Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

145

lifetime

Volume

$14.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$102

Open exposure

$56

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-24 08:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

49% 100% +$0

Other

36% — —

Politics

9% — —

Tech

4% — —

Sports

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No		-60	$-57	94¢	$-56	+$0	06-24 08:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	2	$792	400	400	+0	open	—	01-27 10:51
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	8	$586	320	268	+52	open	—	01-28 09:50
will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	15	$562	290	290	+0	open	—	01-28 03:29
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	4	$516	264	264	+0	open	—	04-17 14:19
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	9	$501	255	255	+0	open	—	05-13 06:56
Fogo FDV above $3B one day after launch?	1	$494	501	0	+501	open	—	01-10 07:47
Infinex FDV above $2B one day after launch?	2	$470	236	236	+0	open	—	01-30 12:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$467	240	240	+0	open	—	04-24 08:36
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	9	$464	280	280	+0	open	—	04-30 03:22
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	4	$445	225	225	+0	open	—	02-11 16:57
Over $40M committed to the Infinex public sale?	1	$424	430	0	+430	open	—	01-07 07:17
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$419	210	210	+0	open	—	03-30 07:05
will bitcoin reach 110k in february 2026	2	$398	200	200	+0	open	—	02-11 13:37
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1	$390	390	0	+390	open	—	02-02 02:35
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$384	200	200	+0	open	—	01-16 06:22
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$382	200	200	+0	open	—	05-19 06:30
Over $80M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	1	$376	380	0	+380	open	—	02-04 02:51
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$346	350	0	+350	open	—	03-30 07:30
will bitcoin dip to 35k in february 2026 579 178 738	1	$330	340	0	+340	open	—	02-06 12:08
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$329	330	0	+330	open	—	04-01 01:26
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$312	160	160	+0	open	—	04-30 14:41
Superform FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$300	300	0	+300	open	—	02-11 07:46
will ethereum dip to 2200 in january 2026 518	2	$295	150	150	+0	open	—	01-14 14:52
bitcoin above 80k on january 29	2	$287	144	144	+0	open	—	01-27 07:30
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in April?	2	$280	146	146	+0	open	—	04-04 09:41
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$276	140	140	+0	open	—	04-06 01:22
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	2	$258	130	130	+0	open	—	04-26 06:39
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?	2	$257	130	130	+0	open	—	04-11 21:40
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$253	140	140	+0	open	—	02-04 15:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$245	130	130	+0	open	—	05-07 15:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-24 08:55:04	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	17	94¢	$16	0x7be6ad…
06-24 08:54:13	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	43	95¢	$41	0xdb2a1a…
05-26 06:45:24	Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	83	99¢	$82	0xe35594…
05-19 06:30:23	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	200	96¢	$192	0x95a535…
05-13 06:56:04	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	120	99¢	$119	0xf35c7c…
05-07 15:43:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	130	95¢	$123	0xade584…
05-07 12:31:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	130	94¢	$122	0xa6d460…
05-06 01:41:36	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0xeaca55…
04-30 14:41:14	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	160	98¢	$156	0xaa1474…
04-30 03:22:54	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	SELL	130	58¢	$75	0x79a8ed…
04-27 07:51:00	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	160	97¢	$155	0x58576a…
04-27 07:50:22	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x11d9f2…
04-26 06:39:16	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	130	100¢	$129	0x001d0d…
04-24 08:36:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	240	98¢	$234	0xe72bac…
04-24 02:51:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	240	97¢	$233	0xf74bc9…
04-22 12:24:14	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	81	98¢	$79	0xc01960…
04-18 10:31:26	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x0fc84d…
04-18 10:31:22	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x76fb8f…
04-18 10:14:04	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$7	0x79f3d3…
04-18 10:14:02	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xe54c88…
04-17 23:06:48	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xf87249…
04-17 22:40:38	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	35	98¢	$34	0xdc7770…
04-17 22:40:38	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	65	98¢	$64	0x2a2b57…
04-17 14:19:02	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	120	99¢	$119	0x4d00aa…
04-17 07:14:24	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	135	97¢	$131	0xc24588…
04-17 07:13:40	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xf6962c…
04-17 07:12:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	130	99¢	$129	0x217918…
04-15 08:20:50	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	120	98¢	$118	0xf6d664…
04-11 21:40:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?	No	SELL	130	100¢	$129	0xce732a…
04-08 05:54:39	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	144	98¢	$141	0xc8e756…
04-06 01:22:07	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	140	99¢	$139	0xf44a2b…
04-04 09:41:03	Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in April?	No	SELL	146	96¢	$140	0xafdaff…
04-03 07:29:11	Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in April?	No	BUY	146	96¢	$140	0x2743bc…
04-03 07:28:35	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	140	98¢	$138	0x44b7d3…
04-03 07:28:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?	No	BUY	130	98¢	$128	0xb00602…
04-01 01:27:45	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	144	96¢	$138	0xf1d869…
04-01 01:26:47	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	BUY	130	91¢	$118	0x24f826…
04-01 01:26:15	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	330	100¢	$329	0xb9aeae…
04-01 00:57:21	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	SELL	96	91¢	$87	0xca9bdd…
04-01 00:18:47	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	SELL	19	91¢	$18	0x10704b…
04-01 00:15:43	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0x895dc3…
03-31 22:15:31	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x3c9d59…
03-31 14:02:33	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	SELL	9	91¢	$8	0xb73fa7…
03-31 13:31:33	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	SELL	21	91¢	$19	0x88cbe4…
03-30 07:31:10	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	BUY	210	99¢	$209	0x79155d…
03-30 07:30:46	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	108	99¢	$107	0xa5e984…
03-30 07:30:16	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	242	99¢	$239	0x5b40df…
03-30 07:05:14	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	210	100¢	$210	0x1f8113…
03-28 08:54:53	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	BUY	150	89¢	$134	0xd3c98a…
03-28 08:51:31	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	210	100¢	$209	0xf01ef4…
02-11 16:57:29	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	120	99¢	$119	0x71e26d…
02-11 13:37:57	will bitcoin reach 110k in february 2026	No	SELL	200	100¢	$199	0x99a45d…
02-11 08:50:37	Espresso FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x7ed491…
02-11 07:49:39	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0x7897c7…
02-11 07:48:45	will bitcoin reach 110k in february 2026	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xe8120b…
02-11 07:47:25	Espresso FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x7aed6d…
02-11 07:46:41	Superform FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x9163de…
02-06 14:02:19	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	105	99¢	$104	0xdde034…
02-06 12:08:51	will bitcoin dip to 35k in february 2026 579 178 738	No	BUY	340	97¢	$330	0x3e315c…
02-06 12:08:17	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0x2137bd…
02-06 12:07:33	Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	83	98¢	$81	0xe562b4…
02-05 17:03:39	Rainbow FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x3b90e7…
02-04 18:45:57	Aztec FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	86	98¢	$85	0x5d3fcd…
02-04 15:33:53	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	140	91¢	$127	0x8c03ac…
02-04 02:51:42	Over $80M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	No	BUY	380	99¢	$376	0xc9d069…
02-04 02:49:10	Aztec FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	86	98¢	$84	0x3fae39…
02-04 02:48:44	Rainbow FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x2c1a14…
02-04 02:38:52	Rainbow FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xf4bb05…
02-04 02:35:30	Rainbow FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xf66631…
02-03 00:06:12	will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	No	SELL	5	96¢	$4	0xfb61a7…
02-03 00:05:36	will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	No	SELL	62	96¢	$59	0xc94301…
02-02 23:51:58	will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	No	SELL	34	96¢	$32	0x27fea9…
02-02 21:04:16	will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	No	SELL	95	98¢	$93	0x1f865c…
02-02 21:02:04	will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xeea3eb…
02-02 21:01:32	will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xabf59c…
02-02 21:00:32	will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x31bec3…
02-02 20:58:22	will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x0a3ddf…
02-02 20:58:06	will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xdf263d…
02-02 20:55:16	will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x06a0bf…
02-02 20:55:06	will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xdf1131…
02-02 20:53:34	will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd0eb3c…
02-02 20:52:00	will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x984a10…
02-02 20:52:00	will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x55f070…
02-02 06:04:42	Zama FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x84e297…
02-02 06:02:34	Zama FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	106	99¢	$106	0x689c18…
02-02 02:36:56	Rainbow FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x1a1d22…
02-02 02:36:22	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	140	90¢	$126	0x38001f…
02-02 02:36:00	Zama FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0x0c05cc…
02-02 02:35:34	will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x286f08…
02-02 02:35:28	will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	No	BUY	110	98¢	$108	0xc2939b…
02-02 02:35:12	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	BUY	390	100¢	$390	0x80a9f3…
02-01 14:33:10	EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0x72fc6f…
01-30 12:23:38	Infinex FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	236	100¢	$235	0x022de9…
01-28 09:50:27	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	SELL	97	100¢	$96	0x257291…
01-28 09:34:37	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0x7805d2…
01-28 09:33:23	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x699ef0…
01-28 09:16:55	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0xea7f92…
01-28 08:47:59	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x3cfe37…
01-28 08:40:57	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x9c26ff…
01-28 08:40:21	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x84b3a1…