Nervous-Secret — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.3%

Resolved

Trades

151

lifetime

Volume

$4.19K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 08-15 14:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

51% — —

Politics

33% 50% +$0

Tech

13% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Sports

1% 0% $-8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Trump out as President by April 30?	2	$397	200	200	+0	open	—	04-15 05:18
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	3	$396	200	200	+0	open	—	04-15 10:40
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$393	200	200	+0	open	—	04-08 08:17
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$393	200	200	+0	open	—	04-15 05:11
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	6	$324	166	166	+0	open	—	05-13 07:54
will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	3	$304	200	200	+0	open	—	04-24 05:04
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	6	$273	271	271	+0	Yes	$-0	04-24 05:29
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	3	$240	501	501	+0	open	—	05-15 08:33
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	2	$190	100	100	+0	No	+$0	05-04 08:07
gpt 5pt6 released by july 7 2026	6	$98	100	100	+0	open	—	07-06 02:53
donald trump of truth social posts march 17 march 24 100 119	4	$90	100	100	+0	open	—	03-20 18:49
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	12	$87	328	329	-1	open	—	05-22 15:02
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?	4	$70	83	83	+0	open	—	05-28 08:58
will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	2	$61	286	286	+0	open	—	06-05 16:24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	2	$50	25	25	+0	open	—	05-13 11:35
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	3	$45	529	529	+0	open	—	05-04 11:49
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $156 in May?	3	$44	50	50	+0	open	—	05-28 08:14
donald trump of truth social posts march 20 march 27 120 139	2	$43	28	28	+0	open	—	03-27 11:57
will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	3	$40	50	50	+0	open	—	06-06 18:54
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $380 in May?	2	$37	25	25	+0	open	—	05-23 06:42
will coin reach 170 by july 6 2026	2	$36	20	20	+0	open	—	07-06 02:15
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	2	$34	286	286	+0	open	—	06-16 12:35
will coin reach 172 50 by july 6 2026	2	$33	20	20	+0	open	—	07-06 02:50
will the next claude opus model be released by july 17 2026	2	$32	20	20	+0	open	—	07-15 06:36
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	05-22 13:25
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	2	$29	20	20	+0	open	—	06-01 07:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$26	14	14	+0	open	—	05-17 07:53
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	2	$25	41	41	+0	open	—	05-15 08:50
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?	2	$24	40	40	+0	open	—	06-01 09:02
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	2	$24	12	12	+0	open	—	01-25 15:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-15 14:04:21	pikachu ex price up down on august 31 20260814122817111	Up	SELL	15	33¢	$5	0xac43b7…
08-15 05:53:25	celebrations ultra premium collection price up down on august 31 20260814122817101	Up	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0xc9b18a…
08-15 05:53:13	will kamu kirk be evicted in big brother season 28 week 6	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x6b69aa…
08-15 05:52:58	will latrice verrett be evicted in big brother season 28 week 6	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x55193f…
08-15 05:44:16	will kamu kirk be evicted in big brother season 28 week 6	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x0537f2…
08-15 05:38:39	mega gengar ex price up down on august 31 20260814122817110	Up	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xc9e5c0…
08-15 05:37:25	pikachu ex price up down on august 31 20260814122817111	Up	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x95be4f…
08-15 05:36:52	will kamu kirk be evicted in big brother season 28 week 6	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0xa2b63c…
08-15 05:09:06	charizard ex price up down on august 31 20260814122817115	Up	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x67598a…
08-15 05:07:45	mega charizard y ex price up down on august 31 20260814122817113	Down	SELL	6	80¢	$4	0x67ca1b…
08-15 05:03:46	mega charizard y ex price up down on august 31 20260814122817113	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$4	0x4fb353…
08-15 04:50:27	blooming waters premium collection price up down on august 31 20260814122817106	Up	SELL	14	10¢	$1	0xfe2696…
08-15 04:49:40	blooming waters premium collection price up down on august 31 20260814122817106	Up	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0x0c2701…
08-15 04:33:57	will latrice verrett be evicted in big brother season 28 week 6	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x73aa1f…
08-15 04:33:24	will kamu kirk be evicted in big brother season 28 week 6	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x61fb10…
08-15 04:20:42	charizard ex price up down on august 31 20260814122817115	Up	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x263b2b…
08-15 04:13:45	celebrations ultra premium collection price up down on august 31 20260814122817101	Up	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x2507a0…
08-15 04:13:00	blooming waters premium collection price up down on august 31 20260814122817106	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x8768d4…
08-10 06:17:51	will trump say lindsey 5 times during tele rally 20260809153916660	Yes	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0xc6ec1e…
08-10 05:53:48	will kai or speed die to a piglin 20260808122806768	No	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0x022e0f…
08-10 05:53:22	will kai or speed die to a piglin 20260808122806768	No	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x8b0b90…
08-10 05:49:58	will trump say lindsey 5 times during tele rally 20260809153916660	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x52ea4f…
07-15 06:36:20	will the next claude opus model be released by july 17 2026	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x1fee6c…
07-15 06:34:55	will the next claude opus model be released by july 17 2026	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x3845b3…
07-15 06:32:25	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653	No	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0x7922a9…
07-15 06:30:41	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x1b63a9…
07-13 06:28:22	will ewy reach 188 by july 13 2026	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x4e776f…
07-13 06:27:35	will ewy reach 188 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x826be3…
07-13 06:26:44	will mu dip to 810 by july 13 2026	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0xa93dd7…
07-13 06:26:08	will mu dip to 810 by july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x22f8f6…
07-06 02:53:56	gpt 5pt6 released by july 7 2026	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x0519e5…
07-06 02:53:07	gpt 5pt6 released by july 7 2026	Yes	BUY	22	6¢	$1	0x1034eb…
07-06 02:53:04	gpt 5pt6 released by july 7 2026	Yes	BUY	28	6¢	$2	0x55a237…
07-06 02:50:10	will coin reach 172 50 by july 6 2026	Yes	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0x9beb2f…
07-06 02:47:59	will coin reach 172 50 by july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x7b7039…
07-06 02:47:26	will ewy dip to 178 by july 6 2026	No	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x4baa83…
07-06 02:46:58	gpt 5pt6 released by july 7 2026	No	SELL	50	93¢	$46	0x6d9c06…
07-06 02:44:46	will ewy dip to 178 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xd378e8…
07-06 02:42:59	gpt 5pt6 released by july 7 2026	No	BUY	49	92¢	$45	0xafeae4…
07-06 02:35:17	gpt 5pt6 released by july 7 2026	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x5b81a5…
07-06 02:15:40	will ewy dip to 180 by july 6 2026	No	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0xbc7391…
07-06 02:15:25	will ewy dip to 180 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x1638a5…
07-06 02:15:11	will coin reach 170 by july 6 2026	Yes	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0xba90c0…
07-06 02:14:55	will coin reach 170 by july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x6d25c7…
07-02 07:57:20	will kylian mbappe score 10 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x6fe017…
07-02 07:55:53	will kylian mbappe score 10 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x438c90…
06-21 21:46:50	ebola pandemic in 2026	Yes	SELL	150	8¢	$12	0xdabbd2…
06-21 08:52:13	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	444	0¢	$1	0x595607…
06-16 12:35:36	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	Yes	SELL	286	5¢	$14	0xf5c013…
06-06 18:54:10	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0xdf98ea…
06-06 13:55:51	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	Yes	BUY	286	7¢	$20	0x05899d…
06-06 08:08:58	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	No	SELL	30	30¢	$9	0x63137c…
06-06 07:46:01	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	No	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0xfad787…
06-06 07:23:46	kr quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 18 2026 1pt58	No	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x512192…
06-06 07:23:07	kr quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 18 2026 1pt58	No	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x9dd0e0…
06-06 07:07:15	will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score between 1490 and 1500	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x669eab…
06-05 16:24:39	will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	286	18¢	$51	0x12000e…
06-02 15:35:59	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	444	2¢	$8	0x0e988d…
06-02 15:34:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?	Yes	BUY	286	3¢	$10	0x68e382…
06-02 15:32:34	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x725f55…
06-02 15:31:58	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	308	1¢	$4	0x30df0a…
06-01 09:02:52	Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?	Yes	SELL	40	21¢	$8	0x7a7932…
06-01 08:38:58	Will Russia capture Myropillia by July 31?	Yes	SELL	40	15¢	$6	0x6907be…
06-01 08:37:22	Will Russia capture Myropillia by July 31?	Yes	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0xfa230c…
06-01 07:54:31	Will Russia capture Myropillia by July 31?	Yes	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0x09f27e…
06-01 07:54:07	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	Yes	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0xae30a4…
06-01 07:49:15	Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?	Yes	BUY	40	40¢	$16	0x6c0583…
06-01 07:48:52	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x1c73b0…
06-01 07:47:35	Will Russia capture Myropillia by July 31?	Yes	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x687b8d…
05-28 08:58:23	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	21¢	$11	0x80a804…
05-28 08:17:58	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 in May?	Yes	SELL	32	4¢	$1	0xe05522…
05-28 08:15:31	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 in May?	Yes	BUY	32	6¢	$2	0xac7e34…
05-28 08:14:16	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $156 in May?	Yes	SELL	49	43¢	$21	0xa1e65f…
05-28 08:13:25	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $156 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	46¢	$0	0x3cc292…
05-28 08:11:19	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $156 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0xf65316…
05-28 08:02:48	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in May?	Yes	SELL	48	20¢	$10	0x93c14b…
05-28 08:02:23	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in May?	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xc87232…
05-28 08:00:03	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0x6a52a6…
05-28 07:35:23	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?	No	SELL	33	63¢	$21	0x51b122…
05-28 07:34:53	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?	No	BUY	33	64¢	$21	0xcdf0cb…
05-27 19:33:53	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	Yes	BUY	80	8¢	$6	0x678365…
05-23 07:10:51	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $128 in May?	No	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0xe3171c…
05-23 07:09:28	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $128 in May?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x4e08ca…
05-23 06:42:19	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $380 in May?	Yes	SELL	25	74¢	$18	0xe567d1…
05-23 06:41:35	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $380 in May?	Yes	BUY	25	74¢	$18	0xa64794…
05-22 15:02:10	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x3234da…
05-22 13:25:41	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xf009d5…
05-19 05:25:34	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x4ef1f3…
05-17 11:30:09	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x528f73…
05-17 07:53:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	14	94¢	$13	0x68806b…
05-17 06:10:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0xceb86d…
05-15 08:50:40	Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	Nigma Galaxy	SELL	41	30¢	$12	0xe8df40…
05-15 08:38:00	Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	Nigma Galaxy	BUY	41	30¢	$12	0x1acc02…
05-15 08:33:06	LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	GIANTX	SELL	458	24¢	$110	0xa8e42a…
05-15 08:31:56	LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	GIANTX	SELL	43	24¢	$10	0x0ec6e2…
05-15 08:29:17	LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	GIANTX	BUY	501	24¢	$120	0xb28027…
05-13 11:35:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x9b1bf1…
05-13 08:37:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x37a529…
05-13 07:54:50	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	31	98¢	$31	0xf4f685…
05-13 07:08:40	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$31	0x76e464…