Arctic-Semester — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.3%

Resolved

Trades

253

lifetime

Volume

$891

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-22

last 05-25 17:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

54% 75% +$8

Crypto

44% 40% $-9

Sports

2% 0% $-10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 102 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	8	$17	44	42	+2	open	—	05-24 18:43
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	4	$16	70	70	+0	Down	$-4	05-10 12:38
epl not liv 2026 02 22 total 2pt5	2	$15	12	12	+0	open	—	02-22 15:15
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	1	$15	48	0	+48	open	—	05-22 20:16
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	1	$11	28	0	+28	open	—	05-22 13:31
FK Zenit vs. FK Sochi: O/U 2.5	1	$11	18	0	+18	Over	+$7	05-10 13:15
lol los fur 2026 02 21	2	$10	9	9	+0	open	—	02-22 16:46
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	3	$10	15	10	+5	open	—	05-23 14:56
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	05-22 13:01
UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)	1	$10	27	0	+27	Yaroslav Amosov	$-10	05-07 15:48
PEC Zwolle vs. Heracles Almelo: O/U 3.5	1	$10	24	0	+24	open	—	05-03 11:56
Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 2.5	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	05-05 18:03
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	2	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	05-22 18:37
lol navi gx 2026 02 22 game2	2	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	02-22 17:12
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	4	$8	11	0	+11	open	—	05-24 17:01
highest temperature in nyc on february 25 2026 36 37f	2	$7	234	234	+0	open	—	02-25 11:30
will wintermute be accused of insider trading	2	$7	116	116	+0	open	—	02-25 11:30
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	3	$7	6	4	+3	open	—	05-24 18:33
highest temperature in nyc on february 25 2026 38 39f	2	$7	38	38	+0	open	—	02-25 11:30
highest temperature in london on february 25 2026 17c	2	$7	13	13	+0	open	—	02-25 11:29
highest temperature in paris on february 25 2026 20c	2	$7	15	15	+0	open	—	02-25 08:35
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 12:29
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	2	$6	15	0	+15	open	—	05-22 11:02
Toronto FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 2.5	1	$6	9	0	+9	Over	+$3	05-09 16:42
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	3	$6	5	2	+3	open	—	05-24 18:28
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	3	$6	8	0	+8	open	—	05-24 18:39
lal rea mad 2026 03 22 btts	1	$6	9	0	+9	open	—	03-22 18:32
Konyaspor vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 2.5	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	04-21 17:37
tur gen gal 2026 04 18 total 2pt5	1	$6	9	0	+9	open	—	04-18 16:16
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	3	$6	8	3	+5	open	—	05-24 17:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 17:19:47	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x2a322c…
05-25 17:01:23	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x046a6d…
05-25 16:55:54	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xff5240…
05-25 16:51:04	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x6b287e…
05-25 16:36:46	BNB Up or Down - May 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xcc122e…
05-25 16:34:45	BNB Up or Down - May 25, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	3	21¢	$1	0x5963a9…
05-25 16:34:16	BNB Up or Down - May 25, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x13e9db…
05-25 16:32:08	BNB Up or Down - May 25, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x69244d…
05-25 16:23:40	BNB Up or Down - May 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x224322…
05-25 16:12:51	bnb updown 15m 1779724800	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x8efc2e…
05-25 15:41:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xa5bc7d…
05-25 15:17:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x0d051a…
05-25 14:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xe55a34…
05-25 12:17:15	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xd03e32…
05-25 12:02:08	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x70b802…
05-25 11:32:25	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x22fc3e…
05-25 00:34:23	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x7a6b93…
05-25 00:02:16	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x5b48dd…
05-24 23:47:08	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x385e85…
05-24 23:33:03	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xfed4a8…
05-24 23:17:14	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xc5f5fc…
05-24 23:03:00	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xcf425b…
05-24 21:55:27	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x5730d2…
05-24 21:51:29	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x9b0295…
05-24 21:46:20	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x0b5944…
05-24 21:41:48	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x0e7509…
05-24 21:36:28	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x3dd571…
05-24 21:31:10	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x8868b5…
05-24 21:20:47	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x98ddb6…
05-24 21:01:47	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x156765…
05-24 20:51:44	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x9e64fe…
05-24 20:47:25	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x8de99b…
05-24 20:47:21	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x6047e9…
05-24 20:41:01	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xf484cc…
05-24 20:36:49	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x3f0e93…
05-24 20:27:07	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xd58be7…
05-24 20:27:07	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x986203…
05-24 20:22:41	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	7	45¢	$3	0xdf143e…
05-24 20:22:07	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x1deaa1…
05-24 20:17:57	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x05e9f9…
05-24 20:12:09	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x4479e5…
05-24 20:09:02	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xed1555…
05-24 20:06:36	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x3b0cb9…
05-24 20:01:28	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xe10946…
05-24 19:55:42	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xe7ed03…
05-24 19:51:28	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x3856ec…
05-24 19:45:42	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x6f82ef…
05-24 19:40:55	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x2b24f9…
05-24 19:36:37	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x1a91b7…
05-24 19:26:34	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x68a981…
05-24 19:21:54	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x8f9b4c…
05-24 19:10:47	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x54b1c2…
05-24 19:05:32	xrp updown 5m 1779649500	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x447eaa…
05-24 18:55:18	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x2d8804…
05-24 18:50:32	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x04b96b…
05-24 18:43:17	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x67a366…
05-24 18:43:17	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x13d1da…
05-24 18:42:59	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x3208b6…
05-24 18:42:56	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	33	5¢	$2	0x891b57…
05-24 18:42:50	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x08d416…
05-24 18:42:19	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	21¢	$1	0x81c1b7…
05-24 18:41:18	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xc4827a…
05-24 18:40:36	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x1b247f…
05-24 18:39:01	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x472aa1…
05-24 18:36:01	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xaa16ab…
05-24 18:35:31	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xbfa013…
05-24 18:33:13	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xdb47ab…
05-24 18:33:04	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	4	78¢	$3	0x3fa6f2…
05-24 18:30:32	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xdd4794…
05-24 18:28:57	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0xe51350…
05-24 18:28:24	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x0c8643…
05-24 18:25:38	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x95a44a…
05-24 18:20:32	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x8b70a1…
05-24 18:18:47	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x6e106b…
05-24 18:15:29	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xce399f…
05-24 18:13:44	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x25a409…
05-24 18:10:38	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x9c985a…
05-24 18:05:34	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x0cbb2f…
05-24 18:03:30	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	5¢	$0	0x2fc5a7…
05-24 18:02:35	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xcb7a70…
05-24 18:00:36	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x0594f0…
05-24 17:55:32	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x80f22b…
05-24 17:50:34	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x393822…
05-24 17:46:05	xrp updown 5m 1779644700	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xb22110…
05-24 17:40:36	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x767cab…
05-24 17:36:06	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x19c59d…
05-24 17:30:34	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x57f3d7…
05-24 17:25:35	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x565143…
05-24 17:20:41	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x56b717…
05-24 17:19:01	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0xede475…
05-24 17:17:04	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xb634e7…
05-24 17:15:57	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x79bc48…
05-24 17:11:05	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xac0ed8…
05-24 17:06:06	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x051eb2…
05-24 17:05:39	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x32117d…
05-24 17:01:19	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x540386…
05-24 17:01:15	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x6670dc…
05-24 17:01:08	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xde2f99…
05-24 17:00:31	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x1aaa12…
05-24 16:57:47	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0x291a84…