	0	+35	Yes	+$22	01-29 14:40
Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?	2	$13	7	7	+0	No	+$1	01-30 08:27
will trump visit china by march 31	2	$12	7	7	+0	No	+$2	03-26 04:38
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	2	$12	8	8	+0	Yes	+$2	04-08 09:15
internet access restored in iran by friday 263	2	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$1	01-30 07:27
will the government shutdown last 6 days or more 888	2	$11	157	0	+157	No	$-11	02-03 14:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-27 03:06:44	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	58	4¢	$2	0xc18877…
05-11 10:45:38	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x3b643f…
05-10 15:15:35	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x533ac5…
05-07 06:19:21	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x2f2d4d…
04-24 17:52:18	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xd15fc8…
04-24 17:49:40	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x2d10dc…
04-24 14:11:16	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x1bb853…
04-24 14:08:34	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x93e2ae…
04-24 06:12:58	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xc30100…
04-22 17:55:44	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xc44609…
04-22 17:54:46	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x3d86bb…
04-21 10:27:26	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xe0c048…
04-21 04:40:38	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x11c26b…
04-21 04:40:34	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x9cb5ad…
04-20 22:53:44	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0xed2182…
04-20 17:14:46	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x3f22a4…
04-20 14:21:56	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x5838de…
04-20 13:08:52	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x0a43dd…
04-20 05:26:32	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	88	17¢	$15	0x3ad9d7…
04-20 05:02:54	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	268	18¢	$48	0x1dceee…
04-13 16:50:09	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x3d3397…
04-13 15:35:45	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x74c8d2…
04-13 14:30:57	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	15	43¢	$6	0xfe0e9e…
04-13 06:49:55	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	12	45¢	$5	0xf4fa3c…
04-13 04:27:53	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0xd7a705…
04-12 16:45:51	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x4718ae…
04-12 16:12:05	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x10850b…
04-12 16:08:57	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x58c13d…
04-12 16:07:49	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	63	50¢	$32	0xfaec87…
04-12 09:33:35	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xa63be1…
04-12 09:16:55	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xfa0b83…
04-12 06:54:21	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x4493ba…
04-12 06:53:51	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x7cfc26…
04-12 03:19:51	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x669f6a…
04-12 02:53:35	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x402afb…
04-11 17:49:53	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0xbdf72e…
04-11 17:49:19	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	32	28¢	$9	0x485dab…
04-11 11:26:57	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x75bbd3…
04-09 09:02:33	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x4e5c8f…
04-09 09:02:27	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x2283be…
04-09 08:51:07	will the dhs shutdown last 60 days or more 988 872 151 791 415 422	Yes	SELL	18	90¢	$16	0xd1aea5…
04-09 04:29:11	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x240725…
04-08 10:38:51	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x48919f…
04-08 10:32:17	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x000a10…
04-08 10:30:13	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xf73ef9…
04-08 10:02:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xb70e08…
04-08 09:58:55	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x0942af…
04-08 09:58:29	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	SELL	28	91¢	$26	0x4d8c61…
04-08 09:35:47	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xae970d…
04-08 09:33:49	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x183a8e…
04-08 09:15:59	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x49b565…
04-08 09:15:27	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	SELL	8	85¢	$7	0xe30ea9…
04-08 09:08:29	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0xc08e9c…
04-08 05:58:15	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x911597…
04-08 05:57:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x3ed3eb…
04-07 23:44:33	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	SELL	30	5¢	$2	0xe3f2f3…
04-07 23:32:47	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	76	21¢	$16	0x59a550…
04-07 23:08:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 10	No	BUY	59	13¢	$8	0x2ed7e5…
04-07 15:11:59	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x579b89…
04-07 02:04:27	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x528638…
04-06 13:13:55	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x64d740…
04-06 06:02:45	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x21bd4b…
04-06 06:00:59	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x75dfae…
04-02 06:41:21	will the dhs shutdown last 60 days or more 988 872 151 791 415 422	Yes	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0xf5b80a…
04-02 01:54:35	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x30652f…
04-02 01:52:05	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x4b64d4…
04-01 05:21:15	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xe4f51f…
03-30 09:41:22	btc updown 5m 1774863600	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x2bd348…
03-30 09:40:48	btc updown 5m 1774863300	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x13754c…
03-30 09:37:14	btc updown 5m 1774863300	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x5934ae…
03-30 09:30:56	btc updown 5m 1774863000	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xdbe0d3…
03-30 09:28:48	btc updown 5m 1774862700	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x990268…
03-30 09:27:58	btc updown 5m 1774862700	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xf1caac…
03-30 06:31:42	btc updown 5m 1774851900	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xc69eea…
03-30 06:28:00	btc updown 5m 1774851900	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x552905…
03-30 06:02:18	btc updown 5m 1774850400	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xf08f8d…
03-30 06:01:34	btc updown 5m 1774850100	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8d17f1…
03-30 05:58:40	btc updown 5m 1774850100	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x930ba4…
03-30 05:53:10	btc updown 5m 1774849800	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x53b96e…
03-30 00:06:36	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x77cb26…
03-30 00:05:44	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xeaf16e…
03-29 16:45:26	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xf50503…
03-28 13:26:53	will the dhs shutdown last 60 days or more 988 872 151 791 415 422	No	SELL	12	18¢	$2	0x22e433…
03-28 06:25:13	will the dhs shutdown last 60 days or more 988 872 151 791 415 422	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x27fc0f…
03-28 06:14:01	will the dhs shutdown last 60 days or more 988 872 151 791 415 422	No	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x65075e…
03-28 03:10:39	will the dhs shutdown last 60 days or more 988 872 151 791 415 422	Yes	SELL	4	69¢	$2	0x58b4e8…
03-27 15:54:37	will the dhs shutdown last 44 days or more 544	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xa99b67…
03-27 08:53:33	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x5aab30…
03-27 08:53:25	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x927a9f…
03-26 15:08:43	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xdf49bc…
03-26 15:06:33	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x557797…
03-26 15:06:17	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	16	96¢	$16	0xd002d1…
03-26 04:39:21	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xd43d62…
03-26 04:38:05	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x2aacf3…
03-24 05:16:39	will the dhs shutdown last 60 days or more 988 872 151 791 415 422	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xd40438…
03-18 04:55:57	btc updown 5m 1773809700	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xea1300…
03-18 04:53:51	btc updown 5m 1773809400	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x218a11…
03-17 13:37:43	btc updown 5m 1773754500	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x46cc90…
03-17 13:37:17	btc updown 5m 1773754500	Up	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0xb1f152…
03-17 13:35:37	btc updown 5m 1773754500	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xad90f6…