Likely-Billing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$163

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-16 21:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Sports

88% 58% +$4

Other

8% — —

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)	5	$36	20	20	+0	Timberwolves	+$4	05-05 04:16
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)	4	$18	12	12	+0	Pistons	+$3	05-06 01:31
76ers vs. Celtics	6	$14	15	15	+0	open	—	05-03 01:40
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)	2	$11	10	10	+0	76ers	$-1	05-07 00:22
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	05-03 01:52
Knicks vs. 76ers	2	$9	6	6	+0	Knicks	+$1	05-09 01:15
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)	2	$7	6	6	+0	Thunder	+$1	05-06 02:38
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)	2	$6	6	6	+0	Timberwolves	+$1	05-05 02:14
si hit 90 high jan 2026 157 295 494	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	01-15 04:37
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	2	$5	6	6	+0	Timberwolves	+$1	05-11 00:23
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	2	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	01-14 22:42
Lakers vs. Thunder	2	$4	10	10	+0	Thunder	+$1	05-08 03:14
fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 team total home 1pt5	2	$4	6	0	+6	open	—	06-16 21:44
nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 points jalen brunson 24pt5	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	06-03 23:01
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	05-25 20:05
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	06-08 22:05
ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	06-15 03:35
will 508 meters be said during the taipei 101 climb 262	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	01-25 01:58
us strikes iran by january 13 2026 771	2	$2	35	0	+35	open	—	01-13 22:10
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	1	$2	6	0	+6	Spurs	$-2	05-09 00:31
nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	06-03 23:08
Flyers vs. Hurricanes	1	$2	5	0	+5	Hurricanes	$-2	05-05 02:15
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	1	$1	6	0	+6	Spurs	$-1	05-06 22:08
76ers vs. Knicks	1	$1	7	0	+7	Knicks	$-1	05-05 01:03
maduro mugshot released by january 9	1	$1	6	0	+6	open	—	01-06 04:12
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101	1	$1	36	0	+36	open	—	01-25 01:44
ufc jus3 pad 2026 01 24	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	01-25 04:26
ufc jus3 pad 2026 01 24 go the distance	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	01-25 04:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 21:44:59	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	1	59¢	$1	0xf5fa19…
06-16 21:44:59	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x782284…
06-15 03:35:54	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Alex Pereira	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x6e89ab…
06-08 22:05:40	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x7051a9…
06-03 23:08:07	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	Spurs	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x73f68a…
06-03 23:01:00	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 points jalen brunson 24pt5	Yes	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x6c44e6…
05-25 20:05:41	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xd197a2…
05-11 00:23:08	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x312912…
05-10 23:45:42	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x472467…
05-09 01:15:46	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0xbe1b57…
05-09 00:31:47	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xe7edab…
05-09 00:31:37	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x891a2d…
05-08 03:14:30	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0x608094…
05-08 01:02:47	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x286be9…
05-07 00:22:07	Spread: Knicks (-7.5)	Knicks	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x912065…
05-06 22:56:46	Spread: Knicks (-7.5)	Knicks	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x3b4b98…
05-06 22:08:46	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x1304f9…
05-06 02:38:44	Spread: Thunder (-16.5)	Lakers	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0xbedf40…
05-06 01:31:30	Spread: Pistons (-3.5)	Pistons	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x875a67…
05-05 23:48:50	Spread: Pistons (-3.5)	Pistons	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x39d1e4…
05-05 23:41:18	Spread: Pistons (-3.5)	Pistons	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0xeb32ca…
05-05 05:17:46	Spread: Thunder (-16.5)	Lakers	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x09f6e4…
05-05 05:15:50	Spread: Pistons (-3.5)	Pistons	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x9a9699…
05-05 04:16:54	Spread: Spurs (-10.5)	Timberwolves	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xc929d9…
05-05 03:26:10	Spread: Spurs (-10.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	0	77¢	$0	0xe0827c…
05-05 03:25:40	Spread: Spurs (-10.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xb1175b…
05-05 03:24:50	Spread: Spurs (-10.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	0	82¢	$0	0x0f2e42…
05-05 03:24:46	Spread: Spurs (-10.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x8c44ac…
05-05 02:15:02	Flyers vs. Hurricanes	Flyers	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x21a0e1…
05-05 02:14:52	Spread: Spurs (-9.5)	Timberwolves	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0x3dab75…
05-05 01:11:00	Spread: Spurs (-9.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xf552be…
05-05 01:03:58	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0x7dff9b…
05-03 01:52:40	Spread: Celtics (-8.5)	76ers	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x74ae14…
05-03 01:40:04	76ers vs. Celtics	Celtics	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xa77ffb…
05-03 00:51:50	76ers vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x2ed700…
05-03 00:50:24	76ers vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xf3f952…
05-03 00:50:24	76ers vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x4f416f…
05-03 00:46:10	Spread: Celtics (-8.5)	76ers	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x651be5…
05-03 00:18:14	76ers vs. Celtics	Celtics	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x4c6945…
05-03 00:11:40	76ers vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x3d4389…
01-25 04:26:18	ufc jus3 pad 2026 01 24	Pimblett	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xf94ae1…
01-25 04:26:10	ufc jus3 pad 2026 01 24 go the distance	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xe613d1…
01-25 01:58:42	will 508 meters be said during the taipei 101 climb 262	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd3c5ed…
01-25 01:44:36	will alex honnold free solo taipei 101	No	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x8089cd…
01-15 04:37:44	si hit 90 high jan 2026 157 295 494	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8718be…
01-14 22:42:04	us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	Yes	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xefd5d9…
01-14 22:00:12	us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x6d333b…
01-13 22:10:06	us strikes iran by january 13 2026 771	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x28dffa…
01-12 00:51:50	us strikes iran by january 13 2026 771	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x5b8c1d…
01-06 04:12:19	maduro mugshot released by january 9	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x86be77…