Vague-Maximum — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.44K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 05-08 00:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 85% $-16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	2	$80	41	41	+0	open	—	04-30 15:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	2	$80	40	40	+0	open	—	05-01 06:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	2	$69	40	40	+0	open	—	05-02 04:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	4	$58	30	30	+0	Up	$-2	05-07 05:14
Solana Up or Down - May 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	2	$47	138	138	+0	open	—	05-02 01:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	2	$42	22	22	+0	open	—	04-30 05:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	2	$41	21	21	+0	open	—	04-30 10:15
XRP Up or Down - April 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	2	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	04-29 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	04-28 18:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	04-29 00:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	2	$30	15	15	+0	Down	+$0	05-07 07:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	2	$30	15	15	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	2	$30	15	15	+0	Down	+$0	05-07 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	2	$30	15	15	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 05:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	2	$30	15	15	+0	Down	+$0	05-07 08:14
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$30	15	15	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 18:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	2	$30	15	15	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 05:44
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	05-03 10:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	2	$30	15	15	+0	Down	+$0	05-07 01:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	2	$30	15	15	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 04:14
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	2	$30	15	15	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	2	$30	15	15	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	2	$30	15	15	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 02:49
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	05-03 12:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	05-04 19:04
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	2	$30	15	15	+0	Down	+$0	05-07 06:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	2	$30	15	15	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 05:39
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	2	$30	15	15	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 04:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	2	$30	15	15	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 04:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	2	$30	15	15	+0	Down	+$0	05-07 07:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 00:19:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	16	41¢	$6	0xc9682f…
05-08 00:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xb9c07d…
05-07 08:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xe89504…
05-07 08:14:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x9c77ce…
05-07 07:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xd8f62b…
05-07 07:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xc88760…
05-07 07:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xbd1626…
05-07 07:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xe33473…
05-07 07:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	15	60¢	$9	0xc3518f…
05-07 07:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x54c1bd…
05-07 06:05:00	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xf0491c…
05-07 06:04:18	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x157652…
05-07 05:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	15	93¢	$14	0xbc2a55…
05-07 05:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	15	93¢	$14	0x094a03…
05-07 05:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x58be06…
05-07 05:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x13b765…
05-07 05:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xc5d00d…
05-07 05:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x8646ba…
05-07 04:54:26	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x3dfc6e…
05-07 04:54:19	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xeb40b6…
05-07 04:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x584ba8…
05-07 04:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x6c1738…
05-07 02:49:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x722fd1…
05-07 02:49:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x9b0eef…
05-07 02:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x5422f1…
05-07 02:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x9c1596…
05-07 01:54:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x151556…
05-07 01:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x580c4a…
05-07 01:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x524974…
05-07 01:24:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xb2b230…
05-06 23:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x405228…
05-06 23:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x810934…
05-06 19:14:45	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x3d0b9e…
05-06 19:14:19	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x3c7fe8…
05-06 18:19:50	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xb3de0c…
05-06 18:19:43	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xb51f14…
05-06 05:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xaf6873…
05-06 05:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x710f8e…
05-06 05:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xbac576…
05-06 05:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xe65302…
05-05 04:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x5f3f96…
05-05 04:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xf06bd0…
05-04 19:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xc1dde3…
05-04 19:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x37b9de…
05-03 12:30:04	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xdfc618…
05-03 12:29:42	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x8e352f…
05-03 10:30:02	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x1553cb…
05-03 10:29:48	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x399624…
05-03 06:45:14	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0xfe26cb…
05-03 04:45:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	16	80¢	$13	0x4970ca…
05-03 04:44:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x20e28d…
05-03 03:15:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x231be1…
05-03 03:00:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	16	40¢	$7	0xd49cf4…
05-03 02:59:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	91¢	$15	0xebb74e…
05-02 04:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	40	72¢	$29	0xf664d4…
05-02 04:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xa55712…
05-02 01:10:02	Solana Up or Down - May 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	138	5¢	$7	0x759a69…
05-02 01:09:52	Solana Up or Down - May 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	138	29¢	$40	0xdc700f…
05-01 13:20:06	Solana Up or Down - May 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xea651e…
05-01 08:30:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x1ddba8…
05-01 06:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x8caaf4…
05-01 06:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x9a79d7…
04-30 15:55:12	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	41	99¢	$41	0x9d5df4…
04-30 15:55:02	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	41	96¢	$39	0x785d0a…
04-30 13:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x0c6512…
04-30 11:15:08	Solana Up or Down - April 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xcc05c6…
04-30 10:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xdebddc…
04-30 10:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x3a9ba6…
04-30 05:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x1b2cc9…
04-30 05:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x057d83…
04-29 23:10:20	Solana Up or Down - April 29, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xdb8eef…
04-29 22:20:08	XRP Up or Down - April 29, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe482d2…
04-29 21:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x108902…
04-29 20:59:58	XRP Up or Down - April 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x838125…
04-29 20:59:56	XRP Up or Down - April 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xdc5127…
04-29 19:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x612e90…
04-29 14:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x3a933e…
04-29 14:15:24	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	69	4¢	$3	0x16ce2f…
04-29 00:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x34d174…
04-29 00:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x412e80…
04-29 00:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	21	93¢	$20	0x4e6a99…
04-28 18:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xe5a4e3…
04-28 18:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xdd9224…