Somber-Radiator — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$29

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$118

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 05-16 21:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

45% 0% $-5

Crypto

32% 0% $-24

Politics

23% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	2	$23	24	24	+0	Yes	$-17	05-05 09:39
Will Malta be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	05-02 22:38
will russia capture lyman by april 30 2026	1	$15	21	0	+21	open	—	03-17 21:02
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	1	$13	16	0	+16	open	—	01-22 23:11
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	03-13 20:12
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	2	$8	10	10	+0	open	—	02-05 19:11
Will Italy be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$8	11	0	+11	open	—	05-16 21:22
Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$7	12	12	+0	Yes	$-7	05-05 09:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	1	$5	20	0	+20	open	—	04-19 22:52
Will Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$5	11	0	+11	No	$-5	05-02 22:53
Will Ukraine advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$2	25	0	+25	open	—	05-02 22:53
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	1	$2	14	0	+14	open	—	04-09 20:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 21:22:01	Will Italy be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0x8f1c81…
05-05 09:39:44	Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	24	11¢	$3	0xff43ff…
05-05 09:39:34	Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x5957d6…
05-02 22:54:34	Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0xa80b9f…
05-02 22:54:04	Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0xff18b2…
05-02 22:53:24	Will Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x6624bb…
05-02 22:53:08	Will Ukraine advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xb0b632…
05-02 22:38:16	Will Malta be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xe532f3…
04-19 22:52:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x672aa6…
04-09 20:18:23	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x626ddc…
03-17 21:02:19	will russia capture lyman by april 30 2026	No	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0x7a3e5e…
03-13 20:12:15	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xf13ff1…
02-05 19:11:53	Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0x07bc1a…
01-22 23:11:52	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	16	83¢	$13	0x1f9317…
01-06 09:28:23	Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xf8ae25…