Liquid-Hydroxyl — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$353

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

50.4%

Resolved

498

Trades

2,203

lifetime

Volume

$24.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-07

last 07-09 19:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% +$353

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 770 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes		+10	$7	74¢	$7	+$1	07-09 19:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$117	100	100	+0	Down	+$19	05-07 13:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	4	$101	200	0	+200	Down	$-101	05-08 06:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	2	$100	200	0	+200	Down	$-100	05-07 16:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	11	$98	200	0	+200	Up	$-98	05-08 15:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	4	$96	200	0	+200	Down	+$104	05-09 11:47
fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 spread away 1pt5	1	$82	200	0	+200	open	—	06-16 15:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	1	$70	100	0	+100	Down	+$30	05-07 13:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	3	$52	108	0	+108	Down	$-52	05-08 06:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	10	$52	100	0	+100	Down	$-52	05-08 06:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	9	$50	100	0	+100	Up	+$50	05-08 04:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	7	$50	100	0	+100	Down	$-50	05-07 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	10	$50	100	0	+100	Up	+$50	05-07 17:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	10	$50	100	0	+100	Up	+$50	05-07 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	3	$50	100	0	+100	Up	+$50	05-08 07:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	1	$50	100	0	+100	Down	$-50	05-08 06:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	1	$50	100	0	+100	Down	$-50	05-08 06:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	1	$50	100	0	+100	Up	+$50	05-08 08:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	11	$50	100	0	+100	Down	$-50	05-08 04:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	1	$50	100	0	+100	Up	+$50	05-07 17:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	6	$50	100	0	+100	Down	$-50	05-07 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$50	100	0	+100	Down	$-50	05-07 20:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$50	100	0	+100	Down	$-50	05-07 20:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	7	$50	100	0	+100	Up	+$50	05-07 21:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	3	$50	100	0	+100	Down	$-50	05-07 18:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	12	$50	100	0	+100	Down	$-50	05-07 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	4	$50	100	0	+100	Down	$-50	05-07 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	3	$50	100	0	+100	Up	+$50	05-08 03:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	7	$50	100	0	+100	Up	+$50	05-07 20:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	1	$50	100	0	+100	Down	$-50	05-08 05:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	6	$50	100	0	+100	Down	$-50	05-07 18:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-09 19:54:43	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x5d8901…
06-16 15:42:53	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 spread away 1pt5	Iraq	BUY	200	41¢	$82	0xf14c7c…
06-15 15:02:49	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 spread home 1pt5	Egypt	BUY	40	64¢	$26	0x630990…
05-09 17:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x91962c…
05-09 17:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	80	49¢	$39	0x4906ce…
05-09 17:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x05b324…
05-09 17:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x58d7f7…
05-09 17:03:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x08e586…
05-09 17:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xe05cb4…
05-09 17:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	49¢	$8	0xfc7551…
05-09 17:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xca46a0…
05-09 17:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	27	49¢	$13	0x4b011a…
05-09 17:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0xcc70db…
05-09 17:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x7bee79…
05-09 17:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x8d0925…
05-09 17:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x839ea9…
05-09 17:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x69a84a…
05-09 16:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x3f87cf…
05-09 16:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x666c12…
05-09 16:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x647390…
05-09 16:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x0cacc9…
05-09 16:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x7a5f12…
05-09 16:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x06b7cb…
05-09 16:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	80	49¢	$39	0x60c15d…
05-09 16:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xafa2ee…
05-09 16:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	28	49¢	$14	0x19353b…
05-09 16:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x1b1980…
05-09 16:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x31b69d…
05-09 16:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0xea5e8a…
05-09 16:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x329e52…
05-09 16:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x9f50a6…
05-09 16:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x089857…
05-09 16:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xcf84d7…
05-09 16:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xbc1ee8…
05-09 16:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	24	49¢	$12	0xe762be…
05-09 16:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	27	49¢	$13	0xa937ec…
05-09 16:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	60	49¢	$29	0x402769…
05-09 16:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	13	49¢	$6	0x21f0a7…
05-09 16:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	48	49¢	$24	0xe7db3c…
05-09 16:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0xdb1093…
05-09 16:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xb1ea4a…
05-09 16:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xad33c6…
05-09 16:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x9df3ac…
05-09 16:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0x8d80bb…
05-09 16:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0x06563f…
05-09 16:40:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xfd14f0…
05-09 16:40:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0xf39c9f…
05-09 16:40:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0xbfe414…
05-09 16:40:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xace704…
05-09 16:40:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x8c9a12…
05-09 16:40:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x22010d…
05-09 16:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x798ace…
05-09 16:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	23	49¢	$11	0xe7200e…
05-09 16:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x95b1b5…
05-09 16:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	71	49¢	$35	0x24c591…
05-09 16:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0xe6ea38…
05-09 16:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xe32b38…
05-09 16:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xe0f7a0…
05-09 16:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xc5cb15…
05-09 16:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	24	49¢	$12	0xbdae12…
05-09 16:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x9f23dd…
05-09 16:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x9acb3e…
05-09 16:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	49¢	$9	0x443641…
05-09 16:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x198939…
05-09 16:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	26	49¢	$13	0x15bc5e…
05-09 16:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x0ed013…
05-09 16:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0xe47bd0…
05-09 16:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	22	49¢	$11	0xc2b852…
05-09 16:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x699146…
05-09 16:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x2763f2…
05-09 16:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	38	49¢	$18	0x193b60…
05-09 16:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xc1903c…
05-09 16:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0xae1f56…
05-09 16:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x5f0f5a…
05-09 16:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x326567…
05-09 16:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xf005c5…
05-09 16:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x51aaf0…
05-09 16:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x49306f…
05-09 16:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x4197fc…
05-09 16:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x407aae…
05-09 16:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	57	49¢	$28	0x214b2c…
05-09 16:04:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	43	49¢	$21	0x65f9ab…
05-09 16:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xc891e7…
05-09 16:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	90	49¢	$44	0x5198a6…
05-09 15:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xdc08cc…
05-09 15:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0x9a6a3b…
05-09 15:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	42	49¢	$20	0x79f86d…
05-09 15:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x5f4d1c…
05-09 15:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0xb4b9f6…
05-09 15:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x12fb67…
05-09 15:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	96	49¢	$47	0x8b7028…
05-09 15:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x461258…
05-09 15:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	37	49¢	$18	0xbbddf2…
05-09 15:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0xa90c47…
05-09 15:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x8b7a83…
05-09 15:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x3fc68b…
05-09 15:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	28	49¢	$14	0xb8497a…
05-09 15:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	49	49¢	$24	0x4907a8…
05-09 15:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb0082a…
05-09 15:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	49¢	$9	0x0101d8…