Attentive-Observation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$7.08K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$114

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 05-24 15:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

70% 100% +$1

Politics

22% — —

Other

7% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	2	$248	124	124	+0	open	—	05-12 05:23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?	2	$247	124	124	+0	Yes	+$0	05-08 00:57
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	2	$244	122	122	+0	open	—	05-19 14:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?	2	$244	122	122	+0	open	—	05-23 14:39
bitcoin above 64k on april 20	2	$244	122	122	+0	open	—	04-20 13:09
bitcoin above 64k on april 13	2	$243	122	122	+0	open	—	04-13 01:27
bitcoin above 62k on march 27	2	$241	121	121	+0	open	—	03-27 14:44
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	2	$209	105	105	+0	open	—	03-15 23:47
Iran leadership change by March 13?	2	$206	104	104	+0	open	—	03-14 09:10
Fabric FDV above $50M one day after launch?	2	$205	103	103	+0	open	—	02-27 23:31
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	2	$205	102	104	-2	open	—	02-27 04:11
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$204	107	107	+0	open	—	02-28 23:53
will the us next strike iran on february 24 2026 et	2	$200	101	101	+0	open	—	02-25 08:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	1	$124	124	0	+124	Yes	+$0	05-11 01:41
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 6?	1	$124	124	0	+124	Yes	+$0	05-05 06:24
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	1	$123	123	0	+123	open	—	04-30 14:33
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 28?	1	$123	123	0	+123	open	—	04-27 12:57
bitcoin above 70k on april 24	1	$123	123	0	+123	open	—	04-23 15:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	1	$122	122	0	+122	open	—	05-24 15:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	1	$122	122	0	+122	open	—	05-19 14:48
dota2 xtreme sar1 2026 04 20	1	$122	123	0	+123	open	—	04-20 13:14
bitcoin above 66k on april 17	1	$122	122	0	+122	open	—	04-16 04:46
Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$122	122	0	+122	open	—	04-14 04:45
bitcoin above 66k on april 13	1	$121	122	0	+122	open	—	04-13 13:17
bitcoin above 62k on april 11	1	$121	121	0	+121	open	—	04-10 03:26
bitcoin above 60k on april 8	1	$121	121	0	+121	open	—	04-07 23:45
bitcoin above 58k on april 7	1	$121	121	0	+121	open	—	04-06 07:49
bitcoin above 62k on april 1	1	$121	121	0	+121	open	—	04-01 04:55
Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?	1	$121	121	0	+121	open	—	03-31 04:59
bitcoin above 60k on march 30	1	$121	121	0	+121	open	—	03-30 05:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 15:39:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x2bc6d5…
05-23 14:39:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?	No	SELL	122	100¢	$122	0xdc17bd…
05-23 02:08:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	122	99¢	$122	0xa21e31…
05-19 14:48:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x562a4d…
05-19 14:10:17	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	No	SELL	122	100¢	$122	0x567337…
05-19 13:27:35	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0xfe19c2…
05-12 05:23:42	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	SELL	124	100¢	$124	0x457b06…
05-12 05:05:58	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0xabb326…
05-11 01:41:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0x0d0123…
05-08 00:57:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?	Yes	SELL	124	100¢	$124	0xc0bc97…
05-07 00:37:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0xf53fbe…
05-05 06:24:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0x6032ed…
04-30 14:33:16	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0xfcba78…
04-27 12:57:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x02659d…
04-23 15:49:28	bitcoin above 70k on april 24	Yes	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x4472bb…
04-20 13:14:02	dota2 xtreme sar1 2026 04 20	South America Rejects	BUY	123	99¢	$122	0xee586b…
04-20 13:09:10	bitcoin above 64k on april 20	Yes	SELL	122	100¢	$122	0x59a1b3…
04-18 06:41:20	bitcoin above 64k on april 20	Yes	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x037b5f…
04-16 04:46:32	bitcoin above 66k on april 17	Yes	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x3b8159…
04-14 04:45:17	Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x0f60fe…
04-13 13:17:01	bitcoin above 66k on april 13	Yes	BUY	122	100¢	$121	0xfc580d…
04-13 01:27:43	bitcoin above 64k on april 13	Yes	SELL	122	100¢	$121	0x71161e…
04-11 23:44:47	bitcoin above 64k on april 13	Yes	BUY	122	100¢	$121	0x7f6940…
04-10 03:26:57	bitcoin above 62k on april 11	Yes	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0x2577fc…
04-07 23:45:01	bitcoin above 60k on april 8	Yes	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0xe5c536…
04-06 07:49:31	bitcoin above 58k on april 7	Yes	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0xbb3298…
04-01 04:55:51	bitcoin above 62k on april 1	Yes	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0x623294…
03-31 04:59:53	Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0x60767e…
03-30 05:07:02	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0xdc78ea…
03-28 16:15:49	bitcoin above 58k on march 29	Yes	BUY	121	100¢	$120	0xd933cd…
03-27 14:44:11	bitcoin above 62k on march 27	Yes	SELL	121	100¢	$120	0x4513d8…
03-27 13:11:43	bitcoin above 62k on march 27	Yes	BUY	121	100¢	$120	0x689789…
03-26 13:17:13	bitcoin above 66k on march 26	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x3f8f50…
03-24 11:10:09	bitcoin above 64k on march 25	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x2b1a35…
03-23 11:18:53	bitcoin above 64k on march 23	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$119	0xd29e6b…
03-21 07:19:47	bitcoin above 62k on march 22	Yes	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x58f02f…
03-20 18:24:39	cbb liub arz 2026 03 20	Arizona Wildcats	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0xf3cf24…
03-20 04:14:01	cbb kenest gnzg 2026 03 19	Gonzaga Bulldogs	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0xf7f23f…
03-19 00:52:13	cbb geows utahv 2026 03 18	George Washington Revolutionaries	BUY	119	92¢	$109	0x4c3d16…
03-18 03:22:11	nhl sj edm 2026 03 17	Oilers	BUY	109	97¢	$106	0xab9ea9…
03-16 02:15:27	bitcoin above 66k on march 17	Yes	BUY	106	99¢	$105	0xfbc253…
03-15 23:47:23	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	No	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0x8c86c5…
03-14 09:11:33	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	No	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0xa62199…
03-14 09:10:31	Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0x3c5460…
03-12 14:09:17	Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	BUY	104	98¢	$102	0x124f14…
03-10 05:15:43	bitcoin above 84k on march 11	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x971340…
03-09 05:25:19	ethereum above 1600 on march 9	Yes	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x2e28f2…
03-07 12:04:11	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 7th	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x17d813…
03-06 03:51:33	Opinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x7591f1…
03-04 01:35:33	bitcoin above 56k on march 5	Yes	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x156782…
03-02 14:16:07	bitcoin above 54k on march 3	Yes	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x61517d…
03-02 02:12:35	will bitcoin dip to 60k february 23 march 1	No	BUY	102	100¢	$101	0x883079…
02-28 23:53:25	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	107	95¢	$101	0x751878…
02-28 22:41:01	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	107	97¢	$103	0x60fcfa…
02-28 03:32:23	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	103	99¢	$103	0xc55594…
02-27 23:31:57	Fabric FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x513d5f…
02-27 10:33:17	Fabric FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$102	0xcd6e4d…
02-27 04:11:16	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xa41c97…
02-26 10:29:58	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	No	SELL	104	98¢	$102	0x5b6afb…
02-25 09:41:00	us strikes iran by february 25 2026	No	BUY	103	98¢	$101	0xbcb667…
02-25 08:46:20	will the us next strike iran on february 24 2026 et	No	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x8d64cf…
02-24 05:31:58	will the us next strike iran on february 24 2026 et	No	BUY	101	98¢	$99	0x654599…