Awkward-Topsail — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$7.38K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$109

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 05-24 15:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

61% 67% +$0

Politics

26% — —

Other

12% 0% $-0

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	2	$251	127	127	+0	open	—	05-12 05:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 24?	2	$247	124	124	+0	open	—	05-23 14:28
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	2	$247	124	124	+0	open	—	05-19 13:48
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Resilience - Game 2 Winner	2	$241	125	125	+0	open	—	05-02 10:44
Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$223	112	112	+0	No	$-0	04-26 14:09
bitcoin above 64k on april 13	2	$222	111	111	+0	open	—	04-13 01:27
military action against iran ends on march 20 2026	2	$217	109	109	+0	open	—	03-22 01:19
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	2	$208	104	104	+0	open	—	03-15 23:47
Fabric FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$205	103	103	+0	open	—	02-28 00:49
Iran leadership change by March 13?	2	$205	104	104	+0	open	—	03-14 08:53
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$203	106	106	+0	open	—	02-28 23:51
will the us next strike iran on february 24 2026 et	3	$200	101	101	+0	open	—	02-25 08:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?	1	$126	0	126	-126	Yes	$-0	05-08 00:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	1	$126	126	0	+126	Yes	+$0	05-11 01:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 6?	1	$125	125	0	+125	Yes	+$0	05-05 06:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	1	$124	124	0	+124	open	—	05-24 15:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	1	$123	124	0	+124	open	—	05-19 14:39
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	1	$117	117	0	+117	open	—	04-30 14:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 28?	1	$117	117	0	+117	open	—	04-27 12:48
bitcoin above 70k on april 24	1	$112	112	0	+112	open	—	04-23 15:39
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 3 Winner	1	$112	117	0	+117	open	—	04-26 14:57
bitcoin above 66k on april 22	1	$112	112	0	+112	open	—	04-21 05:05
bitcoin above 64k on april 20	1	$111	112	0	+112	open	—	04-18 06:32
bitcoin above 66k on april 17	1	$111	111	0	+111	open	—	04-16 04:37
Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$111	111	0	+111	open	—	04-14 04:34
bitcoin above 66k on april 13	1	$111	111	0	+111	open	—	04-13 13:07
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 12 2026	1	$111	111	0	+111	open	—	04-13 05:01
bitcoin above 62k on april 11	1	$111	111	0	+111	open	—	04-10 03:20
bitcoin above 60k on april 8	1	$111	111	0	+111	open	—	04-07 23:32
bitcoin above 56k on april 7	1	$110	111	0	+111	open	—	04-06 07:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 15:31:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0x359a9f…
05-23 14:28:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 24?	No	SELL	124	100¢	$124	0x10201a…
05-23 01:20:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	124	100¢	$123	0x2145f4…
05-19 14:39:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	124	100¢	$123	0x6995ee…
05-19 13:48:16	Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	No	SELL	124	100¢	$124	0x006c70…
05-19 13:19:55	Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0x115afa…
05-12 05:17:45	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	127	99¢	$125	0x5d0150…
05-12 04:52:23	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	127	99¢	$126	0x848a7a…
05-11 01:29:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x1c5d79…
05-08 00:55:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?	Yes	SELL	126	100¢	$126	0xd67245…
05-05 06:16:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x7e902c…
05-02 10:44:32	Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Resilience - Game 2 Winner	Team Resilience	SELL	125	100¢	$125	0x6ac00e…
05-02 10:28:44	Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Resilience - Game 2 Winner	Team Resilience	BUY	125	93¢	$116	0xe74791…
04-30 14:15:24	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0xf8a7a8…
04-27 12:48:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0xd5320d…
04-26 14:57:18	Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 3 Winner	BetBoom Team	BUY	117	96¢	$112	0x35f93b…
04-26 14:09:32	Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	112	100¢	$112	0x355241…
04-26 14:06:04	Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0xc38b0c…
04-23 15:39:40	bitcoin above 70k on april 24	Yes	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x86e63d…
04-21 05:05:24	bitcoin above 66k on april 22	Yes	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0xa86419…
04-18 06:32:56	bitcoin above 64k on april 20	Yes	BUY	112	100¢	$111	0xc34c07…
04-16 04:37:36	bitcoin above 66k on april 17	Yes	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x4ebcf7…
04-14 04:34:57	Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0xfead0b…
04-13 13:07:51	bitcoin above 66k on april 13	Yes	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x5e8bfe…
04-13 05:01:17	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 12 2026	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0xcece7d…
04-13 01:27:43	bitcoin above 64k on april 13	Yes	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0x71161e…
04-11 23:35:05	bitcoin above 64k on april 13	Yes	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0xc9c5d2…
04-10 03:20:15	bitcoin above 62k on april 11	Yes	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x5b380b…
04-07 23:32:27	bitcoin above 60k on april 8	Yes	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x520177…
04-06 07:42:41	bitcoin above 56k on april 7	Yes	BUY	111	100¢	$110	0x235a30…
04-01 05:07:07	bitcoin above 62k on april 1	Yes	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xfad10b…
03-31 04:53:11	Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xf2c045…
03-30 05:00:12	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x9266b0…
03-28 16:08:31	bitcoin above 58k on march 29	Yes	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xf1cd42…
03-27 08:05:29	bitcoin above 76k on march 27	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xdd1b9e…
03-26 13:06:05	bitcoin above 66k on march 26	Yes	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xe87213…
03-24 10:59:11	bitcoin above 64k on march 25	Yes	BUY	110	100¢	$109	0x88b844…
03-23 11:09:19	bitcoin above 64k on march 23	Yes	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x008a11…
03-22 09:04:31	will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 22	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x102dd3…
03-22 01:44:29	cbb vcu ill 2026 03 21	Illinois Fighting Illini	BUY	109	100¢	$108	0x29e0ba…
03-22 01:19:35	military action against iran ends on march 20 2026	No	SELL	109	100¢	$108	0xaf9548…
03-20 08:09:11	military action against iran ends on march 20 2026	No	BUY	109	100¢	$108	0x5fee79…
03-20 03:35:17	cbb stlou ga 2026 03 19	Saint Louis Billikens	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x16be1c…
03-19 00:57:15	cbb kentst illst 2026 03 18	Illinois State Redbirds	BUY	108	99¢	$107	0xf56d90…
03-18 03:26:05	nhl sj edm 2026 03 17	Oilers	BUY	107	98¢	$105	0x9bc1f6…
03-16 02:02:35	bitcoin above 62k on march 17	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$104	0xf0bea1…
03-15 23:47:23	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	No	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0x8c86c5…
03-14 08:57:09	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	No	BUY	104	99¢	$103	0x95acbc…
03-14 08:53:59	Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	SELL	104	100¢	$103	0x3ddcdf…
03-12 13:59:31	Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	BUY	104	98¢	$101	0x8d012c…
03-10 05:25:13	bitcoin above 84k on march 11	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x03ae78…
03-09 05:13:01	ethereum above 1600 on march 9	Yes	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xc24ef3…
03-07 11:56:09	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 7th	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xd27454…
03-06 03:44:57	Opinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xe3a7cd…
03-04 01:12:41	bitcoin above 58k on march 5	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xe2cbf1…
03-02 14:06:59	bitcoin above 54k on march 3	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xfee8bd…
03-02 02:03:55	will bitcoin dip to 60k february 23 march 1	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe09efb…
02-28 23:51:33	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	106	94¢	$100	0xe45ee6…
02-28 22:56:43	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	106	97¢	$103	0x115fdb…
02-28 03:57:01	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x9ee654…
02-28 00:49:33	Fabric FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x40a6ee…
02-27 10:21:35	Fabric FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$102	0xf1ad8f…
02-27 04:05:56	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x441fa9…
02-26 10:23:00	will the us next strike iran on february 26 2026 et	No	SELL	104	98¢	$102	0x6186f4…
02-25 09:33:58	us strikes iran by february 25 2026	No	BUY	103	98¢	$101	0x1f96de…
02-25 08:44:26	will the us next strike iran on february 24 2026 et	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x8dfb90…
02-25 08:43:52	will the us next strike iran on february 24 2026 et	No	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0xb91c35…
02-24 04:51:20	will the us next strike iran on february 24 2026 et	No	BUY	101	98¢	$99	0x101960…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Messy-Globe 0x0638…0965	49	$6.57K	58	05-24 15:31
Those-Procedure 0x0d95…0c83	48	$6.49K	58	05-24 15:31
Showy-Dig 0x598c…9f0c	48	$6.42K	59	05-24 15:31
Ornery-Bankbook 0x9b77…91a2	47	$6.43K	57	05-24 15:31
Bold-Lox 0x9e10…a8ac	47	$6.37K	57	05-24 15:31
Bad-Punch 0x06bc…9377	47	$6.17K	57	05-24 15:31
Twin-Importance 0x8b81…df2a	47	$6.10K	56	05-24 15:31
Well-Worn-Bag 0xb4b4…4ac6	46	$6.03K	53	05-24 15:31