Late-Activist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.5%

Resolved

Trades

176

lifetime

Volume

$1.34K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 05-15 19:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 58% $-27

Sports

5% 100% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	4	$73	91	39	+52	Up	$-47	05-13 17:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	3	$69	50	50	+0	Up	+$30	05-13 17:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	3	$53	66	15	+51	Up	+$2	05-12 23:58
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	5	$47	36	36	+0	open	—	05-15 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	7	$47	63	53	+10	open	—	05-15 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	2	$35	46	0	+46	Up	$-9	05-12 18:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	4	$34	52	26	+26	open	—	05-14 09:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	2	$28	18	18	+0	Up	+$8	05-12 23:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	6	$27	87	87	+0	open	—	05-15 16:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	5	$27	28	22	+6	open	—	05-15 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	3	$26	36	16	+20	Down	+$4	05-12 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	1	$25	30	0	+30	Up	$-25	05-12 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	2	$24	14	14	+0	open	—	05-14 19:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	4	$21	31	8	+24	open	—	05-14 09:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	3	$21	46	0	+46	Up	+$14	05-13 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	3	$20	20	14	+6	open	—	05-15 16:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$20	45	0	+45	Up	$-20	05-13 16:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	1	$20	32	0	+32	Down	$-20	05-13 17:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$20	51	0	+51	Up	+$31	05-13 16:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	1	$20	23	0	+23	Down	+$3	05-13 00:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	3	$20	46	0	+46	Up	+$26	05-13 17:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	4	$20	42	0	+42	Down	$-20	05-13 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	1	$20	24	0	+24	Up	+$4	05-13 17:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	3	$20	36	0	+36	open	—	05-14 09:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	4	$18	48	0	+48	Down	$-18	05-13 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$15	34	0	+34	Up	$-15	05-13 18:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$15	35	0	+35	Down	$-15	05-13 17:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	3	$15	26	0	+26	open	—	05-14 09:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	3	$15	30	0	+30	open	—	05-13 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	3	$15	29	0	+29	Up	+$14	05-13 18:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 19:44:47	Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5	Over	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xdb1f1f…
05-15 19:44:05	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	SELL	23	66¢	$15	0xbb4c28…
05-15 16:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x06e1f5…
05-15 16:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	27	19¢	$5	0x056b48…
05-15 16:20:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x9d57c4…
05-15 16:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	56	3¢	$2	0xa3571e…
05-15 16:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x85fe7c…
05-15 16:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	23	19¢	$4	0xa76608…
05-15 16:17:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x82b889…
05-15 16:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	9	71¢	$6	0x25ba6f…
05-15 16:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x447041…
05-15 16:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x9c7cf7…
05-15 16:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	19	35¢	$7	0x9c0697…
05-15 16:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xdecb07…
05-15 16:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	19	46¢	$9	0x69ccdf…
05-15 16:11:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x80602b…
05-15 16:11:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	15	76¢	$11	0x09aab5…
05-15 16:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x7a99dd…
05-15 16:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xac4121…
05-15 16:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	14	74¢	$10	0x9f4621…
05-15 16:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x18bead…
05-15 16:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xed8d33…
05-15 16:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xee2586…
05-15 16:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x54fa80…
05-15 16:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	12	56¢	$7	0x3790eb…
05-15 16:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x558b78…
05-15 15:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x0d8681…
05-15 14:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x9e8e0c…
05-15 14:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xbd69e7…
05-15 14:13:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0xce951b…
05-15 14:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xc8a680…
05-15 14:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xb1ac2c…
05-15 13:54:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xadf663…
05-15 13:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x3f7c71…
05-15 13:45:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xf783ce…
05-15 13:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xcc8860…
05-15 08:56:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0x4be8be…
05-15 08:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x3193a9…
05-15 08:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0xed5876…
05-15 08:43:59	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0x8465f2…
05-15 08:43:17	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0x6043c8…
05-14 19:56:26	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	5	66¢	$4	0xb1e311…
05-14 19:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x983a02…
05-14 19:50:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x5cb3c8…
05-14 19:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x896432…
05-14 17:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x73fd5e…
05-14 17:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x4c4869…
05-14 17:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x737706…
05-14 17:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x30e9f0…
05-14 17:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x6e7d40…
05-14 17:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9715ed…
05-14 17:02:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x319acc…
05-14 10:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xa57904…
05-14 10:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xea9b9c…
05-14 10:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xabd832…
05-14 09:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xc24a14…
05-14 09:55:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd5a8ca…
05-14 09:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x19e713…
05-14 09:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x97926b…
05-14 09:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	26	35¢	$9	0xe6bd12…
05-14 09:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x3dd7b9…
05-14 09:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	21	10¢	$2	0xb6db28…
05-14 09:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x1db6d7…
05-14 09:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xdae4c3…
05-14 09:36:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x606857…
05-14 09:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xa3b981…
05-14 09:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xbdc60b…
05-14 09:34:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xafae90…
05-14 09:31:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x5d1c1d…
05-14 09:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xfa785f…
05-14 09:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x109f27…
05-14 09:25:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf3fb29…
05-14 09:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xe4fc90…
05-14 09:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x626576…
05-14 09:15:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x34e21d…
05-14 09:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x986563…
05-14 09:10:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x0576ca…
05-14 09:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	8	19¢	$1	0x511a08…
05-14 09:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x92439e…
05-14 09:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xa9e2d5…
05-14 09:05:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x64159f…
05-14 09:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x0931b9…
05-14 09:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xbc645b…
05-14 08:56:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x84e99d…
05-14 08:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x7f3056…
05-14 08:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x0a8ec9…
05-14 08:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xff981e…
05-14 08:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x062925…
05-14 08:47:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x536005…
05-14 08:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xf711fc…
05-14 08:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x8d4222…
05-14 08:35:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x991cec…
05-14 08:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xbe200c…
05-14 08:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0xa242cb…
05-14 08:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	57¢	$1	0x226cf9…
05-14 08:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x0b6f48…
05-13 18:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x31423b…
05-13 18:57:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xe7f513…
05-13 18:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd3991f…
05-13 18:55:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x580713…