Gracious-Reorganization — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

26.9%

Resolved

Trades

282

lifetime

Volume

$986

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 07-25 13:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

38% 25% $-10

Other

32% — —

Crypto

30% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Spurs vs. Thunder	9	$53	40	40	+0	open	—	05-19 03:38
cs2 furia fal2 2026 06 21 game1	2	$34	21	21	+0	open	—	06-21 15:38
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	4	$33	33	33	+0	open	—	05-20 14:15
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	7	$30	235	0	+235	open	—	05-18 02:09
will france reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134499	2	$27	42	2	+40	open	—	07-04 16:54
will spain reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134495	1	$25	40	0	+40	open	—	06-12 05:23
will mexico reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134467	2	$25	32	32	+0	open	—	07-04 16:51
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 total 1pt5	3	$24	14	14	+0	open	—	07-12 02:52
lol ig1 wb 2026 07 25	2	$23	19	19	+0	open	—	07-25 11:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	14	$22	90	14	+76	open	—	05-21 13:54
will portugal reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134507	1	$20	37	0	+37	open	—	06-12 05:25
will brazil reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134475	1	$20	29	0	+29	open	—	07-05 01:28
fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 total 5pt5	1	$20	25	0	+25	open	—	07-07 01:15
nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	5	$19	24	24	+0	open	—	06-14 03:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	8	$18	38	28	+10	open	—	05-21 14:43
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	2	$18	26	0	+26	open	—	05-19 14:17
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 btts	2	$18	13	13	+0	open	—	07-12 02:42
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	8	$17	44	24	+20	open	—	05-20 13:59
Pistons vs. Magic	3	$17	24	11	+13	open	—	04-28 01:43
Raptors vs. Cavaliers	7	$17	21	21	+0	open	—	04-30 01:33
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	10	$17	165	51	+114	open	—	05-20 14:22
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	8	$16	20	20	+0	open	—	05-21 10:43
fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 total 2pt5	2	$16	10	10	+0	open	—	07-07 01:13
eth updown 15m 1784901600	8	$15	28	28	+0	open	—	07-24 14:14
Spurs vs. Thunder	4	$15	45	0	+45	open	—	05-20 14:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	9	$15	119	19	+100	open	—	05-19 14:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	6	$14	35	35	+0	open	—	05-21 10:57
76ers vs. Celtics	3	$13	19	12	+7	open	—	05-03 00:29
Pistons vs. Magic	2	$12	14	14	+0	open	—	05-02 01:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	10	$12	14	14	+0	open	—	05-21 14:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-25 13:13:13	eth updown 15m 1784984400	Down	BUY	109	1¢	$1	0x376aa3…
07-25 11:44:39	lol ig1 wb 2026 07 25	Invictus Gaming	SELL	19	100¢	$18	0xcf3d95…
07-25 10:37:33	lol ig1 wb 2026 07 25	Invictus Gaming	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xcda3ed…
07-24 14:19:51	eth updown 15m 1784902500	Up	SELL	13	28¢	$4	0x56ae45…
07-24 14:19:13	eth updown 15m 1784902500	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xfac6e6…
07-24 14:19:07	eth updown 15m 1784902500	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x9d65a0…
07-24 14:14:57	eth updown 15m 1784901600	Down	SELL	3	13¢	$0	0x0cdb76…
07-24 14:14:03	eth updown 15m 1784901600	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x201965…
07-24 14:13:04	eth updown 15m 1784901600	Down	SELL	25	36¢	$9	0xbeeb81…
07-24 14:10:45	eth updown 15m 1784901600	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xf2544c…
07-24 14:08:37	eth updown 15m 1784901600	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x584d41…
07-24 14:08:16	eth updown 15m 1784901600	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x189e4a…
07-24 14:08:04	eth updown 15m 1784901600	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x57d851…
07-24 14:08:03	eth updown 15m 1784901600	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x51d7df…
07-19 11:30:42	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x983a88…
07-19 11:30:21	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x6e9f00…
07-15 13:42:50	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x3748d2…
07-15 13:42:50	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x0a0c8e…
07-15 13:42:40	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xdb0ab9…
07-14 14:39:53	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x8a4656…
07-14 14:39:43	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 btts	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x1779b7…
07-12 02:52:13	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x76e298…
07-12 02:42:28	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 btts	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xb8c69b…
07-12 02:41:55	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xac0213…
07-12 02:18:22	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 btts	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x2d08d3…
07-12 02:16:50	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x7ff7e4…
07-11 17:18:53	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x938386…
07-10 14:12:34	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x441ffb…
07-08 15:33:59	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x9eccc6…
07-07 13:05:50	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xcb86ed…
07-07 01:15:13	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x4a91e2…
07-07 01:13:32	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x3795ff…
07-06 14:33:35	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x6098e2…
07-06 14:31:22	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0xbe439d…
07-05 23:16:59	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x41f314…
07-05 14:37:49	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xc13d1e…
07-05 01:28:52	will brazil reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134475	Yes	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0xa6ed1b…
07-04 16:54:37	will france reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134499	Yes	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xc159a1…
07-04 16:53:26	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xec660d…
07-04 16:51:35	will mexico reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134467	Yes	SELL	32	46¢	$15	0x2f3b3b…
07-03 14:22:13	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x92faf5…
07-03 01:18:08	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x164836…
07-03 01:17:40	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x8466ea…
07-02 15:22:08	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x55665c…
06-30 11:15:17	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x511d53…
06-30 11:14:44	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0x51763f…
06-29 13:19:50	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x31ca9e…
06-27 14:23:13	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x26e0f6…
06-27 14:22:31	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0xa367c8…
06-26 15:06:52	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xc6217c…
06-26 15:06:31	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 btts	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xdd7a2c…
06-26 15:06:25	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0x323731…
06-22 13:17:31	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x62761f…
06-21 15:51:22	cs2 furia fal2 2026 06 21	FURIA	BUY	19	24¢	$4	0xd852a1…
06-21 15:48:31	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x81870f…
06-21 15:44:17	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 spread home 2pt5	Spain	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xf7b7aa…
06-21 15:38:31	cs2 furia fal2 2026 06 21 game1	Team Falcons	SELL	21	98¢	$20	0x2668ed…
06-21 15:05:52	cs2 furia fal2 2026 06 21 game1	Team Falcons	BUY	21	68¢	$14	0x782ebf…
06-14 03:28:54	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Spurs	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xed3357…
06-14 03:25:33	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Spurs	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x1e70db…
06-14 03:20:48	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	SELL	14	93¢	$13	0x1eca7f…
06-14 02:31:16	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x80f247…
06-14 02:06:28	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x190576…
06-12 05:29:00	will mexico reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134467	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xa5c338…
06-12 05:25:13	will portugal reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134507	Yes	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x856790…
06-12 05:24:09	will france reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134499	Yes	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x4828bb…
06-12 05:23:21	will spain reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134495	Yes	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x525821…
05-22 06:57:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x2d477c…
05-22 06:56:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x66fbdc…
05-22 06:54:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x3d4f58…
05-22 06:53:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x9a4402…
05-22 06:46:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xee87c0…
05-22 06:45:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xd7d6fa…
05-22 06:45:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	64¢	$3	0x869605…
05-22 06:45:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xd37206…
05-22 06:45:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x26392a…
05-22 06:42:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x8a6113…
05-22 06:38:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x82dcca…
05-22 06:34:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0x7bd171…
05-22 06:33:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xd0740d…
05-22 06:25:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xfc12e1…
05-22 06:24:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xff4528…
05-22 06:20:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x09eb9c…
05-22 06:19:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x78b4c0…
05-22 02:28:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x22cdc0…
05-22 02:27:32	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x7db721…
05-21 14:58:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xd1be1b…
05-21 14:56:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x2dc2c0…
05-21 14:43:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xdba386…
05-21 14:42:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x81743b…
05-21 14:40:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	28	40¢	$11	0xc76ed0…
05-21 14:39:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x6194d8…
05-21 14:37:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xbe17c2…
05-21 14:33:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xb7fac5…
05-21 14:33:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xb436b0…
05-21 14:32:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xec5cbb…
05-21 14:29:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xe09abe…
05-21 14:29:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	33	17¢	$6	0x28905c…
05-21 14:21:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x6f1777…
05-21 14:18:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xee3516…