Medium-Conception — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

5.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$49

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 07-22 17:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

80% 14% $-17

Other

10% — —

Politics

9% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	6	$15	21	8	+13	Down	$-4	05-09 21:33
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	4	$12	17	6	+11	Down	$-4	05-09 20:47
cs2 fal2 100t 2026 07 22	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	07-22 17:54
iran successfully targets shipping on july 20	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	07-22 01:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Down	$-2	05-13 13:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Down	$-2	05-13 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Down	$-2	05-13 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	2	$2	5	0	+5	Down	$-2	05-13 13:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$2	5	0	+5	Down	+$1	05-06 14:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 17:54:36	cs2 fal2 100t 2026 07 22	Team Falcons	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x2e5a39…
07-22 01:07:31	iran successfully targets shipping on july 20	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x162cb5…
05-13 13:22:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x4c486b…
05-13 13:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x687500…
05-13 13:07:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0xcf3351…
05-13 13:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x1a3a24…
05-13 12:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x3e78e6…
05-09 21:33:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	30¢	$0	0xe6ea1b…
05-09 21:33:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0xf433a9…
05-09 21:33:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xf433a9…
05-09 21:32:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0xa33cc7…
05-09 21:30:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xa97bbe…
05-09 21:30:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xf5cfb4…
05-09 20:47:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x206e8e…
05-09 20:46:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	69¢	$4	0x5b3dad…
05-09 20:45:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$4	0x20e0e6…
05-09 20:45:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x1e807f…
05-06 14:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x8af07e…
05-06 14:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x78467c…