Formal-Dude — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.2%

Resolved

Trades

563

lifetime

Volume

$2.31K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 05-12 10:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 38% $-5

Other

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1772548200	12	$117	148	125	+23	open	—	03-03 14:45
btc updown 5m 1772261700	2	$70	41	41	+0	open	—	02-28 06:58
btc updown 15m 1772547300	14	$57	109	92	+17	open	—	03-03 14:29
btc updown 5m 1772315400	3	$55	61	28	+33	open	—	02-28 21:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	1	$50	82	0	+82	open	—	05-04 13:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	1	$50	59	0	+59	open	—	05-04 13:43
btc updown 5m 1772259600	1	$50	51	0	+51	open	—	02-28 06:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	2	$46	27	27	+0	open	—	05-04 13:59
btc updown 15m 1772550000	6	$44	66	66	+1	open	—	03-03 15:10
btc updown 15m 1772541900	7	$42	48	47	+1	open	—	03-03 12:54
btc updown 15m 1772543700	7	$33	56	48	+8	open	—	03-03 13:25
btc updown 5m 1772292600	4	$32	31	25	+5	open	—	02-28 15:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	2	$31	21	21	+0	open	—	05-04 13:54
btc updown 15m 1772552700	4	$30	47	46	+1	open	—	03-03 15:48
btc updown 15m 1772502300	9	$30	101	37	+64	open	—	03-03 01:56
btc updown 5m 1772263500	2	$28	20	19	+0	open	—	02-28 07:30
btc updown 15m 1772500500	6	$26	60	59	+0	open	—	03-03 01:26
btc updown 15m 1772499600	6	$26	30	29	+0	open	—	03-03 01:11
btc updown 5m 1772301000	4	$26	17	17	+0	open	—	02-28 17:55
btc updown 15m 1772549100	4	$25	31	30	+0	open	—	03-03 14:53
btc updown 15m 1772503200	5	$24	40	39	+0	open	—	03-03 02:09
btc updown 5m 1772459700	3	$22	15	10	+5	open	—	03-02 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	4	$22	23	23	+0	open	—	05-04 14:09
btc updown 15m 1772544600	6	$21	55	55	+0	open	—	03-03 13:43
btc updown 15m 1772545500	3	$21	27	27	+0	open	—	03-03 13:51
btc updown 15m 1772498700	3	$20	24	24	+0	open	—	03-03 00:59
btc updown 5m 1772262300	1	$20	31	0	+31	open	—	02-28 07:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	3	$20	46	46	+0	open	—	05-03 12:39
btc updown 5m 1775499900	2	$19	22	21	+1	open	—	04-06 18:27
btc updown 15m 1772497800	3	$19	27	12	+14	open	—	03-03 00:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 10:16:04	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xd27e8a…
05-12 01:48:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x7291e4…
05-12 01:42:57	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	11	13¢	$1	0xbc5feb…
05-12 01:42:18	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x37cf7a…
05-12 01:42:01	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x5de644…
05-12 01:41:24	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xff2775…
05-12 01:37:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	SELL	4	8¢	$0	0x5a4d1c…
05-12 01:36:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xa60226…
05-12 01:11:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x603991…
05-12 01:08:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	8	16¢	$1	0x0209dd…
05-12 01:08:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x6a2b61…
05-12 01:06:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	51¢	$2	0xff1d7f…
05-12 01:06:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x479568…
05-12 01:05:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0x5d6950…
05-12 01:05:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xcfa296…
05-12 01:03:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x9132e4…
05-12 01:00:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x089ab5…
05-12 00:57:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xbd695c…
05-12 00:54:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x089173…
05-12 00:53:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x09a71b…
05-12 00:52:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	4	61¢	$2	0xe25a4c…
05-12 00:52:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xde1e11…
05-12 00:51:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	4	59¢	$2	0x9d27fa…
05-12 00:50:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xf2129b…
05-12 00:45:19	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x315cab…
05-12 00:42:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x11bafe…
05-12 00:38:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x3c3bb0…
05-12 00:37:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0x4b01e8…
05-12 00:36:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x79ce63…
05-12 00:33:32	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	SELL	4	44¢	$2	0x876f63…
05-12 00:32:11	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xe158c9…
05-12 00:30:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0x842e13…
05-12 00:30:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x70ee62…
05-12 00:26:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xb05ae9…
05-12 00:21:36	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0x052d07…
05-12 00:20:45	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xe98ebe…
05-12 00:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xe64100…
05-08 19:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xd8556f…
05-08 19:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x727053…
05-08 19:19:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xe044b6…
05-08 19:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x864783…
05-08 19:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xf910df…
05-08 19:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xfc0bea…
05-08 19:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	25	5¢	$1	0x6e99fa…
05-08 19:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x027d08…
05-08 18:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x73f3fb…
05-08 18:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0527df…
05-08 18:47:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0x6fd257…
05-08 18:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe000cf…
05-08 18:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	9	20¢	$2	0x87ef54…
05-08 18:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xa73269…
05-08 18:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x4bef8d…
05-08 18:34:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0xb7934b…
05-08 18:33:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x4b7bcd…
05-08 18:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd2aaf1…
05-08 18:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x2eab50…
05-07 16:14:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	17	2¢	$0	0xa5beef…
05-07 16:12:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xb23af5…
05-04 14:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x4f43be…
05-04 14:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x8330ad…
05-04 14:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xb10d3f…
05-04 14:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x3d162c…
05-04 14:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x71d29f…
05-04 14:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x63b987…
05-04 14:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xdff619…
05-04 14:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	14	21¢	$3	0xbbe7d4…
05-04 14:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x8a7164…
05-04 14:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	48	8¢	$4	0x0ee1d8…
05-04 14:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xa38c52…
05-04 13:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	27	98¢	$26	0xb732f1…
05-04 13:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x002445…
05-04 13:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x9874aa…
05-04 13:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x535bae…
05-04 13:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0xe57308…
05-04 13:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x559404…
05-03 12:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	46	10¢	$5	0xc2e1bc…
05-03 12:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x547ff5…
05-03 12:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x5a9a24…
05-03 11:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	19	20¢	$4	0x14714c…
05-03 11:22:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xf4f420…
05-03 11:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x18c378…
05-03 10:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x2f03de…
05-03 10:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xcb5be3…
05-03 10:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xdea6cd…
04-14 20:17:14	btc updown 5m 1776197700	Up	BUY	7	23¢	$1	0x053e2b…
04-14 20:16:36	Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x17587a…
04-14 19:04:06	Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x639d3e…
04-13 22:09:01	btc updown 15m 1776117600	Down	SELL	93	2¢	$2	0xeb5fd0…
04-13 22:06:59	btc updown 15m 1776117600	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x49d275…
04-13 21:53:53	btc updown 15m 1776116700	Up	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xe1cf0f…
04-13 21:47:41	btc updown 15m 1776116700	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$1	0x24508b…
04-13 21:40:45	btc updown 15m 1776115800	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x6f2c4c…
04-08 20:33:03	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 spread home 1pt5	FC Barcelona	BUY	154	1¢	$2	0x857815…
04-08 20:12:03	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 spread home 1pt5	FC Barcelona	BUY	68	6¢	$4	0x19cd93…
04-08 20:11:25	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 spread home 1pt5	FC Barcelona	BUY	104	5¢	$5	0xeac6cb…
04-08 20:08:41	btc updown 5m 1775678700	Down	SELL	18	28¢	$5	0xee2cd3…
04-08 20:07:59	btc updown 5m 1775678700	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x46e535…
04-08 19:58:31	btc updown 5m 1775678100	Up	SELL	13	37¢	$5	0x3a4eaf…
04-08 19:57:03	btc updown 5m 1775678100	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x6ea487…
04-08 19:53:39	btc updown 5m 1775677800	Down	SELL	16	31¢	$5	0x8c7c55…