Angry-Fluke — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$52

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.3%

Resolved

Trades

128

lifetime

Volume

$751

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 05-06 12:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 51% $-52

Politics

13% — —

Other

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$91	143	143	+0	open	—	04-28 18:56
Netanyahu out by May 31?	2	$34	516	516	+0	open	—	04-30 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$28	17	17	+0	open	—	05-03 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	3	$27	19	19	+0	open	—	05-01 20:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	2	$27	20	20	+0	open	—	05-03 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$24	16	16	+0	open	—	05-01 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$23	28	28	+0	open	—	05-03 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	2	$23	14	14	+0	open	—	05-01 21:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	5	$23	21	21	+0	open	—	05-02 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	2	$22	54	54	+0	open	—	05-03 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	2	$22	20	20	+0	open	—	05-02 09:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?	2	$21	36	36	+0	No	+$1	05-05 17:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	05-03 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	3	$17	10	10	+0	open	—	05-03 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	2	$16	11	11	+0	open	—	05-01 20:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	5	$15	0	29	-29	Down	+$1	05-05 17:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	1	$14	14	0	+14	open	—	05-03 18:28
Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by April 30?	8	$13	792	792	+0	open	—	05-01 21:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	5	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	05-03 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	1	$12	52	0	+52	open	—	05-02 09:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-03 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-03 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	2	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	05-03 17:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-03 17:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	2	$10	0	20	-20	Down	+$0	05-05 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	1	$10	21	0	+21	Down	$-10	05-05 17:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	1	$10	24	0	+24	open	—	05-01 20:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	1	$10	18	0	+18	open	—	05-01 21:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	05-03 17:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 12:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x993af5…
05-06 12:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xc8d88a…
05-06 12:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	29	4¢	$1	0x66ae22…
05-06 12:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	28	7¢	$2	0x1a0fbb…
05-06 12:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	26	3¢	$1	0x1cc484…
05-06 11:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	26	1¢	$0	0xdc9d98…
05-06 11:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	24	11¢	$3	0x3d968f…
05-06 11:09:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	23	1¢	$0	0x839c3e…
05-06 10:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x7ee2e2…
05-05 20:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x3247b2…
05-05 20:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x722e2d…
05-05 17:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	58	9¢	$5	0x8a22ab…
05-05 17:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$5	0xc5f45f…
05-05 17:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x802820…
05-05 17:26:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?	Yes	SELL	36	30¢	$11	0x564143…
05-05 17:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0x9d7fc8…
05-05 17:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	8	72¢	$5	0xfa6422…
05-05 17:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	8	55¢	$4	0x913f8f…
05-05 17:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	7	55¢	$4	0xb3fbe6…
05-05 17:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1	55¢	$0	0x08067e…
05-05 17:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xaf949b…
05-05 17:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x11403b…
05-05 17:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x27284d…
05-05 17:00:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	36	27¢	$10	0x7ce945…
05-05 14:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xb9e9b4…
05-05 14:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x6217cc…
05-05 14:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x22ed09…
05-05 14:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x0e0590…
05-05 14:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xd0547e…
05-05 14:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x26261b…
05-05 14:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x3e5439…
05-05 14:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xc5a8c8…
05-05 14:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x73b365…
05-05 14:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x5c5afb…
05-05 14:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xee303a…
05-05 14:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x1ae607…
05-05 14:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xc8c774…
05-05 14:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xa223d8…
05-05 14:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x6ede08…
05-05 14:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xa8470a…
05-05 14:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xcef75b…
05-05 14:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x54d145…
05-05 14:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x5517e8…
05-05 14:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xed3e84…
05-05 14:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x2a8139…
05-05 14:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x4e0314…
05-05 14:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x6c2cdf…
05-05 14:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xebd1b2…
05-05 14:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xdd0264…
05-05 11:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	39	5¢	$2	0xfbe415…
05-05 11:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0xd954c4…
05-05 11:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0xe6725d…
05-05 11:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	53¢	$2	0x03f42b…
05-05 10:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xb13866…
05-03 20:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	54	10¢	$5	0xcc22e1…
05-03 20:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	54	31¢	$17	0x5a29eb…
05-03 20:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0xe4789f…
05-03 20:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0x847701…
05-03 20:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x866f1a…
05-03 20:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	17	94¢	$16	0x9c313d…
05-03 20:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	17	71¢	$12	0xa74f94…
05-03 20:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x7c1d53…
05-03 20:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x8d96fb…
05-03 18:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0xa849c5…
05-03 18:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x093634…
05-03 18:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0x43472e…
05-03 18:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	28	50¢	$14	0xfd65c7…
05-03 18:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	28	32¢	$9	0x2d1d66…
05-03 18:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0xed911a…
05-03 18:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x1a6ec2…
05-03 18:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x59e4a3…
05-03 18:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xb58e57…
05-03 18:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x95687e…
05-03 18:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x08684a…
05-03 18:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x276d03…
05-03 17:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0x739849…
05-03 17:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x865fe7…
05-03 17:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xe78413…
05-03 17:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x3a8960…
05-03 17:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x1af9ee…
05-03 17:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x40d91e…
05-03 17:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xff421d…
05-03 17:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xa547ad…
05-03 17:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x00447e…
05-03 17:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	6	91¢	$6	0xfdc0d2…
05-03 17:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xd4ce27…
05-03 17:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xb8b811…
05-03 17:22:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x79b31d…
05-03 15:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x4250a7…
05-03 15:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x0bc8ec…
05-03 15:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	84¢	$3	0x160a42…
05-03 15:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xeb68b6…
05-02 09:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	52	23¢	$12	0x2dcb91…
05-02 09:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0x2ea79d…
05-02 09:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x4b3113…
05-02 09:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	11	89¢	$10	0xefe3c4…
05-02 09:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x5c5ce2…
05-02 09:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x2aa15a…
05-02 09:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0xe9e83d…
05-02 09:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x0ab2bb…