Roasted-Craft — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.7%

Resolved

Trades

177

lifetime

Volume

$395

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-06

last 07-28 05:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

40% 71% +$3

Politics

37% — —

Other

23% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will iran strike israel on march 8	2	$31	21	21	+0	open	—	03-08 13:43
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$17	10	10	+0	open	—	03-21 10:02
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$16	520	0	+520	open	—	04-01 18:27
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	04-12 20:29
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 9 795	2	$13	9	9	+0	open	—	03-08 23:12
us evacuates beirut embassy by march 31	2	$12	37	37	+0	open	—	03-21 10:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	2	$11	18	18	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 16:22
will green left win the second most seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	1	$11	15	0	+15	open	—	03-21 10:06
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	2	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	04-08 06:02
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	03-15 11:56
us strikes iraq by march 31	1	$10	56	0	+56	open	—	03-06 10:33
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	3	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-11 03:05
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	04-15 13:40
btc updown 5m 1780644600	6	$10	13	2	+11	open	—	06-05 07:33
will any european country expel an israeli ambassador by march 31	2	$9	79	79	+0	open	—	03-21 10:01
James Comey arrested by April 30?	2	$9	7	7	+0	open	—	04-29 17:50
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	2	$8	10	10	+0	open	—	03-21 10:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	1	$6	8	0	+8	Up	+$2	05-11 16:45
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	2	$5	12	12	+0	open	—	04-22 05:42
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 3 6	1	$5	50	0	+50	open	—	04-03 06:14
will iran strike jordan in march	1	$5	19	0	+19	open	—	03-07 08:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	1	$5	15	0	+15	Down	$-5	05-11 16:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Up	+$2	05-11 16:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	3	$5	8	0	+8	Down	+$3	05-12 18:27
btc updown 5m 1780644000	5	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	06-05 07:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	3	$5	7	0	+7	Up	$-2	05-12 19:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	5	$5	9	2	+8	open	—	05-30 05:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	04-28 04:33
will liberal alliance win the second most seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	1	$4	20	0	+20	open	—	03-21 10:06
will the social democrats win 35 39 seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	1	$4	10	0	+10	open	—	03-22 12:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-28 05:39:37	btc updown 5m 1785216900	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x915c67…
07-28 05:14:19	btc updown 5m 1785215400	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x32539b…
07-27 22:13:37	btc updown 5m 1785190200	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x14b45b…
07-27 18:46:52	btc updown 5m 1785177900	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x71a839…
07-27 17:56:21	btc updown 5m 1785174900	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xed377b…
07-27 17:49:37	btc updown 5m 1785174300	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0df6f5…
07-17 05:38:19	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x8c8e99…
07-13 04:04:32	btc updown 5m 1783915200	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf8cf5c…
07-12 06:24:11	btc updown 5m 1783837200	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xaaeacc…
07-12 06:24:10	btc updown 5m 1783837200	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x628d3e…
07-12 05:59:05	btc updown 5m 1783835700	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x4db2e8…
07-10 07:50:50	btc updown 5m 1783669800	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x3a0acb…
07-08 16:54:25	btc updown 5m 1783529400	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x9b0547…
07-08 06:19:37	btc updown 5m 1783491300	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x1e3caf…
07-07 04:54:46	btc updown 5m 1783399800	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xdc163a…
07-06 17:35:31	btc updown 5m 1783359300	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x6d6e2a…
07-05 22:47:11	btc updown 5m 1783291500	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x7e3793…
07-05 22:18:05	btc updown 5m 1783289700	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd5ff44…
07-05 22:12:50	btc updown 5m 1783289400	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x9e84f5…
07-02 01:25:04	btc updown 5m 1782955200	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x1d323e…
07-01 19:44:28	btc updown 5m 1782934800	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xc89041…
07-01 19:24:49	btc updown 5m 1782933600	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xdc0434…
06-29 06:14:26	btc updown 5m 1782713400	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xb62238…
06-28 20:03:26	btc updown 5m 1782676800	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xae575c…
06-26 05:18:47	btc updown 5m 1782450900	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x07c13c…
06-26 05:18:46	btc updown 5m 1782450900	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xc9793f…
06-25 15:21:20	btc updown 5m 1782400800	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x3da098…
06-25 15:09:55	btc updown 5m 1782399900	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa22575…
06-25 15:09:53	btc updown 5m 1782399900	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xff483e…
06-25 14:15:38	btc updown 5m 1782396900	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xacc30b…
06-25 13:52:32	btc updown 5m 1782395400	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xa0166c…
06-25 13:46:22	btc updown 5m 1782395100	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8cbb2e…
06-25 13:45:35	btc updown 5m 1782395100	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xd8a80f…
06-25 07:58:52	btc updown 5m 1782374100	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x81bb72…
06-25 07:53:32	btc updown 5m 1782373800	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x0c779e…
06-25 07:53:31	btc updown 5m 1782373800	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x61b346…
06-25 07:49:08	btc updown 5m 1782373500	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x4fd2b0…
06-25 07:44:44	btc updown 5m 1782373200	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xec088d…
06-25 07:39:32	btc updown 5m 1782372900	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8d0408…
06-25 07:34:04	btc updown 5m 1782372600	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x06fb09…
06-25 07:17:13	btc updown 5m 1782371700	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x2ac79a…
06-24 16:07:35	btc updown 5m 1782317100	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x2920b9…
06-24 15:19:11	btc updown 5m 1782314100	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xc64290…
06-24 15:05:43	btc updown 5m 1782313500	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xc00e66…
06-24 14:57:25	btc updown 5m 1782312900	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x6c6470…
06-23 05:39:47	btc updown 5m 1782192900	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xbc2058…
06-23 05:13:50	btc updown 5m 1782191400	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x5aea13…
06-22 20:56:46	btc updown 5m 1782161700	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xb8df9d…
06-22 18:18:47	btc updown 5m 1782152100	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xebfd81…
06-22 07:45:10	btc updown 5m 1782114300	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x315903…
06-22 07:41:16	btc updown 5m 1782114000	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x40bed8…
06-22 07:38:28	btc updown 5m 1782113700	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x483bbf…
06-22 06:09:22	btc updown 5m 1782108300	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x0ee7b5…
06-22 06:03:13	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	87¢	$4	0x7fcce9…
06-17 08:56:52	btc updown 5m 1781686500	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x4b7221…
06-17 07:35:44	btc updown 5m 1781681700	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x55f5b8…
06-13 19:59:13	btc updown 5m 1781380500	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xa44d36…
06-13 18:21:06	btc updown 5m 1781374800	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe4b73b…
06-13 18:01:27	btc updown 5m 1781373600	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x87d62c…
06-12 17:45:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0xb61625…
06-12 14:05:31	btc updown 5m 1781273100	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xa7540f…
06-11 04:00:54	btc updown 5m 1781150400	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x03fa04…
06-11 03:59:15	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xfcbd68…
06-10 20:21:27	btc updown 5m 1781122800	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb8ff10…
06-05 07:37:28	btc updown 5m 1780644900	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9b7f1b…
06-05 07:37:09	btc updown 5m 1780644900	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x82a32b…
06-05 07:33:33	btc updown 5m 1780644600	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x6b5a93…
06-05 07:33:01	btc updown 5m 1780644600	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x2155a2…
06-05 07:32:51	btc updown 5m 1780644600	Up	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xa11a9b…
06-05 07:32:07	btc updown 5m 1780644600	Up	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0x22d3c8…
06-05 07:31:58	btc updown 5m 1780644600	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x2d61d9…
06-05 07:31:40	btc updown 5m 1780644600	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xa7e5b3…
06-05 07:26:58	btc updown 5m 1780644300	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2c9865…
06-05 07:26:18	btc updown 5m 1780644300	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x846f52…
06-05 07:22:42	btc updown 5m 1780644000	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x405202…
06-05 07:22:19	btc updown 5m 1780644000	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x89ca33…
06-05 07:22:13	btc updown 5m 1780644000	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x580ccc…
06-05 07:22:00	btc updown 5m 1780644000	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x5957d0…
06-05 07:21:18	btc updown 5m 1780644000	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x715264…
06-05 07:17:18	btc updown 5m 1780643700	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xc909d2…
06-05 07:16:54	btc updown 5m 1780643700	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x091a77…
06-03 09:55:13	Will Conservative People’s Party be part of the next Government of Denmark?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x3f9285…
05-30 06:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xf715fb…
05-30 06:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xee6ca6…
05-30 06:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xabe5ae…
05-30 06:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x2cc4bc…
05-30 06:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xfb18b8…
05-30 06:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xf9b4a2…
05-30 06:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x214605…
05-30 06:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x19708d…
05-30 06:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x9a792e…
05-30 05:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x3577bd…
05-30 05:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x30f06c…
05-30 05:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xcf06fe…
05-30 05:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5b1e68…
05-30 05:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8e6867…
05-30 05:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x31f614…
05-30 05:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x82185d…
05-30 05:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x565c50…
05-30 05:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xaf4591…