Adolescent-Examiner — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

94.6%

Resolved

Trades

270

lifetime

Volume

$5.15K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-03

last 06-09 18:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

39% 100% +$4

Other

35% 50% $-0

Sports

14% — —

Politics

11% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes		+500	$5	1¢	$5	$-0	06-09 12:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 6?	2	$396	200	200	+0	No	+$4	05-06 14:35
will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	10	$249	125	125	+0	open	—	03-31 04:01
Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?	10	$237	119	119	+0	No	+$0	04-27 08:58
will the us invade iran by march 31	37	$231	871	871	+0	open	—	03-27 12:45
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	10	$201	101	101	+0	open	—	03-31 04:01
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 6?	2	$200	102	102	+0	Yes	+$0	05-06 14:38
will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of march	8	$190	95	95	+0	open	—	03-24 05:12
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	11	$189	95	95	+0	open	—	03-27 01:44
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	6	$154	77	77	+0	open	—	04-17 03:35
will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	6	$148	74	74	+0	open	—	03-14 16:12
highest temperature in london on april 22 2026 16c	15	$133	131	131	+0	open	—	04-22 13:39
Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?	6	$129	65	65	+0	open	—	03-15 04:45
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	5	$109	67	42	+25	open	—	02-23 12:26
Will Solana reach $160 in April?	6	$105	53	53	+0	open	—	04-22 13:23
Will the Vancouver Canucks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$102	51	51	+0	open	—	03-02 14:04
Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	4	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	03-16 17:04
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	4	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	02-23 08:07
will gold gc hit high 6600 by end of march	4	$96	48	48	+0	open	—	03-31 04:02
Will Leandro Rocha win Big Brother Brasil 26?	5	$96	48	48	+0	open	—	04-20 00:45
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$94	47	47	+0	open	—	04-18 04:26
will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	4	$90	45	45	+0	open	—	02-19 08:08
elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 65 89	5	$82	100	100	+0	open	—	04-07 06:23
will afd win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	5	$81	41	41	+0	open	—	03-19 11:49
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$80	40	40	+0	open	—	03-31 04:03
rh quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 01 2026 2pt22	4	$70	100	100	+0	open	—	03-20 12:33
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 15?	3	$69	47	22	+25	open	—	05-15 11:46
ewy up or down on april 10 2026	3	$66	50	50	+0	open	—	04-10 06:47
Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	03-09 07:10
will ethereum reach 2800 april 6 12	3	$60	41	19	+22	open	—	04-10 11:39
will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	2	$58	29	29	+0	open	—	02-27 14:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 18:34:07	will solana reach 130 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	67	1¢	$1	0xe3d83a…
06-09 12:11:13	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xc92ec5…
06-09 09:11:48	will solana reach 130 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x7a7889…
06-08 11:13:46	Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	116	4¢	$5	0x894f4f…
06-07 11:49:15	Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x775570…
06-07 11:48:48	Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	4¢	$1	0xa1832c…
06-07 11:45:07	will solana reach 130 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	400	1¢	$4	0xb7d308…
06-03 01:20:12	Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?	Yes	SELL	200	2¢	$3	0x04675d…
05-29 18:07:51	Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0x93877d…
05-15 11:46:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x38f3ac…
05-15 11:43:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 15?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x51dd2c…
05-15 10:27:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x43243d…
05-06 14:38:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 6?	Yes	SELL	102	98¢	$100	0x9fb7bf…
05-06 14:35:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 6?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x3afc88…
05-06 09:06:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 6?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0xb357a8…
05-06 08:20:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xc39595…
05-06 07:50:24	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xebae6c…
05-04 05:32:26	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xeb4bbd…
05-03 05:23:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x642dce…
04-27 08:58:48	Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xbe6984…
04-27 05:07:22	Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x300c8f…
04-24 20:32:56	Will Z.ai have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x6d8008…
04-22 14:24:46	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 360 379	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x6a4022…
04-22 13:39:40	highest temperature in london on april 22 2026 16c	Yes	SELL	31	59¢	$18	0xc7f655…
04-22 13:34:20	bitcoin above 82k on april 22	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x2d4039…
04-22 13:23:24	Will Solana reach $160 in April?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x21678a…
04-22 12:28:12	highest temperature in london on april 22 2026 16c	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xfe972e…
04-22 12:28:12	highest temperature in london on april 22 2026 16c	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xa39f7c…
04-22 12:28:12	highest temperature in london on april 22 2026 16c	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x8b2e06…
04-22 12:28:12	highest temperature in london on april 22 2026 16c	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x650db8…
04-22 12:28:12	highest temperature in london on april 22 2026 16c	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x5d0eb8…
04-22 12:28:12	highest temperature in london on april 22 2026 16c	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x4da220…
04-22 12:28:12	highest temperature in london on april 22 2026 16c	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x3f7b42…
04-22 12:14:58	highest temperature in london on april 22 2026 16c	No	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0x884d6b…
04-22 12:08:28	highest temperature in london on april 22 2026 16c	No	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0x86e1a9…
04-22 12:02:22	highest temperature in london on april 22 2026 16c	Yes	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0x093f00…
04-22 12:02:10	highest temperature in london on april 22 2026 16c	Yes	SELL	6	62¢	$4	0x0510d6…
04-22 12:00:28	highest temperature in london on april 22 2026 16c	Yes	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xc6741a…
04-22 12:00:08	highest temperature in london on april 22 2026 16c	Yes	SELL	33	62¢	$20	0xa7c409…
04-22 11:40:14	highest temperature in london on april 22 2026 16c	Yes	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0x3e6004…
04-20 00:45:04	Will Leandro Rocha win Big Brother Brasil 26?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x6c45c9…
04-18 04:26:40	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x2ce78a…
04-17 13:09:58	Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xa82d89…
04-17 03:54:12	Will Solana reach $160 in April?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa65dae…
04-17 03:37:42	Will Solana reach $160 in April?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xfd377d…
04-17 03:36:44	Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x936ad1…
04-17 03:35:40	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x48f116…
04-14 12:59:45	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xed268a…
04-13 10:41:09	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xdcb2f2…
04-12 06:36:41	Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x57588e…
04-10 17:55:47	Will Leandro Rocha win Big Brother Brasil 26?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1d90b6…
04-10 13:52:07	Will Solana reach $160 in April?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x4f3b55…
04-10 12:52:11	Will Leandro Rocha win Big Brother Brasil 26?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x5e9f26…
04-10 11:39:13	will ethereum reach 2800 april 6 12	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x34b940…
04-10 06:47:31	ewy up or down on april 10 2026	Up	SELL	7	68¢	$5	0xd85d4f…
04-10 06:47:29	ewy up or down on april 10 2026	Up	SELL	43	68¢	$29	0xbe70fc…
04-10 06:26:07	Will Solana reach $160 in April?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x9cfdf4…
04-10 06:20:03	ewy up or down on april 10 2026	Up	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0x8e41ee…
04-10 06:19:17	will ethereum reach 2800 april 6 12	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x7e3d8d…
04-10 06:16:05	Will Leandro Rocha win Big Brother Brasil 26?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x5eb43f…
04-10 06:13:17	Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xbc9a99…
04-10 06:11:41	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x9b0843…
04-10 06:08:17	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xfe4e85…
04-08 22:31:47	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xee1cf2…
04-08 12:20:43	Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x506161…
04-07 23:14:13	will ethereum reach 2800 april 6 12	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xe0da37…
04-07 21:10:41	Will Solana reach $160 in April?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xf13332…
04-07 12:44:47	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xf6fea3…
04-07 07:31:15	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x2076c9…
04-07 07:30:25	Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x0b48f0…
04-07 06:23:27	elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 65 89	Yes	SELL	50	38¢	$19	0xf92e22…
04-07 06:04:19	elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 65 89	Yes	BUY	48	46¢	$22	0x5ce0b4…
04-07 06:04:13	elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 65 89	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xfaecb6…
04-07 06:02:11	elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 40 64	Yes	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0xf53466…
04-07 05:48:09	elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 40 64	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x15f3a3…
04-07 05:47:09	elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 40 64	Yes	BUY	40	34¢	$14	0x60c7e6…
04-07 05:23:09	elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 65 89	Yes	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0x9f5d07…
04-07 05:01:51	elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 65 89	Yes	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0x7a0aeb…
04-05 14:29:11	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x47e152…
04-03 14:49:51	Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xebb8d0…
04-03 12:35:33	ethereum above 2200 on april 3	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x67aa02…
04-03 12:11:41	Will Evan Mobley win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xf360c3…
04-03 12:07:55	Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x716b7f…
04-03 12:06:03	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x45844f…
04-03 09:34:27	Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xe9d0c1…
03-31 21:52:23	Will Leandro Rocha win Big Brother Brasil 26?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x228480…
03-31 10:39:47	donald trump of truth social posts march 24 march 31 80 99	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x7a11db…
03-31 10:39:09	donald trump of truth social posts march 24 march 31 80 99	Yes	BUY	52	37¢	$19	0xd723cc…
03-31 10:39:03	donald trump of truth social posts march 24 march 31 80 99	Yes	BUY	40	37¢	$15	0x1a7669…
03-31 09:53:19	donald trump of truth social posts march 24 march 31 100 119	Yes	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x139335…
03-31 09:45:05	donald trump of truth social posts march 24 march 31 100 119	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xf343b2…
03-31 09:45:05	donald trump of truth social posts march 24 march 31 100 119	Yes	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x0ffff5…
03-31 09:13:31	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xa0e4b3…
03-31 09:07:17	Will Evan Mobley win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x1a05c5…
03-31 04:03:23	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x86eaa5…
03-31 04:03:09	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x0f88c5…
03-31 04:02:49	will crude oil cl hit low 40 by end of march 777 183 974 725 949 716 258 533 859 313 659 847	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x783d5f…
03-31 04:02:29	will gold gc hit high 6600 by end of march	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xd35035…
03-31 04:01:15	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xa8d80c…
03-31 04:01:01	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x2041c5…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	50	$9.33K	7,688	04-21 20:18
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	48	$133.6K	2,700	06-09 16:51
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	38	$2.79K	972	06-09 15:52
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	36	$27.2K	374	06-07 21:34
Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81	35	$972	500	03-27 17:57
Spirited-Motion 0x70b6…aa2f	34	$1.64K	848	04-18 16:50
Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44	34	$632	702	06-05 07:10
Frightened-Kitsch 0x58fd…43a6	33	$629	2,293	05-15 13:46