Stunning-Confidence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

23.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$123

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-07 01:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 27% $-12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	5	$29	28	19	+8	Down	$-1	05-06 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	3	$15	20	9	+10	Down	$-5	05-06 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Down	+$2	05-06 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Down	+$2	05-06 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	$-0	05-06 22:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	2	$10	10	10	+0	Down	$-0	05-06 22:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	2	$8	10	10	+0	Down	$-2	05-06 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	6	$6	6	4	+2	Up	$-1	05-07 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Up	$-5	05-06 21:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	5	$5	7	3	+4	Up	$-1	05-07 01:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	3	$3	4	1	+3	Up	$-1	05-07 01:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	3	$3	3	1	+2	Down	$-1	05-07 01:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	3	$3	5	2	+3	Down	+$2	05-07 01:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 01:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-06 22:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 01:42:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xc2fd0a…
05-07 01:40:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x2f1f58…
05-07 01:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xfdda84…
05-07 01:36:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xaf17f5…
05-07 01:35:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x92ea63…
05-07 01:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xe83e98…
05-07 01:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x6cb122…
05-07 01:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x1cf3f2…
05-07 01:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x85851a…
05-07 01:26:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	55¢	$1	0x3d98b3…
05-07 01:26:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x7c0810…
05-07 01:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x185ad0…
05-07 01:25:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x5aa2e3…
05-07 01:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xeac6a8…
05-07 01:22:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	28¢	$1	0xb38bf9…
05-07 01:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xb9d63e…
05-07 01:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xce9e0e…
05-07 01:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x5b1142…
05-07 01:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xb623e0…
05-07 01:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x789082…
05-07 01:16:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xd714d8…
05-07 01:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x0a594c…
05-06 22:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xaaaab7…
05-06 22:25:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x7dccae…
05-06 22:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	9	50¢	$5	0x02b2ed…
05-06 22:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xd2d410…
05-06 22:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0x8a9588…
05-06 22:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x0a2789…
05-06 22:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x8177d7…
05-06 22:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x06a2db…
05-06 22:04:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xfcb603…
05-06 22:04:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf1879e…
05-06 21:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xec4be3…
05-06 21:56:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xd9512a…
05-06 21:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xa6b0f3…
05-06 21:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x4d7ec9…
05-06 21:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	12	73¢	$9	0xf800ae…
05-06 21:46:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	8	70¢	$5	0x0dcf81…
05-06 21:46:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x512474…
05-06 21:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xe49f71…
05-06 21:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xb98dae…
05-06 21:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x6bb581…