Expert-Absence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.82K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$48

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-26

last 05-22 20:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

51% 0% $-0

Sports

26% — —

Crypto

21% — —

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	4	$260	130	130	+0	open	—	03-30 04:38
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	4	$206	103	103	+0	open	—	04-06 03:10
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	2	$160	80	80	+0	open	—	05-19 05:04
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$152	76	76	+0	No	$-0	04-03 03:45
will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$150	75	75	+0	open	—	04-03 20:22
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$147	74	74	+0	open	—	04-16 13:47
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	2	$144	72	72	+0	open	—	04-19 07:10
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$144	72	72	+0	open	—	04-10 15:43
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	2	$138	69	69	+0	No	$-0	04-07 02:07
will charl schwartzel win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$138	69	69	+0	open	—	04-06 11:41
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$136	68	68	+0	open	—	04-07 20:26
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$132	66	66	+0	open	—	04-11 18:48
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$130	65	65	+0	open	—	04-01 12:47
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	2	$120	60	60	+0	open	—	05-22 20:33
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in April?	2	$118	59	59	+0	open	—	04-12 17:45
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$116	58	58	+0	open	—	04-17 15:04
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	2	$116	58	58	+0	open	—	03-29 19:32
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	2	$114	57	57	+0	open	—	04-15 01:16
will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$112	56	56	+0	open	—	03-03 19:40
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$108	54	54	+0	No	$-0	04-16 05:18
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$106	53	53	+0	open	—	04-04 19:37
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$106	53	53	+0	open	—	03-02 03:13
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	03-23 11:08
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	3	$90	45	45	+0	open	—	03-21 13:21
Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$88	44	44	+0	open	—	03-19 15:49
will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 712	2	$54	27	27	+0	open	—	03-24 08:56
nba was lal 2026 03 30	1	$41	45	0	+45	open	—	03-31 00:18
nba gsw atl 2026 03 21	1	$35	45	0	+45	open	—	03-21 22:37
nba hou mem 2026 03 27	1	$34	39	0	+39	open	—	03-27 18:55
nba tor hou 2026 03 10	1	$33	51	0	+51	open	—	03-10 17:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 20:33:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xc53df0…
05-22 14:56:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x429138…
05-19 05:04:31	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0x368f89…
05-18 02:57:55	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xe3683c…
04-28 20:45:56	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x3c588c…
04-21 09:55:06	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa29265…
04-19 07:10:04	Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	72	99¢	$72	0x055835…
04-19 04:20:50	Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	72	99¢	$72	0xd74550…
04-17 15:04:30	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0x0c80de…
04-17 04:39:32	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0xbdbbde…
04-16 13:47:04	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	74	99¢	$74	0x270147…
04-16 08:11:04	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	74	99¢	$74	0x2472a4…
04-16 05:18:20	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0x7a65d0…
04-15 06:38:40	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0xc39b2d…
04-15 01:16:08	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0x184234…
04-14 15:02:21	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0xbf4c64…
04-12 17:45:37	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in April?	No	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0xa97619…
04-11 18:48:35	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in April?	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0xf7a616…
04-11 18:48:19	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0x68d0a9…
04-10 15:43:45	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0x98d997…
04-10 15:43:29	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0x480c57…
04-10 14:32:17	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0xc79ed6…
04-07 20:26:23	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	68	100¢	$68	0xe09e4b…
04-07 16:50:03	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0x251522…
04-07 02:07:09	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	69	100¢	$69	0x401260…
04-06 22:06:23	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0x472502…
04-06 11:41:59	will charl schwartzel win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	69	100¢	$69	0xcc1d7f…
04-06 07:42:41	will charl schwartzel win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0x1ccc69…
04-06 03:10:35	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	77	100¢	$77	0x95537f…
04-05 22:56:25	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0xc26dc7…
04-04 19:37:43	Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0xb063b0…
04-04 17:44:51	Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x42a058…
04-03 20:22:49	will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0xf6e20c…
04-03 15:40:31	will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x00dfb4…
04-03 03:45:21	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0xeaea84…
04-02 23:14:27	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x086177…
04-01 12:47:51	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0x11748a…
04-01 08:35:03	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x1a9bad…
03-31 21:27:01	nba nyk hou 2026 03 31	Knicks	BUY	31	52¢	$16	0x1e6a0e…
03-31 21:26:31	nba tor det 2026 03 31	Pistons	BUY	27	60¢	$16	0xd1800e…
03-31 00:18:05	nba was lal 2026 03 30	Lakers	BUY	45	92¢	$41	0xb72f34…
03-30 04:38:14	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x6e1524…
03-30 03:37:18	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd5b256…
03-29 19:32:44	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0xa54939…
03-29 15:24:14	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x200bd0…
03-27 18:56:23	nba lac ind 2026 03 27	Pacers	BUY	49	23¢	$11	0xdc1741…
03-27 18:55:47	nba hou mem 2026 03 27	Rockets	BUY	39	88¢	$34	0x8e8124…
03-27 18:55:15	nba bkn lal 2026 03 27	Lakers	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0x25e2a9…
03-27 14:11:49	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0x216bc3…
03-27 08:35:05	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x2e36bb…
03-25 22:42:01	nba was uta 2026 03 25	Wizards	BUY	42	39¢	$16	0x40b851…
03-25 22:41:29	nba mil por 2026 03 25	Bucks	BUY	55	14¢	$8	0xf603bc…
03-25 13:19:49	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x02a02f…
03-25 08:09:31	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xf5aeeb…
03-25 02:57:11	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbbe03f…
03-24 21:35:39	nba nop nyk 2026 03 24	Knicks	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0x1caf09…
03-24 21:35:09	nba den phx 2026 03 24	Nuggets	BUY	47	69¢	$32	0xd62e89…
03-24 21:34:39	nba sac cha 2026 03 24	Kings	BUY	37	7¢	$3	0x3a1dc1…
03-24 08:56:59	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 712	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x930559…
03-24 03:39:53	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 712	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x350500…
03-23 22:57:29	nba mil lac 2026 03 23	Clippers	BUY	31	87¢	$27	0xefbf67…
03-23 11:08:55	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xc8dce1…
03-23 06:01:39	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x345af5…
03-22 09:29:21	will will zalatoris win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x8c4c10…
03-22 04:20:09	will will zalatoris win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x944077…
03-21 22:37:43	nba gsw atl 2026 03 21	Hawks	BUY	45	78¢	$35	0x45c410…
03-21 13:21:07	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0xd4a552…
03-20 10:02:25	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xcbdb96…
03-20 10:01:17	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x0bd576…
03-19 15:49:23	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0xe466e9…
03-18 20:39:19	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x173eff…
03-10 17:55:35	nba tor hou 2026 03 10	Rockets	BUY	51	65¢	$33	0x173697…
03-08 21:31:43	nba orl mil 2026 03 08	Bucks	BUY	48	35¢	$17	0x4571f6…
03-05 16:59:59	Opinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xebbe27…
03-03 19:40:37	nba det cle 2026 03 03	Pistons	BUY	45	58¢	$26	0x522d9a…
03-03 19:40:19	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0xffc160…
03-03 02:54:39	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0xbcd65f…
03-02 03:13:23	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0x30d385…
02-28 06:41:29	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x6e327e…
02-26 05:54:14	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 781	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x678bf8…