Expert-Pastry — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$77

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.6%

Resolved

152

Trades

367

lifetime

Volume

$1.74K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 05-07 12:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 76% $-77

Other

12% — —

Sports

3% — —

Politics

1% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	4	$22	13	13	+0	Up	+$2	05-07 06:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	4	$20	18	5	+13	Down	+$3	05-06 06:14
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	4	$20	20	20	+0	Yes	$-0	04-28 22:23
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	4	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	05-05 08:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	4	$19	12	10	+2	Down	+$1	05-05 23:40
sud tig mac 2026 04 16 tig	2	$17	13	13	+0	open	—	04-16 23:20
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	3	$16	13	8	+5	Down	+$1	05-07 07:19
bl2 ksv fck 2026 04 17 ksv	2	$16	11	11	+0	open	—	04-17 17:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	3	$15	19	0	+19	Down	$-15	05-06 06:59
rus ros soc 2026 04 17 total 1pt5	2	$15	21	20	+0	open	—	04-17 17:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	4	$15	11	6	+5	Up	$-0	05-07 10:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	3	$15	17	0	+17	Up	+$3	05-05 09:44
nba phi bos 2026 04 19 spread home 12pt5	2	$14	10	9	+0	open	—	04-19 19:08
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Isurus (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs	3	$13	20	5	+15	open	—	04-29 21:48
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	05-07 07:59
Matsumoto Yamaga FC vs. Júbilo Iwata: O/U 2.5	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	04-29 11:02
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	05-07 06:32
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	04-29 09:35
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	Down	+$2	05-07 07:08
FC Cincinnati vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 3.5	2	$11	11	10	+0	open	—	04-26 00:02
atp dellien taverna 2026 04 16	3	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	04-16 23:18
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	3	$11	11	6	+5	Up	+$2	05-06 22:14
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 07:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 11:48
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	3	$10	23	5	+17	Down	$-2	05-06 22:39
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)	2	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	04-29 17:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 10:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	2	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-03 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	2	$10	11	0	+11	Down	+$1	05-05 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$10	11	0	+11	Up	$-5	05-06 11:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 12:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x54feaa…
05-07 12:12:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	88¢	$6	0x7df0a1…
05-07 12:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x83f936…
05-07 12:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xdf492d…
05-07 12:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xc05432…
05-07 11:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x107348…
05-07 11:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x0b7335…
05-07 11:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x114740…
05-07 11:48:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xf33aea…
05-07 11:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x3bfe70…
05-07 11:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x8dd8f6…
05-07 11:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x683d18…
05-07 11:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xe904ef…
05-07 11:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0x4115a1…
05-07 11:08:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x31f7b4…
05-07 10:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf8a22c…
05-07 10:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x27f3f5…
05-07 10:36:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x14d45c…
05-07 10:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x92cb33…
05-07 10:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x6d9f69…
05-07 10:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xde69a0…
05-07 10:19:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x30ea4a…
05-07 10:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x728d6a…
05-07 10:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x948288…
05-07 09:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd631a0…
05-07 09:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x65aa92…
05-07 09:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xd9a953…
05-07 09:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x55b0b7…
05-07 09:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x2c7641…
05-07 09:29:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0bc646…
05-07 09:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x1be9ef…
05-07 09:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xdeef37…
05-07 08:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x16c0e8…
05-07 08:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6b1fd6…
05-07 08:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc35af8…
05-07 08:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xab20fd…
05-07 08:01:57	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x8a3ee5…
05-07 07:59:32	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x944d8c…
05-07 07:58:01	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xac14c4…
05-07 07:42:37	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x798e4a…
05-07 07:28:49	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	68¢	$4	0xefaebf…
05-07 07:27:48	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x18e2cf…
05-07 07:22:57	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xedcca4…
05-07 07:19:22	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xaa7113…
05-07 07:18:16	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	8	81¢	$6	0x27ead9…
05-07 07:17:11	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xb0eb96…
05-07 07:12:59	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	96¢	$5	0x770ce7…
05-07 07:12:10	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x27ac70…
05-07 07:08:00	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	8	85¢	$7	0x9b2651…
05-07 07:05:45	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x24b92f…
05-07 07:04:30	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	89¢	$5	0x691338…
05-07 06:57:44	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x9a76c0…
05-07 06:40:45	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xf06f9b…
05-07 06:39:49	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x64e061…
05-07 06:38:22	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x54b92a…
05-07 06:37:10	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	7	89¢	$6	0x28c2a7…
05-07 06:36:16	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xde145e…
05-07 06:32:49	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0xf09cdb…
05-07 06:31:22	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x61af86…
05-07 06:29:03	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xcf0d2c…
05-06 23:34:38	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xa7ed5d…
05-06 23:11:53	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x9f862b…
05-06 22:52:45	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	89¢	$5	0x9090c1…
05-06 22:51:56	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x4b12e9…
05-06 22:44:01	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x289035…
05-06 22:39:13	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	17	17¢	$3	0x5c087a…
05-06 22:37:19	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0xdafd98…
05-06 22:36:40	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xfbab6a…
05-06 22:31:17	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0xc89a82…
05-06 22:30:42	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x92ea9f…
05-06 22:28:37	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0x082443…
05-06 22:27:24	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xed9d81…
05-06 22:14:18	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x55958e…
05-06 22:11:41	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	59¢	$4	0x62426d…
05-06 22:11:07	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x966a2a…
05-06 22:08:19	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x7c6b8b…
05-06 22:07:02	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x1f2db9…
05-06 16:40:24	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xcacdfe…
05-06 16:40:24	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x59140f…
05-06 16:05:17	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x507cf6…
05-06 16:03:06	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	66¢	$4	0x49fb16…
05-06 16:00:55	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xa49178…
05-06 14:38:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x58ba66…
05-06 14:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x4d1975…
05-06 14:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xa6d9ee…
05-06 14:27:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x3c2afb…
05-06 14:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xe3922f…
05-06 14:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xf6d728…
05-06 14:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x56dc0e…
05-06 14:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x74a08e…
05-06 13:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x63dc9a…
05-06 13:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4a6903…
05-06 13:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xe4568e…
05-06 13:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x43edd1…
05-06 13:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x7c6517…
05-06 13:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x2a5521…
05-06 13:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x58a090…
05-06 12:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfc0f27…
05-06 12:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xc4c6b7…
05-06 12:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x37d968…