Similar-Dueling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.4%

Resolved

320

Trades

646

lifetime

Volume

$1.04K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 05-11 00:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 77% +$16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 206 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10PM ET	4	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	04-26 02:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6AM ET	6	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	04-25 10:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8AM ET	6	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	04-25 13:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	4	$12	11	10	+1	open	—	04-25 10:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	4	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	04-26 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8PM ET	4	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	04-26 00:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	5	$10	11	3	+8	Down	+$2	05-07 22:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11PM ET	3	$9	6	3	+3	open	—	04-26 03:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	3	$9	6	3	+3	open	—	04-26 00:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5AM ET	4	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	04-25 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4AM ET	3	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	04-25 08:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	4	$8	7	7	+0	open	—	04-25 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9AM ET	3	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	04-25 14:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	4	$8	10	9	+0	open	—	04-25 07:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-10 01:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11PM ET	7	$7	5	4	+1	open	—	04-27 03:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	2	$7	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 01:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	2	$7	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 01:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-10 02:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	3	$7	5	3	+2	open	—	04-25 07:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	05-10 01:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	3	$6	5	3	+2	open	—	04-25 09:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	3	$6	5	3	+2	open	—	04-25 08:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	2	$6	8	8	+0	open	—	04-26 03:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	04-26 00:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-26 02:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	04-26 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-26 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	3	$6	5	2	+3	Down	+$1	05-08 06:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	3	$6	5	2	+3	Down	+$1	05-07 19:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 00:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x5b5517…
05-10 15:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x7756e3…
05-10 15:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x647275…
05-10 14:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0x6bb302…
05-10 14:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf243f4…
05-10 14:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0x4f788b…
05-10 14:41:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	46¢	$2	0x252def…
05-10 14:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	41¢	$1	0xb4f575…
05-10 14:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xc9c771…
05-10 14:36:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xd8f03e…
05-10 14:32:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x1b54b7…
05-10 14:21:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xfd5884…
05-10 13:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	9	16¢	$1	0xf427bf…
05-10 13:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xfbca20…
05-10 13:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x9ee55d…
05-10 12:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0x0de1c3…
05-10 12:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x5e7f9e…
05-10 12:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0xf76c7c…
05-10 12:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xba038a…
05-10 12:11:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	84¢	$2	0xd73ecd…
05-10 12:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x82918b…
05-10 12:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xb31083…
05-10 11:51:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x330142…
05-10 11:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x11d245…
05-10 11:47:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	3	48¢	$2	0xb409ca…
05-10 11:47:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x64a3d7…
05-10 11:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	73¢	$2	0xcf4fbc…
05-10 11:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0xa8db0f…
05-10 11:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x7c5e95…
05-10 11:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x41550f…
05-10 11:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xf7034f…
05-10 11:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xc515ac…
05-10 10:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x5d3151…
05-10 10:56:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x98bff8…
05-10 10:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0xd8ea7e…
05-10 10:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xdacc7e…
05-10 10:48:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xa3f747…
05-10 10:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0xa0b092…
05-10 10:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x562be9…
05-10 10:26:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x6159bb…
05-10 10:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xedc634…
05-10 10:23:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x2ef242…
05-10 10:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x69b776…
05-10 10:19:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xbe0e87…
05-10 10:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xa6c11c…
05-10 10:12:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc231c3…
05-10 10:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x83e5e2…
05-10 10:06:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xc18864…
05-10 10:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x75025e…
05-10 09:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0xf8d90d…
05-10 09:58:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x407c92…
05-10 09:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	85¢	$1	0x659883…
05-10 09:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x402425…
05-10 09:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe13f86…
05-10 09:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x1f8145…
05-10 09:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x1ca46b…
05-10 09:36:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x08761c…
05-10 09:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x2ae221…
05-10 09:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xf5f2a0…
05-10 09:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x91db30…
05-10 09:21:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x23139c…
05-10 09:19:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x1a2a64…
05-10 09:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x490ad0…
05-10 09:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x8eee27…
05-10 09:11:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x017fb2…
05-10 09:07:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xef8d83…
05-10 09:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x7a1539…
05-10 09:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x5f27d8…
05-10 09:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xbb849b…
05-10 08:58:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x8c7cd7…
05-10 08:51:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xd1b6c6…
05-10 08:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x7d028e…
05-10 08:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xed4228…
05-10 08:47:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x07f317…
05-10 08:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x52b07d…
05-10 08:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x6b1ba3…
05-10 08:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0x8e01b1…
05-10 08:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xf8f1d5…
05-10 08:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0x5072d3…
05-10 08:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xb5c029…
05-10 08:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	86¢	$2	0x4a5f02…
05-10 08:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x82dea3…
05-10 08:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x282c2b…
05-10 08:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x0d6e9d…
05-10 08:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	7	48¢	$3	0xfe86e1…
05-10 08:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xb3c8c2…
05-10 08:11:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xa4dc32…
05-10 08:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x3d698f…
05-10 08:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x4e83d8…
05-10 08:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x062c72…
05-10 08:02:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x024671…
05-10 08:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x400140…
05-10 07:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xafcb4c…
05-10 07:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x5ec43e…
05-10 07:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xa57693…
05-10 07:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3e88f1…
05-10 07:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xb06fc7…
05-10 07:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7dfd1d…
05-10 07:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x1bb7c5…
05-10 07:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x1d13f8…