Keen-Thorn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

9.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$9.00K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$200

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-17

last 07-03 06:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

91% 100% +$1

Politics

5% 0% $-1

Sports

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	4	$1.7K	887	887	+0	open	—	03-18 06:49
elon musk of tweets march 2026 1040 1079	2	$1.7K	879	879	+0	open	—	03-18 12:54
will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	2	$1.7K	852	852	+0	open	—	03-18 11:54
Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?	2	$1.4K	770	770	+0	open	—	03-19 00:41
will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	6	$1.3K	705	705	+0	open	—	03-18 23:02
Will Israel strike 2 countries in 2026?	6	$228	3,085	3,085	+0	open	—	03-18 23:20
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$208	109	109	+0	open	—	03-19 02:41
tsla up or down on march 17 2026	1	$193	311	0	+311	open	—	03-17 14:20
will manuel saavedra win the 2026 santa cruz de la sierra mayoral election	3	$131	1,089	1,089	+0	open	—	03-19 01:30
nba phx min 2026 03 17 1h spread home 1pt5	1	$130	241	0	+241	open	—	03-17 15:17
Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	2	$92	737	737	+0	Yes	$-1	03-18 05:44
ucl ars lev 2026 03 17 lev	2	$39	42	0	+42	open	—	03-17 15:43
will miguel roca win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	2	$33	18	18	+0	open	—	03-18 16:14
itsb reg mon 2026 03 17 total 4pt5	2	$21	23	0	+23	open	—	03-17 16:03
Australia vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5	1	$16	18	0	+18	open	—	06-06 15:17
Real Zaragoza vs. Málaga CF: O/U 0.5	1	$16	17	0	+17	open	—	05-31 14:03
fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 spread home 1pt5	1	$16	17	0	+17	open	—	07-03 06:39
US Cremonese vs. Pisa SC: O/U 4.5	1	$9	10	0	+10	Under	+$1	05-09 15:27
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$7	38	38	+0	open	—	03-18 20:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 06:39:07	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 spread home 1pt5	Egypt	BUY	17	92¢	$16	0x655509…
06-06 15:17:33	Australia vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	18	90¢	$16	0x65ec64…
05-31 14:03:21	Real Zaragoza vs. Málaga CF: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x36c6d1…
05-09 15:27:19	US Cremonese vs. Pisa SC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x4daee1…
03-19 02:41:51	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x4374d5…
03-19 02:41:31	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	40	96¢	$38	0x239d47…
03-19 02:41:31	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	59	96¢	$56	0x10386c…
03-19 01:30:59	will manuel saavedra win the 2026 santa cruz de la sierra mayoral election	No	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x51b0f3…
03-19 01:30:47	will manuel saavedra win the 2026 santa cruz de la sierra mayoral election	No	SELL	1,084	6¢	$65	0xca286a…
03-19 01:23:53	will manuel saavedra win the 2026 santa cruz de la sierra mayoral election	No	BUY	1,089	6¢	$65	0x2ca993…
03-19 00:41:03	Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	770	94¢	$724	0xfc268d…
03-19 00:33:03	Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	770	93¢	$715	0x9f2665…
03-18 23:20:49	Will Israel strike 2 countries in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,506	4¢	$54	0xb91282…
03-18 23:20:49	Will Israel strike 2 countries in 2026?	Yes	SELL	106	4¢	$4	0x7a2c89…
03-18 23:20:49	Will Israel strike 2 countries in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,349	4¢	$49	0x350354…
03-18 23:20:49	Will Israel strike 2 countries in 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	4¢	$1	0x1ba4da…
03-18 23:20:49	Will Israel strike 2 countries in 2026?	Yes	SELL	103	4¢	$4	0x039a05…
03-18 23:13:29	Will Israel strike 2 countries in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,085	4¢	$117	0x0423e4…
03-18 23:02:33	will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xe41966…
03-18 23:02:33	will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	No	SELL	681	95¢	$647	0xd1a37b…
03-18 23:02:33	will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	No	SELL	22	95¢	$21	0xb14561…
03-18 22:54:57	will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	No	BUY	25	94¢	$24	0xf2b97c…
03-18 22:54:57	will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	No	BUY	357	94¢	$337	0x3204ee…
03-18 22:54:57	will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	No	BUY	323	94¢	$305	0x065a74…
03-18 20:43:11	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	38	9¢	$3	0x3be80a…
03-18 20:33:49	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	38	9¢	$3	0x66f5a9…
03-18 16:14:11	will miguel roca win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	No	SELL	18	92¢	$17	0x482cdd…
03-18 16:05:11	will miguel roca win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	No	BUY	18	91¢	$16	0x82e688…
03-18 15:48:55	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	109	96¢	$104	0xd6bcd2…
03-18 12:54:47	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1040 1079	No	SELL	879	98¢	$859	0x71eb70…
03-18 12:45:41	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1040 1079	No	BUY	879	98¢	$859	0x6a6563…
03-18 11:54:47	will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	No	SELL	852	97¢	$826	0xbeb1ac…
03-18 11:47:01	will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	No	BUY	852	97¢	$826	0x984bcf…
03-18 06:49:41	will there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	No	SELL	887	97¢	$860	0x3c7aa7…
03-18 06:39:55	will there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	No	BUY	121	97¢	$117	0xbc1864…
03-18 06:39:55	will there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	No	BUY	195	97¢	$189	0xad5936…
03-18 06:39:55	will there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	No	BUY	571	97¢	$553	0x4ca155…
03-18 05:44:09	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	No	SELL	737	6¢	$46	0xae1418…
03-18 05:34:23	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	No	BUY	737	6¢	$46	0xbac13f…
03-17 16:03:31	itsb reg mon 2026 03 17 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0x6714c3…
03-17 16:03:31	itsb reg mon 2026 03 17 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0x426362…
03-17 15:43:39	ucl ars lev 2026 03 17 lev	No	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0xe3261e…
03-17 15:31:03	ucl ars lev 2026 03 17 lev	No	BUY	17	92¢	$16	0x9ccafb…
03-17 15:17:53	nba phx min 2026 03 17 1h spread home 1pt5	Timberwolves	BUY	241	54¢	$130	0x9c6bd9…
03-17 14:20:41	tsla up or down on march 17 2026	Up	BUY	311	62¢	$193	0xef94b3…