Rough-Bonsai — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.3%

Resolved

Trades

103

lifetime

Volume

$257

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-06 02:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 56% $-12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	6	$19	13	13	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 00:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	7	$19	13	13	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 23:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	4	$19	15	15	+0	Up	$-2	05-05 23:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	5	$18	15	15	+0	Down	+$2	05-06 00:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	7	$15	15	14	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 01:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	6	$14	10	10	+0	Up	$-0	05-06 00:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	4	$14	13	13	+0	Up	$-2	05-06 00:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	6	$14	11	11	+0	Up	$-1	05-06 00:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	4	$13	12	12	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 23:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	6	$12	10	10	+0	Down	$-1	05-06 00:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	4	$10	8	8	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 00:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	4	$10	8	8	+0	Down	$-1	05-05 23:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	3	$9	11	3	+8	Down	$-6	05-06 00:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	3	$7	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 23:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	2	$7	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 23:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 23:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 23:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Up	$-0	05-05 23:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 00:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	4	$5	5	5	+0	Up	$-0	05-06 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	2	$4	4	2	+2	Down	$-1	05-05 23:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	3	$4	4	2	+2	Up	+$0	05-06 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	2	$4	5	5	+0	Down	$-2	05-06 01:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 01:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 01:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 01:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 01:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	$-2	05-06 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-06 01:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	05-06 02:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 02:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x224f6f…
05-06 02:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xf0d03f…
05-06 01:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	82¢	$1	0xd6baba…
05-06 01:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x0c37cc…
05-06 01:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x0fdf1a…
05-06 01:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x2333b8…
05-06 01:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x7c9eba…
05-06 01:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xe1b10a…
05-06 01:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa81904…
05-06 01:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x8f15ba…
05-06 01:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x6f1d55…
05-06 01:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x18fe49…
05-06 01:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x9dc511…
05-06 01:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x5781f2…
05-06 01:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x9abc50…
05-06 01:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xe8aa02…
05-06 01:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xa60622…
05-06 01:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xecc847…
05-06 01:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0xa3210a…
05-06 01:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xdfde84…
05-06 01:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0x219577…
05-06 01:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0xbfb12b…
05-06 01:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x7c4e0c…
05-06 01:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0xc2bfc1…
05-06 01:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x7f0419…
05-06 01:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0x66417b…
05-06 01:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x89a351…
05-06 01:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x1f33b4…
05-06 01:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x696fbe…
05-06 00:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xec3459…
05-06 00:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$1	0x447f7e…
05-06 00:46:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	6	43¢	$3	0x3ebcba…
05-06 00:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	56¢	$4	0x98e506…
05-06 00:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xad10f2…
05-06 00:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$2	0xe0ac8f…
05-06 00:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xd0cf80…
05-06 00:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0xb00131…
05-06 00:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x8df600…
05-06 00:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	6	73¢	$4	0x95d631…
05-06 00:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xbc46a8…
05-06 00:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	4	83¢	$3	0x90b5c5…
05-06 00:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xc823d7…
05-06 00:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	4	67¢	$3	0x44a1be…
05-06 00:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0xf06219…
05-06 00:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	9	46¢	$4	0x64545c…
05-06 00:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0x21d999…
05-06 00:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0x5d38b6…
05-06 00:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x1a2d1d…
05-06 00:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	91¢	$3	0x55863a…
05-06 00:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	67¢	$2	0x69cd94…
05-06 00:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	3	81¢	$3	0xd703e8…
05-06 00:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x5bda5a…
05-06 00:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	4	62¢	$3	0xb50a9d…
05-06 00:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0xfa8c7c…
05-06 00:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	10	64¢	$7	0x515bb2…
05-06 00:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	54¢	$6	0x1cd345…
05-06 00:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	74¢	$2	0x3a5ced…
05-06 00:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x016c77…
05-06 00:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0x5c667c…
05-06 00:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0xa4498a…
05-06 00:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0x0332c3…
05-06 00:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	4	62¢	$2	0x160ee7…
05-06 00:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	68¢	$2	0x859e6e…
05-06 00:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	4	63¢	$2	0xe0094e…
05-06 00:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	67¢	$2	0xb78a28…
05-06 00:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0xffdc79…
05-06 00:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	81¢	$2	0x18ae4e…
05-06 00:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0x6e19dc…
05-06 00:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	81¢	$2	0x2bbbd1…
05-06 00:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	60¢	$2	0x6a9947…
05-06 00:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0xfeb1a0…
05-05 23:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	73¢	$2	0x24f5a7…
05-05 23:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	60¢	$3	0x16d0e3…
05-05 23:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0xc38aef…
05-05 23:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xb25061…
05-05 23:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0xa7af2b…
05-05 23:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	63¢	$3	0x47b22e…
05-05 23:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	10	54¢	$6	0x418369…
05-05 23:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x326902…
05-05 23:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	4	67¢	$3	0x9c47c3…
05-05 23:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x2f36dc…
05-05 23:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x76cb80…
05-05 23:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x79fa21…
05-05 23:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0x328aa5…
05-05 23:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xd62100…
05-05 23:39:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xf2925d…
05-05 23:37:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	4	81¢	$3	0xf41930…
05-05 23:37:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xeac04a…
05-05 23:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x721bb4…
05-05 23:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x011007…
05-05 23:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x372ec1…
05-05 23:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x0a2e52…
05-05 23:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xc4615c…
05-05 23:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x1706ba…
05-05 23:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	7	48¢	$3	0xd79d74…
05-05 23:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xccc055…
05-05 23:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	71¢	$3	0x957276…
05-05 23:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xcc3165…
05-05 23:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	71¢	$2	0xe23690…
05-05 23:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	74¢	$2	0x8390d9…