Better-Subsidence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.8%

Resolved

Trades

441

lifetime

Volume

$1.58K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 05-27 13:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 48% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 148 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	10	$49	48	48	+0	open	—	05-03 11:48
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	6	$34	28	28	+0	open	—	05-03 11:38
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	6	$32	30	30	+0	open	—	05-03 16:01
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	11	$30	70	70	+0	Down	$-0	05-10 16:03
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	4	$23	27	27	+0	open	—	05-03 15:03
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	4	$23	24	24	+0	open	—	05-03 15:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	4	$21	26	26	+0	open	—	05-03 07:16
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	4	$21	26	26	+0	open	—	05-03 15:47
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	4	$20	20	20	+0	open	—	05-03 16:21
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	4	$20	22	22	+0	open	—	05-03 15:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	4	$20	20	20	+0	open	—	05-03 12:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	4	$20	18	18	+0	open	—	05-03 12:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	6	$19	32	32	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 08:27
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	6	$18	24	24	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 19:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	6	$18	31	31	+0	Down	$-0	05-10 09:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	4	$17	13	13	+0	open	—	05-03 13:38
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	4	$17	16	16	+0	open	—	05-03 14:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	5	$16	26	26	+0	open	—	05-03 11:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	4	$16	29	29	+0	Up	+$4	05-10 18:53
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	4	$16	23	23	+0	Up	+$4	05-11 16:32
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	4	$15	43	43	+0	Down	+$2	05-11 15:17
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	5	$15	69	46	+23	Up	$-3	05-10 14:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	4	$14	11	11	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 12:22
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$14	14	14	+0	open	—	05-03 16:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	4	$13	12	12	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 05:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$12	9	9	+0	open	—	05-03 17:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	2	$12	9	9	+0	open	—	05-03 12:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	4	$12	27	27	+0	Down	+$0	05-10 16:07
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	6	$12	42	42	+0	open	—	05-14 14:53
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	3	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	05-03 07:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-27 13:02:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	7	33¢	$2	0xe4ae52…
05-27 13:02:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xb6d8ff…
05-17 10:18:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	6	41¢	$3	0xaea33c…
05-17 10:17:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x082579…
05-17 07:07:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	7	42¢	$3	0xbaf97e…
05-17 07:07:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x448402…
05-17 05:30:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	7	37¢	$3	0x9c2d0a…
05-17 05:30:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xa930da…
05-17 04:22:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0xa24237…
05-17 04:22:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x073a2c…
05-17 02:26:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	7	37¢	$3	0x8ab416…
05-17 02:26:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x5c4c58…
05-14 23:46:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	156	1¢	$2	0x8c974c…
05-14 23:46:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	126	4¢	$5	0xaf1f42…
05-14 23:46:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0xf227c1…
05-14 20:16:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	15	24¢	$4	0x204dfa…
05-14 20:16:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x958b25…
05-14 17:37:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	9	25¢	$2	0xec095a…
05-14 17:37:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x476924…
05-14 17:08:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	6	24¢	$2	0x531b52…
05-14 17:06:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xc06098…
05-14 14:53:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	27	4¢	$1	0x8340ae…
05-14 14:53:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x864c50…
05-14 14:52:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	8	19¢	$2	0xb0bd3d…
05-14 14:52:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0x1fe59c…
05-14 14:51:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	8	27¢	$2	0x2d38ba…
05-14 14:51:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xf20b58…
05-14 14:48:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	41	5¢	$2	0x8e6fba…
05-14 14:47:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	41	5¢	$2	0x84063b…
05-14 14:41:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0xc55533…
05-14 14:41:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x32758e…
05-14 14:31:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0xcd4e3c…
05-14 14:31:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xe7b738…
05-14 14:26:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x73ff06…
05-14 14:26:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xea3303…
05-14 14:07:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	82	3¢	$2	0x8e7c15…
05-14 14:07:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	82	3¢	$2	0xd2a9c2…
05-14 13:43:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0x5b5dc7…
05-14 13:43:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x3ae482…
05-14 13:41:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	9	35¢	$3	0xae6b18…
05-14 13:41:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0xab158e…
05-14 13:36:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x241341…
05-14 13:36:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x922bf5…
05-14 13:31:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0xe74282…
05-14 13:31:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x29fea5…
05-14 13:31:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	0	25¢	$0	0x250f58…
05-14 13:03:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x45f1ca…
05-14 13:03:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xcdd41a…
05-14 12:51:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x0c9f91…
05-14 10:22:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0x15439d…
05-14 10:22:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xb3b6a2…
05-14 10:01:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x89bc08…
05-14 07:04:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	SELL	9	91¢	$8	0x5fa4b2…
05-14 07:03:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x9ab107…
05-12 00:32:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0x6aca6d…
05-12 00:31:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x51921e…
05-12 00:17:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	8	25¢	$2	0x921255…
05-12 00:17:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x63dfe7…
05-12 00:00:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	8	28¢	$2	0x711b9d…
05-12 00:00:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x206e73…
05-11 23:47:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	9	31¢	$3	0x13f983…
05-11 23:47:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	28¢	$3	0x64e518…
05-11 23:46:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0xe8ca8a…
05-11 23:46:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xf8e6d0…
05-11 23:36:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	8	21¢	$2	0xb28345…
05-11 23:35:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x64b2f7…
05-11 22:56:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	7	44¢	$3	0x0e150d…
05-11 22:56:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x9c23c1…
05-11 22:51:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	8	39¢	$3	0x5e9149…
05-11 22:51:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x976c77…
05-11 22:46:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	8	56¢	$4	0x9dc1f0…
05-11 22:46:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x0e85a3…
05-11 22:31:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	8	29¢	$2	0x166202…
05-11 22:31:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x389439…
05-11 22:11:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	9	34¢	$3	0x5b87d3…
05-11 22:11:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0x7dc02a…
05-11 22:00:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0x684ac4…
05-11 22:00:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x5b126b…
05-11 21:56:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	8	44¢	$3	0xb624c5…
05-11 21:56:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x9713a9…
05-11 21:52:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	7	27¢	$2	0xa5ade4…
05-11 21:52:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0xa46531…
05-11 21:45:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	7	46¢	$3	0xe95990…
05-11 21:45:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x5fa530…
05-11 21:41:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	7	26¢	$2	0x1312f4…
05-11 21:41:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xf0f635…
05-11 21:27:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	15	20¢	$3	0xdcbf2c…
05-11 21:26:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x3bc4b8…
05-11 21:25:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	9	28¢	$2	0x77c6b9…
05-11 21:25:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x7edac9…
05-11 21:23:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	9	47¢	$4	0x69e5ce…
05-11 21:22:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xdbaa39…
05-11 21:11:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	79¢	$6	0x9c187d…
05-11 21:11:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x2283a7…
05-11 20:41:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	8	43¢	$3	0x1e699a…
05-11 20:41:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xa4d752…
05-11 20:33:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	7	50¢	$4	0x9032ed…
05-11 20:32:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0xefb52c…
05-11 18:38:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x9d62d1…
05-11 18:37:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	13	24¢	$3	0x6f83da…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	169	$16.7K	6,964	05-27 13:04
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	169	$12.2K	4,944	05-27 13:04
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	168	$10.3K	2,539	05-27 13:04
Left-Baboon 0x9656…e340	168	$5.01K	2,524	05-17 10:20
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	167	$64.3K	3,047	05-27 12:59
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	167	$10.5K	1,717	05-27 13:04
Agile-Analogy 0x1015…bac8	167	$9.73K	3,330	05-27 13:03
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	167	$6.03K	1,889	05-27 13:04