Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$327

Unrealized P&L

-$107

Hit rate

33.3%

Resolved

Trades

157

lifetime

Volume

$26.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$169

Open exposure

$639

1 position

First seen

2026-01-08

last 06-15 13:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

54% 50% $-327

Politics

25% — —

Sports

8% — —

Tech

6% — —

Pop-Culture

5% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-1,332	$-533	48¢	$-639	$-107	06-15 13:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
military action against iran ends by march 28 2026	1	$1.8K	2,250	0	+2,250	open	—	03-16 14:22
will trump post ballroom on truth social this week 694	3	$1.7K	1,470	1,470	+0	open	—	04-09 13:38
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	5	$1.5K	863	863	+0	open	—	02-26 20:59
aus mac ccm 2026 02 25 draw	3	$1.3K	927	927	+0	open	—	02-26 04:58
will tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in q1 2026	6	$1.2K	815	815	+0	open	—	02-20 03:11
will sentimental value win no awards at the oscars	2	$1.0K	651	651	+0	open	—	02-26 14:13
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?	4	$1.0K	824	824	+0	open	—	01-09 18:42
will lamelo ball be traded this season	2	$742	0	831	-831	open	—	01-31 08:19
col1 mif dep 2026 02 05 dep	5	$697	958	618	+340	open	—	02-22 09:47
will keir starmer say mr speaker 15 times during the next prime ministers questions 229	2	$680	850	0	+850	open	—	02-01 19:39
will polymarket mindshare hit 80 277 757 727	2	$634	399	399	+0	open	—	02-01 22:18
will trump say common sense or commonsense this week april 12	3	$621	497	497	+0	open	—	04-09 13:32
will liberal alliance win 20 24 seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	1	$620	925	0	+925	open	—	03-17 12:18
will trump talk to ursula von der leyen in february	6	$600	1,176	1,176	+0	open	—	02-22 22:11
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?	4	$540	740	740	+0	open	—	02-22 16:27
will the buffalo bills be eliminated in the conference championship round	3	$535	309	309	+0	open	—	01-11 13:49
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	1	$533	0	1,332	-1,332	open	—	06-15 13:44
will usdai launch a token by march 31	3	$507	317	317	+0	open	—	03-10 09:58
will seattle have between 6 and 7 inches of precipitation in march	1	$505	938	0	+938	open	—	03-16 20:18
will the phoenix suns make the nba playoffs 557	2	$459	0	612	-612	open	—	01-08 20:49
us strikes iraq by february 28	3	$455	234	233	+1	open	—	02-23 19:52
will copshop be the 2 us netflix movie this week february 10	2	$431	459	459	+0	open	—	02-08 17:09
will the night agent season 3 be the 2 us netflix show this week 559	4	$414	275	275	+0	open	—	02-27 20:34
Will April 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?	1	$392	676	0	+676	Yes	$-392	04-08 13:57
will one battle after another win outstanding performance by a cast in a motion picture at the 32nd actor awards	1	$392	0	552	-552	open	—	02-26 11:22
will israel strike lebanon on february 27 2026	4	$381	382	382	+0	open	—	02-26 18:21
will jesse plemons be nominated for best actor at the 98th academy awards	1	$366	555	0	+555	open	—	01-11 14:36
lal ray ovi 2026 02 07 total 1pt5	1	$363	790	0	+790	open	—	02-26 16:35
will nyc have more than 6 inches of precipitation in march	2	$351	222	222	+0	open	—	03-10 10:42
will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	2	$348	212	212	+0	open	—	02-20 06:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 13:44:45	Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,332	40¢	$533	0xf1467f…
04-27 09:57:50	Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	SELL	296	44¢	$130	0x7ac3ad…
04-09 13:38:33	will trump post ballroom on truth social this week 694	No	SELL	710	62¢	$440	0xb2a271…
04-09 13:37:07	will trump post ballroom on truth social this week 694	No	SELL	760	62¢	$471	0x242026…
04-09 13:32:41	will trump say common sense or commonsense this week april 12	No	SELL	257	66¢	$170	0x3291b3…
04-09 13:31:43	will trump say common sense or commonsense this week april 12	No	SELL	240	66¢	$158	0x170593…
04-08 13:57:55	Will April 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?	No	BUY	676	58¢	$392	0x8adef7…
04-07 22:33:49	will trump say common sense or commonsense this week april 12	No	BUY	497	59¢	$293	0x25e697…
04-07 15:37:53	will trump post ballroom on truth social this week 694	No	BUY	1,470	53¢	$779	0x1b663f…
04-07 12:26:55	Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	296	22¢	$65	0xfaf126…
03-17 12:18:23	will liberal alliance win 20 24 seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	No	BUY	925	67¢	$620	0x376de6…
03-16 20:18:43	will seattle have between 6 and 7 inches of precipitation in march	No	BUY	938	54¢	$505	0x41726a…
03-16 16:01:33	euroleague aviv paris 2026 03 03	Hapoel Tel Aviv	BUY	541	54¢	$292	0x246bd6…
03-16 14:22:01	military action against iran ends by march 28 2026	No	BUY	2,250	80¢	$1,800	0x9cc5ee…
03-10 10:42:27	will nyc have more than 6 inches of precipitation in march	No	SELL	222	86¢	$191	0x7b672b…
03-10 09:58:31	will usdai launch a token by march 31	Yes	SELL	154	81¢	$125	0x269d20…
03-10 09:58:13	will usdai launch a token by march 31	Yes	SELL	163	81¢	$132	0x7af7f7…
03-06 12:50:01	will nyc have more than 6 inches of precipitation in march	No	BUY	222	72¢	$160	0x93d75a…
02-28 18:06:53	will usdai launch a token by march 31	Yes	BUY	317	79¢	$250	0x1778ff…
02-28 17:34:39	scop dfc mot 2026 02 04 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	59	31¢	$18	0x24e240…
02-28 17:34:23	scop dfc mot 2026 02 04 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	415	31¢	$129	0x60d4ef…
02-28 12:38:05	scop abe cel 2026 02 04 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	505	25¢	$126	0x20c955…
02-27 20:34:29	will the night agent season 3 be the 2 us netflix show this week 559	Yes	SELL	128	89¢	$114	0x1c1722…
02-27 15:33:33	cbb ala miss 2026 02 10	Alabama Crimson Tide	BUY	486	20¢	$98	0xd5dd01…
02-27 15:33:23	cbb ala miss 2026 02 10	Alabama Crimson Tide	BUY	489	20¢	$98	0x752cde…
02-27 11:05:19	Will Jon Bonck be the Republican Nominee for TX-38?	Yes	SELL	15	91¢	$14	0xb560c9…
02-26 22:46:04	scop dfc mot 2026 02 04 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	458	48¢	$220	0x809568…
02-26 20:59:00	Will OpenAI GPT score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	Yes	SELL	107	87¢	$93	0xad2b16…
02-26 20:58:40	Will OpenAI GPT score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	Yes	SELL	270	87¢	$235	0x6f0947…
02-26 20:58:26	Will OpenAI GPT score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	Yes	SELL	486	87¢	$423	0x34d113…
02-26 19:13:06	Will OpenAI GPT score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	Yes	BUY	377	85¢	$320	0x4c4561…
02-26 19:12:46	Will OpenAI GPT score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	Yes	BUY	486	85¢	$413	0xd97e86…
02-26 18:21:36	will israel strike lebanon on february 27 2026	No	SELL	250	53¢	$132	0x3f35e1…
02-26 16:35:22	lal ray ovi 2026 02 07 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	790	46¢	$363	0x60e3c8…
02-26 15:37:42	will israel strike lebanon on february 27 2026	No	BUY	250	53¢	$132	0xdcac03…
02-26 14:53:26	will the night agent season 3 be the 2 us netflix show this week 559	Yes	SELL	147	90¢	$132	0x7a55ab…
02-26 14:13:56	will sentimental value win no awards at the oscars	No	SELL	651	76¢	$495	0x3d2b85…
02-26 14:09:10	bun hsv b04 2026 01 13 btts	Yes	SELL	104	45¢	$47	0x714fa0…
02-26 12:42:22	will sentimental value win no awards at the oscars	No	BUY	651	80¢	$521	0xd2d72b…
02-26 12:39:56	will the night agent season 3 be the 2 us netflix show this week 559	Yes	BUY	128	61¢	$78	0xd4e4b1…
02-26 12:39:40	will the night agent season 3 be the 2 us netflix show this week 559	Yes	BUY	147	61¢	$90	0xcb83f6…
02-26 12:17:00	bun hsv b04 2026 01 13 btts	Yes	BUY	105	36¢	$38	0x78ba6b…
02-26 11:22:14	will one battle after another win outstanding performance by a cast in a motion picture at the 32nd actor awards	No	SELL	552	71¢	$392	0xb31a06…
02-26 04:58:38	aus mac ccm 2026 02 25 draw	No	SELL	406	50¢	$203	0xe2d1bb…
02-25 21:27:36	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	308	32¢	$99	0xe54b44…
02-25 21:25:26	aus mac ccm 2026 02 25 draw	No	SELL	521	50¢	$260	0x84efcf…
02-25 18:43:22	aus mac ccm 2026 02 25 draw	No	BUY	927	89¢	$825	0x89a4ea…
02-25 18:38:30	dota2 aur1 tundra 2026 02 23 game1 kill over 30pt5	Over	BUY	14	62¢	$9	0xb13001…
02-25 15:37:50	Will Jon Bonck be the Republican Nominee for TX-38?	Yes	BUY	15	85¢	$13	0x8ac7cc…
02-25 15:11:26	euroleague olympiac fenerbah 2025 12 04	Olympiacos B.C.	BUY	64	53¢	$34	0x26011a…
02-25 14:14:22	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	308	37¢	$114	0x2d5db8…
02-25 03:31:50	will trump say nobel or peace prize this week march 1	No	SELL	232	0¢	$1	0x174811…
02-24 16:02:58	will trump say nobel or peace prize this week march 1	No	BUY	232	49¢	$114	0x81183c…
02-24 01:23:38	trump invokes war powers against iran by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	62	56¢	$35	0xbed1a7…
02-23 19:52:34	us strikes iraq by february 28	No	SELL	233	98¢	$230	0xc9244f…
02-23 18:29:44	will israel strike gaza on february 25 2026	Yes	SELL	130	43¢	$56	0x945f68…
02-23 15:48:16	trump invokes war powers against iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	62	54¢	$33	0xb676de…
02-23 15:44:36	ethereum up or down february 23 11am et	Up	BUY	87	49¢	$43	0x4ee105…
02-23 15:25:38	will israel strike gaza on february 25 2026	Yes	BUY	119	44¢	$52	0x1474da…
02-23 15:25:26	will israel strike gaza on february 25 2026	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x520a42…
02-22 22:34:12	will israel strike lebanon on february 23 2026	Yes	SELL	28	45¢	$13	0xa2ee4e…
02-22 22:11:32	will trump talk to ursula von der leyen in february	Yes	SELL	408	38¢	$155	0xe618ad…
02-22 22:11:12	will trump talk to ursula von der leyen in february	Yes	SELL	348	38¢	$132	0xe19b29…
02-22 22:10:56	will trump talk to ursula von der leyen in february	Yes	SELL	420	38¢	$160	0x7e16bf…
02-22 21:37:18	will israel strike lebanon on february 27 2026	Yes	SELL	132	44¢	$58	0x515684…
02-22 19:49:28	will israel strike lebanon on february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	132	44¢	$58	0x30fc8b…
02-22 19:40:50	us strikes iraq by february 28	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xf74d2e…
02-22 19:40:32	us strikes iraq by february 28	No	BUY	222	96¢	$214	0x3a2fb3…
02-22 19:09:54	will trump talk to ursula von der leyen in february	Yes	BUY	408	13¢	$53	0x8bc4b9…
02-22 19:09:48	will trump talk to ursula von der leyen in february	Yes	BUY	420	13¢	$55	0x581759…
02-22 19:09:30	will trump talk to ursula von der leyen in february	Yes	BUY	348	13¢	$45	0x5370ed…
02-22 18:27:10	will israel strike lebanon on february 23 2026	Yes	BUY	28	37¢	$10	0x642c53…
02-22 18:26:54	will israel strike lebanon on february 23 2026	Yes	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0x46d8a1…
02-22 17:04:34	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 200 219	No	SELL	125	99¢	$124	0x4e3140…
02-22 16:27:42	Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?	Yes	SELL	640	37¢	$237	0x660104…
02-22 16:27:30	Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	37¢	$37	0x39e0ba…
02-22 14:38:28	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 200 219	No	BUY	125	99¢	$124	0x47d8d0…
02-22 14:23:14	Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?	Yes	BUY	640	36¢	$230	0xa84bbb…
02-22 14:23:00	Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0x4515ea…
02-22 09:47:26	col1 mif dep 2026 02 05 dep	Yes	SELL	292	88¢	$257	0x992765…
02-22 09:47:08	col1 mif dep 2026 02 05 dep	Yes	SELL	326	88¢	$287	0x245f87…
02-20 14:00:26	Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?	Yes	SELL	48	4¢	$2	0x782a11…
02-20 06:09:44	will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	Yes	SELL	212	85¢	$180	0xf10c18…
02-20 04:17:24	will love is blind season 10 be the 2 us netflix show this week 335	Yes	SELL	122	20¢	$24	0xf1a0e0…
02-20 03:11:58	will tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in q1 2026	No	SELL	200	85¢	$170	0x619c51…
02-19 22:32:20	will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	Yes	BUY	212	79¢	$167	0xc18e0d…
02-19 22:14:10	will tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in q1 2026	No	BUY	200	87¢	$174	0x21aa17…
02-19 21:38:40	Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?	Yes	BUY	48	5¢	$2	0x3b4176…
02-19 19:29:52	will the us next strike iran on march 11 2026 et	No	SELL	74	99¢	$73	0xac646d…
02-19 15:22:16	will the us next strike iran on march 11 2026 et	No	BUY	74	99¢	$74	0x60473b…
02-19 15:12:32	will love is blind season 10 be the 2 us netflix show this week 335	Yes	BUY	122	18¢	$22	0xabd93c…
02-19 14:14:50	col1 mif dep 2026 02 05 dep	Yes	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0xa1f08b…
02-19 14:14:34	col1 mif dep 2026 02 05 dep	Yes	BUY	320	16¢	$51	0x23f7ff…
02-19 14:14:24	col1 mif dep 2026 02 05 dep	Yes	BUY	613	16¢	$98	0xeea0ab…
02-14 17:20:13	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 12 superheavy booster 488 561 331 756 239 646 369 428 878 438 352 391 485 244	Yes	SELL	163	16¢	$26	0x56b714…
02-14 17:19:59	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 12 superheavy booster 488 561 331 756 239 646 369 428 878 438 352 391 485 244	Yes	SELL	181	16¢	$29	0xeb0351…
02-11 22:32:09	lal lev vil 2025 12 14 draw	No	BUY	326	75¢	$244	0x704525…
02-11 21:02:21	will a new country join the abraham accords by march 31	No	SELL	301	54¢	$163	0x69cda1…
02-11 14:25:39	will a new country join the abraham accords by march 31	No	BUY	301	54¢	$163	0xdea677…
02-09 17:47:11	solana up or down february 9 2pm et	Down	BUY	431	50¢	$216	0xdba049…