Ready-Thunderhead — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.7%

Resolved

Trades

373

lifetime

Volume

$1.17K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-25

last 05-20 17:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 75% +$2

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 75 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	3	$55	39	39	+0	open	—	05-01 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	3	$52	40	29	+11	open	—	05-01 13:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	3	$41	22	22	+0	open	—	05-01 14:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	7	$41	29	29	+0	open	—	04-30 11:49
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	3	$35	33	5	+28	open	—	04-20 09:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	3	$31	28	18	+10	open	—	04-30 12:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	3	$29	27	13	+14	open	—	05-01 13:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	6	$27	17	17	+0	open	—	05-01 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	2	$24	14	14	+0	open	—	05-01 14:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	3	$22	13	13	+0	open	—	04-30 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	4	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	05-01 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	3	$22	15	14	+1	open	—	05-01 15:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	2	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	05-01 13:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	2	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	04-30 11:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	05-01 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	3	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	05-01 14:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	1	$20	27	0	+27	open	—	05-02 09:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	04-30 10:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	3	$12	14	2	+12	open	—	04-30 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	2	$12	13	0	+13	open	—	04-30 12:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	3	$12	15	0	+15	open	—	04-30 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	1	$12	13	0	+13	open	—	05-01 15:20
btc updown 5m 1776852000	3	$11	15	0	+15	open	—	04-22 10:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	3	$11	13	2	+11	open	—	05-01 15:09
bitcoin above 70k on march 25	2	$11	8	7	+0	open	—	03-25 05:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	3	$11	13	2	+11	open	—	05-01 12:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	3	$11	14	2	+12	open	—	05-01 12:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	2	$11	13	0	+13	open	—	04-30 23:59
btc updown 5m 1776696900	2	$11	11	10	+0	open	—	04-20 15:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	04-30 11:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 17:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x2e1d4e…
05-20 14:21:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x5e8708…
05-20 14:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe10a0f…
05-19 09:28:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x0acc05…
05-19 09:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x8a9208…
05-19 09:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x36ff83…
05-19 09:15:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xca6fb4…
05-19 09:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd8101c…
05-19 09:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x39c3b4…
05-15 15:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x3f956d…
05-15 15:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x726b69…
05-15 12:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5ade7e…
05-15 12:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc13e65…
05-15 12:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xb8fc03…
05-15 11:35:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x594c6b…
05-15 11:33:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x17bbec…
05-15 11:33:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0x1ea2eb…
05-15 11:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x23c179…
05-15 11:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x1288d5…
05-15 11:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x7933cb…
05-14 13:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x40773b…
05-14 13:53:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x6f1ab5…
05-14 10:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x9550c6…
05-14 10:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x695964…
05-13 11:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x569ead…
05-13 11:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x1acd88…
05-13 11:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xe6be86…
05-11 16:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0x10b03b…
05-11 16:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xb095c6…
05-11 15:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x280387…
05-11 15:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x515da9…
05-11 14:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x26ab17…
05-11 14:47:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xf1d2e7…
05-11 14:39:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x461178…
05-11 14:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x793356…
05-11 14:16:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x90d945…
05-11 14:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xf9d8aa…
05-11 14:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x24ee3b…
05-11 14:11:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x64913f…
05-11 14:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcbcec8…
05-11 14:08:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x1788b0…
05-11 14:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x8c8626…
05-11 13:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xb616bf…
05-11 13:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x2b8147…
05-11 11:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0xcccda5…
05-11 11:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xa8b545…
05-11 11:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x5b1c96…
05-11 11:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xd7ded8…
05-10 21:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	28¢	$1	0xe7d707…
05-10 21:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x33c242…
05-10 21:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x536b10…
05-10 21:51:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x726f4e…
05-09 16:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x2a66ac…
05-09 16:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xfc3cf7…
05-09 16:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0x26a764…
05-09 16:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xab6b16…
05-02 09:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x07bb22…
05-02 08:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xd127ae…
05-02 08:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xa80b39…
05-02 08:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xe6ad5d…
05-02 08:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd389d3…
05-02 08:22:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xfe9a2a…
05-02 08:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x16a766…
05-02 08:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x23c55a…
05-02 07:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xdb2219…
05-01 17:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x6de7d1…
05-01 16:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1c6292…
05-01 16:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x6ed134…
05-01 16:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x506e0e…
05-01 16:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0x9b8f20…
05-01 16:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x661717…
05-01 16:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x6dff31…
05-01 16:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0x616f46…
05-01 16:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xfdb07b…
05-01 15:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1d8935…
05-01 15:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xf56bf5…
05-01 15:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x152f0e…
05-01 15:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xc53d39…
05-01 15:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfaf1bb…
05-01 15:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x168dce…
05-01 15:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xf1044d…
05-01 15:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	14	76¢	$11	0x0ebcda…
05-01 15:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x9c36b2…
05-01 15:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x74f187…
05-01 15:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xaa657b…
05-01 15:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x91e345…
05-01 15:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x7ee429…
05-01 15:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x7d5a9a…
05-01 15:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	39	87¢	$34	0x7d2aa5…
05-01 15:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	37	55¢	$20	0xb002d0…
05-01 15:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9f3886…
05-01 15:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	13	88¢	$12	0xe3f114…
05-01 15:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x1b88da…
05-01 15:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0x028e67…
05-01 15:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x96449c…
05-01 15:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x2b30eb…
05-01 14:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x576d1e…
05-01 14:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xe11428…
05-01 14:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xd32f9b…
05-01 14:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0xaae191…