Soft-Rubber — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$385

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.5%

Resolved

Trades

2,158

lifetime

Volume

$260.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$121

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-23 18:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

50% — —

Other

42% 67% $-385

Crypto

7% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	35	$22.1K	13,268	9,578	+3,691	open	—	05-22 09:27
cbb uconn mich 2026 04 06	3	$20.8K	40,000	40,000	+0	open	—	04-06 20:30
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	2	$19.9K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	05-23 13:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	15	$18.6K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	05-26 10:45
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	8	$17.1K	9,242	9,242	+0	open	—	06-12 14:53
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	2	$15.0K	8,000	8,000	+0	open	—	06-07 12:48
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	16	$14.3K	7,400	7,400	+0	open	—	07-22 19:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	7	$12.9K	50,975	50,975	+0	open	—	05-30 19:50
lal rea ala 2026 04 21 ala	20	$9.4K	5,000	4,496	+504	open	—	04-21 20:53
starmer out by june 21 2026	4	$5.9K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	06-21 21:45
cbb uconn ill 2026 04 04	43	$5.8K	3,977	3,844	+133	open	—	04-04 23:47
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	1	$4.6K	0	4,828	-4,828	open	—	06-15 19:12
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	14	$4.5K	1,125	3,618	-2,493	open	—	01-10 20:25
cricipl mum roy 2026 04 12	11	$3.9K	1,951	1,950	+0	open	—	04-12 18:09
ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	24	$3.5K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	04-08 20:48
cricipl raj mum 2026 04 07	8	$3.0K	2,060	1,000	+1,060	open	—	04-07 18:50
cricipl luc guj 2026 04 12	10	$3.0K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	04-12 13:31
cricipl che kol 2026 04 14	23	$2.6K	2,186	2,186	+0	open	—	04-14 14:53
cricipl sun raj 2026 04 13	9	$2.2K	1,150	1,148	+2	open	—	04-13 17:28
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	10	$2.1K	5,005	4,068	+937	open	—	05-16 12:09
uel bol ast4 2026 04 09 ast4	14	$2.1K	1,078	1,078	+0	open	—	04-09 20:51
spx opens up or down on february 27 2026	12	$2.1K	2,200	2,200	+0	open	—	02-27 12:06
lal rea lev 2026 01 17 rea	8	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	01-17 14:42
wti up or down on july 13 2026	6	$1.8K	922	922	+0	open	—	07-13 14:00
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	11	$1.8K	1,132	1,032	+100	open	—	05-25 17:10
spx up or down on march 13 2026	4	$1.6K	800	800	+0	open	—	03-13 19:41
ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 fcb1	11	$1.4K	1,217	417	+800	open	—	04-14 20:51
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	6	$1.3K	700	700	+0	open	—	05-23 22:30
spx opens up or down on february 11 2026	21	$1.2K	1,132	1,132	+0	open	—	02-11 12:39
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	6	$1.2K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-10 15:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 18:30:16	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	Yes	SELL	24	48¢	$12	0xe8e0f6…
07-23 18:27:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	Yes	SELL	379	50¢	$189	0x6c640f…
07-23 18:19:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	Yes	SELL	279	51¢	$142	0xac054b…
07-23 18:14:40	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	Yes	BUY	682	51¢	$348	0x981ff0…
07-22 19:42:01	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	SELL	3,000	98¢	$2,928	0x3c9bbb…
07-22 19:36:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	SELL	2,000	97¢	$1,940	0xa9f303…
07-22 19:35:58	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	SELL	254	96¢	$245	0x80255a…
07-22 19:33:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	SELL	109	96¢	$105	0x9b9d68…
07-22 19:29:13	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	SELL	59	96¢	$57	0xbf6d21…
07-22 19:28:16	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	SELL	56	96¢	$54	0xfb5e49…
07-22 19:25:22	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	SELL	23	96¢	$22	0xf433ae…
07-22 19:21:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	SELL	70	96¢	$67	0xd4e561…
07-22 19:10:37	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	SELL	29	96¢	$28	0xa7b8c1…
07-22 19:10:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	SELL	15	96¢	$15	0xff96de…
07-22 19:10:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	SELL	26	96¢	$25	0x78dc2f…
07-22 19:10:34	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0x9f23a6…
07-22 19:10:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	SELL	916	96¢	$879	0xfeee56…
07-22 19:10:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xca9840…
07-22 19:00:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	SELL	830	96¢	$796	0x49415d…
07-22 18:56:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	BUY	7,400	96¢	$7,097	0x603a8e…
07-19 20:33:01	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	Yes	BUY	76	25¢	$19	0xcb13a6…
07-19 19:18:40	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	Yes	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x3d5533…
07-18 22:38:36	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xc6e83c…
07-14 20:23:38	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0xfb7a37…
07-14 13:03:04	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	198	60¢	$118	0x8207f5…
07-13 18:12:34	us charges hormuz fees by july 17 2026 20260713155039898	No	SELL	500	82¢	$410	0x995ae3…
07-13 17:54:05	us charges hormuz fees by july 17 2026 20260713155039898	No	BUY	500	86¢	$430	0x82f17b…
07-13 14:00:11	wti up or down on july 13 2026	Up	SELL	184	96¢	$177	0xb40a55…
07-13 13:49:58	wti up or down on july 13 2026	Up	SELL	42	97¢	$40	0xaf2391…
07-13 13:42:04	wti up or down on july 13 2026	Up	SELL	111	97¢	$108	0xf6554f…
07-13 13:26:40	wti up or down on july 13 2026	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xe2976e…
07-13 13:24:35	wti up or down on july 13 2026	Up	SELL	583	96¢	$559	0x687df1…
07-13 13:18:34	wti up or down on july 13 2026	Up	BUY	922	96¢	$884	0x74007c…
07-08 17:57:25	will graham platner drop out by july 8	No	SELL	60	79¢	$47	0x7cf815…
07-08 17:54:47	will graham platner drop out by july 8	No	BUY	40	79¢	$32	0xb9dce5…
07-08 17:54:47	will graham platner drop out by july 8	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x28afcb…
07-07 18:03:16	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0x209e2d…
07-07 17:33:01	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	65	15¢	$10	0xfbcdae…
07-06 20:25:34	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 btts	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x50b522…
07-06 20:15:43	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 btts	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x19bded…
07-06 19:56:56	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 btts	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xadf362…
07-06 19:25:31	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 btts	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xed2738…
07-05 20:32:41	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 btts	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x9ab0df…
07-04 21:06:28	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 spread away 1pt5	France	BUY	86	56¢	$48	0xdac279…
06-30 22:28:02	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 btts	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x9d1e62…
06-30 21:14:11	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 btts	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x805839…
06-30 21:11:20	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 btts	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x933d20…
06-30 17:09:11	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 btts	Yes	BUY	81	55¢	$45	0x3eee63…
06-30 17:08:46	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 btts	Yes	BUY	19	55¢	$10	0xdc6d35…
06-29 17:10:32	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 goals vinicius junior gte1	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xed7acd…
06-26 19:44:16	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	SELL	40	41¢	$16	0x146b72…
06-26 19:39:19	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0xd1a33f…
06-26 19:39:17	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x1ea209…
06-26 19:23:32	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 goals kylian mbappe gte2	Yes	SELL	15	23¢	$3	0x91a701…
06-26 18:58:29	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	63	56¢	$35	0xa1e58b…
06-26 18:32:35	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 goals kylian mbappe gte2	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x4714a2…
06-26 18:32:05	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 goals kylian mbappe gte2	Yes	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x70ee45…
06-26 18:31:53	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 goals kylian mbappe gte2	Yes	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xa92db7…
06-26 18:31:26	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 goals kylian mbappe gte2	Yes	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x3af3a3…
06-26 18:31:16	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 goals kylian mbappe gte2	Yes	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xf307c9…
06-25 12:42:58	spx opens up or down on june 25 2026	Up	SELL	95	100¢	$94	0xa3e41d…
06-25 12:33:32	spx opens up or down on june 25 2026	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6074db…
06-25 12:21:55	spx opens up or down on june 25 2026	Up	BUY	71	97¢	$69	0x0f4ff6…
06-25 11:56:31	spx opens up or down on june 25 2026	Up	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0x529767…
06-24 20:40:01	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 btts	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x666618…
06-24 20:24:56	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 btts	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x810e3a…
06-24 20:01:20	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 btts	Yes	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0xebe8dc…
06-24 19:09:07	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 btts	Yes	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x5ff7c3…
06-23 16:10:20	will cameron boozer be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623154918098	Yes	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x6ba0b3…
06-23 16:05:10	will cameron boozer be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623154918098	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xc709e1…
06-22 22:23:25	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x6cd42c…
06-21 21:45:31	starmer out by june 21 2026	No	SELL	2,400	99¢	$2,364	0xf9de44…
06-21 21:44:37	starmer out by june 21 2026	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x4078cd…
06-21 21:40:22	starmer out by june 21 2026	No	SELL	500	98¢	$490	0xd65f6a…
06-21 21:37:52	starmer out by june 21 2026	No	BUY	3,000	98¢	$2,934	0xb497c8…
06-20 00:02:38	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 goals vinicius junior gte1	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x226b1b…
06-15 19:12:30	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	4,828	95¢	$4,582	0x69caa7…
06-12 14:53:42	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	SELL	8,391	89¢	$7,482	0x07115b…
06-12 14:37:03	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xe18d9a…
06-12 14:35:51	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	SELL	751	95¢	$714	0x9c6a77…
06-12 14:28:21	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x173bf3…
06-12 14:27:58	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	SELL	76	94¢	$72	0xf67491…
06-12 14:27:09	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x19a53b…
06-12 14:26:43	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x8e3d83…
06-12 14:07:24	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	BUY	9,242	95¢	$8,780	0x36a342…
06-07 19:29:04	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	SELL	2,100	3¢	$55	0x8445f6…
06-07 19:27:49	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	SELL	900	3¢	$24	0xf5eac5…
06-07 19:26:24	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	SELL	3,000	2¢	$75	0xa05c1e…
06-07 19:17:12	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	6,000	4¢	$270	0x8b2318…
06-07 12:48:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	8,000	94¢	$7,520	0x4f06eb…
06-07 11:19:34	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	8,000	93¢	$7,440	0x600a4e…
06-04 01:02:31	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	Knicks	SELL	25	30¢	$8	0xd6b125…
06-04 00:39:40	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	Knicks	BUY	25	37¢	$9	0x114ae3…
06-01 15:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	45	46¢	$21	0xef8a3c…
06-01 15:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xdd80d6…
06-01 15:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	29	53¢	$15	0x35d683…
06-01 15:36:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x85f96e…
06-01 15:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0x192737…
05-31 17:46:55	Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans	Royal Challengers Bengaluru	SELL	550	100¢	$549	0x17136c…
05-31 17:35:04	Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans	Royal Challengers Bengaluru	BUY	70	99¢	$69	0xcee87f…