Nervous-Secret — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

-$10

Hit rate

40.3%

Resolved

Trades

102

lifetime

Volume

$3.77K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

$22

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 06-06 18:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

50% — —

Politics

36% 50% +$0

Tech

11% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Sports

0% 0% $-8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	Yes	+286	$20	6¢	$16	$-4	06-06 13:55
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	+444	$8	1¢	$4	$-4	06-02 15:35
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	Yes	+308	$4	1¢	$2	$-2	06-02 15:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Trump out as President by April 30?	2	$397	200	200	+0	open	—	04-15 05:18
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	3	$396	200	200	+0	open	—	04-15 10:40
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$393	200	200	+0	open	—	04-08 08:17
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$393	200	200	+0	open	—	04-15 05:11
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	6	$324	166	166	+0	open	—	05-13 07:54
will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	3	$304	200	200	+0	open	—	04-24 05:04
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	6	$273	271	271	+0	Yes	$-0	04-24 05:29
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	3	$240	501	501	+0	open	—	05-15 08:33
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	2	$190	100	100	+0	No	+$0	05-04 08:07
donald trump of truth social posts march 17 march 24 100 119	4	$90	100	100	+0	open	—	03-20 18:49
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	12	$87	328	329	-1	open	—	05-22 15:02
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?	4	$70	83	83	+0	open	—	05-28 08:58
will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	2	$61	286	286	+0	open	—	06-05 16:24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	2	$50	25	25	+0	open	—	05-13 11:35
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	3	$45	529	529	+0	open	—	05-04 11:49
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $156 in May?	3	$44	50	50	+0	open	—	05-28 08:14
donald trump of truth social posts march 20 march 27 120 139	2	$43	28	28	+0	open	—	03-27 11:57
will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	3	$40	50	50	+0	open	—	06-06 18:54
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $380 in May?	2	$37	25	25	+0	open	—	05-23 06:42
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	05-22 13:25
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	2	$29	20	20	+0	open	—	06-01 07:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$26	14	14	+0	open	—	05-17 07:53
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	2	$25	41	41	+0	open	—	05-15 08:50
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?	2	$24	40	40	+0	open	—	06-01 09:02
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	2	$24	12	12	+0	open	—	01-25 15:02
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	1	$20	286	0	+286	open	—	06-06 13:55
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in May?	2	$20	48	48	+0	open	—	05-28 08:02
kr quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 18 2026 1pt58	2	$17	20	20	+0	open	—	06-06 07:23
will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score between 1490 and 1500	1	$13	20	0	+20	open	—	06-06 07:07
Will Russia capture Myropillia by July 31?	4	$12	41	41	+0	open	—	06-01 08:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 18:54:10	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0xdf98ea…
06-06 13:55:51	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	Yes	BUY	286	7¢	$20	0x05899d…
06-06 08:08:58	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	No	SELL	30	30¢	$9	0x63137c…
06-06 07:46:01	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	No	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0xfad787…
06-06 07:23:46	kr quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 18 2026 1pt58	No	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x512192…
06-06 07:23:07	kr quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 18 2026 1pt58	No	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x9dd0e0…
06-06 07:07:15	will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score between 1490 and 1500	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x669eab…
06-05 16:24:39	will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	286	18¢	$51	0x12000e…
06-02 15:35:59	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	444	2¢	$8	0x0e988d…
06-02 15:34:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?	Yes	BUY	286	3¢	$10	0x68e382…
06-02 15:32:34	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x725f55…
06-02 15:31:58	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	308	1¢	$4	0x30df0a…
06-01 09:02:52	Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?	Yes	SELL	40	21¢	$8	0x7a7932…
06-01 08:38:58	Will Russia capture Myropillia by July 31?	Yes	SELL	40	15¢	$6	0x6907be…
06-01 08:37:22	Will Russia capture Myropillia by July 31?	Yes	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0xfa230c…
06-01 07:54:31	Will Russia capture Myropillia by July 31?	Yes	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0x09f27e…
06-01 07:54:07	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	Yes	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0xae30a4…
06-01 07:49:15	Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?	Yes	BUY	40	40¢	$16	0x6c0583…
06-01 07:48:52	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x1c73b0…
06-01 07:47:35	Will Russia capture Myropillia by July 31?	Yes	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x687b8d…
05-28 08:58:23	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	21¢	$11	0x80a804…
05-28 08:17:58	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 in May?	Yes	SELL	32	4¢	$1	0xe05522…
05-28 08:15:31	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 in May?	Yes	BUY	32	6¢	$2	0xac7e34…
05-28 08:14:16	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $156 in May?	Yes	SELL	49	43¢	$21	0xa1e65f…
05-28 08:13:25	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $156 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	46¢	$0	0x3cc292…
05-28 08:11:19	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $156 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0xf65316…
05-28 08:02:48	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in May?	Yes	SELL	48	20¢	$10	0x93c14b…
05-28 08:02:23	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in May?	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xc87232…
05-28 08:00:03	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0x6a52a6…
05-28 07:35:23	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?	No	SELL	33	63¢	$21	0x51b122…
05-28 07:34:53	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?	No	BUY	33	64¢	$21	0xcdf0cb…
05-27 19:33:53	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	Yes	BUY	80	8¢	$6	0x678365…
05-23 07:10:51	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $128 in May?	No	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0xe3171c…
05-23 07:09:28	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $128 in May?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x4e08ca…
05-23 06:42:19	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $380 in May?	Yes	SELL	25	74¢	$18	0xe567d1…
05-23 06:41:35	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $380 in May?	Yes	BUY	25	74¢	$18	0xa64794…
05-22 15:02:10	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x3234da…
05-22 13:25:41	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xf009d5…
05-19 05:25:34	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x4ef1f3…
05-17 11:30:09	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x528f73…
05-17 07:53:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	14	94¢	$13	0x68806b…
05-17 06:10:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0xceb86d…
05-15 08:50:40	Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	Nigma Galaxy	SELL	41	30¢	$12	0xe8df40…
05-15 08:38:00	Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	Nigma Galaxy	BUY	41	30¢	$12	0x1acc02…
05-15 08:33:06	LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	GIANTX	SELL	458	24¢	$110	0xa8e42a…
05-15 08:31:56	LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	GIANTX	SELL	43	24¢	$10	0x0ec6e2…
05-15 08:29:17	LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	GIANTX	BUY	501	24¢	$120	0xb28027…
05-13 11:35:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x9b1bf1…
05-13 08:37:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x37a529…
05-13 07:54:50	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	31	98¢	$31	0xf4f685…
05-13 07:08:40	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$31	0x76e464…
05-13 05:13:20	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x97503e…
05-13 04:32:25	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	35	98¢	$34	0x97f5b2…
05-13 04:16:59	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x5dfb3d…
05-13 04:16:58	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x23db45…
05-13 03:25:15	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0x3b4988…
05-07 01:50:12	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	SELL	38	0¢	$0	0xeeb33e…
05-06 18:04:38	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	38	21¢	$8	0xc4871f…
05-04 16:16:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	291	2¢	$6	0x515e6f…
05-04 11:49:44	Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	SELL	273	5¢	$13	0x0c4b8b…
05-04 11:49:04	Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	SELL	256	5¢	$13	0x756eec…
05-04 09:58:16	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	102	2¢	$2	0x8071dc…
05-04 09:40:56	Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	529	4¢	$20	0xeec0dd…
05-04 09:26:26	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0xee04e1…
05-04 09:24:22	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	41	2¢	$1	0x302b37…
05-04 08:56:36	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x47959a…
05-04 08:53:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xff561e…
05-04 08:52:56	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	111	2¢	$2	0xcaf012…
05-04 08:20:56	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0x0462b5…
05-04 08:07:42	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0xdb720e…
05-04 07:58:36	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x98907a…
05-04 07:54:56	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xfdc1ff…
04-24 05:29:12	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	200	51¢	$103	0x6e8352…
04-24 05:28:36	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xea96c9…
04-24 05:28:10	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	177	52¢	$91	0xff39c2…
04-24 05:27:50	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0xbe25fc…
04-24 05:04:20	will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	Yes	SELL	200	76¢	$152	0xcd7736…
04-24 05:03:52	will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	Yes	BUY	154	76¢	$117	0xa073eb…
04-24 05:03:02	will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	Yes	BUY	46	76¢	$35	0xb209b3…
04-24 04:55:10	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	No	SELL	71	47¢	$34	0x505636…
04-24 04:54:40	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	No	BUY	71	47¢	$33	0x298a24…
04-15 10:40:48	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0xd1241c…
04-15 08:43:36	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	122	99¢	$121	0xc95fdc…
04-15 08:17:40	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	78	99¢	$77	0x72a67c…
04-15 05:18:10	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0x56ee0c…
04-15 05:17:04	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x672901…
04-15 05:11:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	200	98¢	$196	0x0be0ce…
04-15 04:15:50	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$197	0x36d352…
04-08 08:17:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	200	98¢	$197	0xdeffa7…
04-08 05:50:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	98¢	$197	0xf70115…
03-27 11:57:53	donald trump of truth social posts march 20 march 27 120 139	No	SELL	28	92¢	$25	0x36dc21…
03-25 11:51:55	donald trump of truth social posts march 20 march 27 120 139	No	BUY	28	65¢	$18	0x40b807…
03-23 18:51:23	will crude oil cl hit low 90 by end of march 217 921	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x0c537e…
03-21 20:31:09	nba lal orl 2026 03 21	Magic	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xa7e963…
03-20 18:49:09	donald trump of truth social posts march 17 march 24 100 119	Yes	SELL	100	45¢	$45	0x104e5c…
03-20 18:33:19	donald trump of truth social posts march 17 march 24 80 99	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x3b7592…
03-20 18:29:37	donald trump of truth social posts march 17 march 24 100 119	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x2393f0…
03-20 18:29:23	donald trump of truth social posts march 17 march 24 100 119	Yes	BUY	83	45¢	$37	0x792714…
03-20 18:28:55	donald trump of truth social posts march 17 march 24 100 119	Yes	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xec112c…
03-20 18:09:35	donald trump of truth social posts march 17 march 24 80 99	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x8ec8ec…