Possible-Helicopter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

85.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$47

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-06

last 06-13 07:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

79% 100% +$4

Politics

19% 0% $-1

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes		+21	$5	12¢	$3	$-2	06-13 07:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	2	$6	135	+135	Yes	+$4	05-01 19:33
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$6	294	+294	open	—	04-18 06:12
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$6	211	+211	open	—	05-01 19:31
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	1	$5	62	+62	open	—	05-01 19:32
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	1	$5	21	+21	open	—	06-13 07:41
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	2	$2	23	+23	open	—	04-08 16:17
Iran leadership change by May 31?	1	$1	6	+6	open	—	04-06 19:08
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 21-27?	1	$1	20	+20	open	—	04-22 16:38
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	1	$1	12	+12	open	—	05-05 08:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$1	6	+6	open	—	04-06 19:10
will iran strike oman again in march	1	$1	1,000	+1,000	open	—	04-06 19:07
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$1	333	+333	open	—	04-07 17:17
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	1	$1	40	+40	open	—	04-07 17:00
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$1	86	+86	open	—	04-07 17:17
Will Jordan strike Iran by April 30?	1	$1	26	+26	open	—	04-07 16:45
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	1	$1	5	+5	No	$-1	05-05 08:29
Netanyahu out by April 30?	1	$1	91	+91	open	—	04-06 19:10
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$1	91	+91	open	—	04-06 19:13
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	1	$1	11	+11	open	—	04-07 16:54
Will Oman strike Iran by April 30?	1	$1	67	+67	open	—	04-07 16:45
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	1	$1	42	+42	open	—	04-07 16:54
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	1	$1	8	+8	open	—	04-07 17:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	1	$1	38	+38	open	—	04-07 17:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 07:41:21	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	23¢	$5	0xafbea5…
05-05 08:37:38	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x425f26…
05-05 08:29:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf13b2f…
05-01 19:33:28	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xbba613…
05-01 19:32:22	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x354252…
05-01 19:31:56	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	179	3¢	$5	0xffdc73…
04-22 16:38:44	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 21-27?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x33e39c…
04-18 15:17:00	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x10dd93…
04-18 06:12:28	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xa495c0…
04-08 16:17:17	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x2232ec…
04-07 17:39:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x4944b2…
04-07 17:17:53	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x062cca…
04-07 17:17:47	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	86	1¢	$1	0x696f53…
04-07 17:01:03	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xdac509…
04-07 17:00:29	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0xe40223…
04-07 16:55:21	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x92c316…
04-07 16:54:23	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0xae356e…
04-07 16:54:13	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x6e3522…
04-07 16:47:39	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xf5c350…
04-07 16:45:39	Will Jordan strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xfb103d…
04-07 16:45:33	Will Oman strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0xa5fd56…
04-06 19:13:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0xe3a5af…
04-06 19:10:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xa474fb…
04-06 19:10:11	Netanyahu out by April 30?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0xb6890c…
04-06 19:08:53	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xdf35ff…
04-06 19:07:49	will iran strike oman again in march	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x514074…
04-06 19:07:25	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	152	3¢	$5	0xb5b3ab…