Immediate-Alteration — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$50

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$946

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 05-14 01:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 32% $-50

Politics

8% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$100	5,408	0	+5,408	Up	$-100	05-13 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	1	$97	184	0	+184	Up	+$88	05-13 20:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	2	$82	111	111	+0	Down	+$32	05-13 20:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	1	$50	79	0	+79	Down	$-50	05-13 23:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	1	$50	109	0	+109	Down	+$59	05-13 23:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	2	$42	4,212	0	+4,212	Up	$-42	05-13 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$38	96	96	+0	Up	$-12	05-13 21:29
Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$38	50	50	+0	open	—	05-13 20:40
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$36	41	41	+0	open	—	05-13 20:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	13	$31	179	31	+147	Down	$-22	05-13 21:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	1	$25	78	0	+78	Up	$-25	05-13 21:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	1	$25	39	0	+39	Down	$-25	05-13 21:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$25	107	0	+107	Down	$-25	05-13 23:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	1	$25	64	0	+64	Up	$-25	05-13 23:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$25	181	0	+181	Down	+$156	05-13 20:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	1	$25	69	0	+69	Up	$-25	05-13 23:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	1	$25	41	0	+41	Up	$-25	05-13 23:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	1	$25	55	0	+55	Up	$-25	05-13 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	1	$25	66	0	+66	Down	$-25	05-13 23:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$25	51	0	+51	Down	+$26	05-13 21:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	1	$25	69	0	+69	Down	+$44	05-13 23:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$25	54	0	+54	Up	$-25	05-13 20:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	1	$25	37	0	+37	Down	+$12	05-13 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	1	$20	48	0	+48	Up	$-20	05-14 01:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	1	$16	30	0	+30	Down	+$14	05-13 20:27
will trump say crypto or bitcoin during healthcare event	1	$10	212	0	+212	open	—	04-23 18:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	1	$5	125	0	+125	Down	$-5	05-13 23:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$5	250	0	+250	Down	$-5	05-13 20:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 01:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	48	41¢	$20	0xa7d43d…
05-13 23:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x3e21fe…
05-13 23:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0xeefd31…
05-13 23:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0x4d06a8…
05-13 23:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x94d09d…
05-13 23:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0x3b1c81…
05-13 23:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0x1a9e8a…
05-13 23:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0x682cd9…
05-13 23:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	107	23¢	$25	0x80a732…
05-13 23:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0x96e147…
05-13 21:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x44943d…
05-13 21:41:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x091302…
05-13 21:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0xaa1dd4…
05-13 21:34:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	55	46¢	$25	0x188711…
05-13 21:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	96	14¢	$13	0x74eabf…
05-13 21:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	96	26¢	$25	0xd7f651…
05-13 21:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x500fec…
05-13 21:13:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	31	15¢	$5	0x9415f3…
05-13 21:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0xf57c94…
05-13 21:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xea000b…
05-13 21:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x735112…
05-13 21:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	43	15¢	$6	0x72df6e…
05-13 21:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x6c84a4…
05-13 21:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x531d7c…
05-13 21:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x128982…
05-13 21:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xfa4737…
05-13 21:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0xd59c81…
05-13 21:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x705cca…
05-13 21:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x540c48…
05-13 21:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x1fe4eb…
05-13 20:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	184	53¢	$97	0xebf196…
05-13 20:52:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	111	52¢	$57	0x573638…
05-13 20:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	111	23¢	$25	0x5668bd…
05-13 20:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2,096	2¢	$49	0xfd1328…
05-13 20:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3,311	2¢	$51	0xbb19e1…
05-13 20:40:38	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	41	40¢	$16	0xe1e4bf…
05-13 20:40:36	Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	50	36¢	$18	0xd8663b…
05-13 20:36:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0x36ad00…
05-13 20:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1,712	1¢	$17	0xb864c8…
05-13 20:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0x840478…
05-13 20:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0x9c36c8…
05-13 20:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x9bc7be…
05-13 20:12:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	181	14¢	$25	0x0415d6…
05-13 20:10:11	Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xf2cc45…
05-13 20:03:27	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xf54316…
04-23 18:31:24	will trump say crypto or bitcoin during healthcare event	Yes	BUY	212	5¢	$10	0x165cac…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	25	$30.1K	316	05-14 01:02
(anonymous) 0xf8e3…fd17	25	$23.6K	2,257	05-14 01:04
Nice-Prejudice 0xfb0f…0b02	25	$18.8K	4,464	05-14 01:04
Svelte-Chicory 0x9412…0cd0	25	$18.4K	1,555	05-14 01:03
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	25	$13.1K	1,121	05-14 01:03
(anonymous) 0x3375…a69c	25	$12.1K	1,518	05-14 01:04
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	25	$10.5K	819	05-14 01:02
Weird-Peak 0x9f5f…a008	25	$7.71K	881	05-14 01:03