Fatherly-Pickup — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$438

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 05-12 02:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

63% 75% +$9

Sports

37% 50% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	2	$32	40	40	+0	Down	$-18	05-11 05:07
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	2	$22	17	17	+0	Timberwolves	+$12	05-05 04:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	4	$21	16	16	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 00:12
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	2	$20	15	15	+0	open	—	05-01 04:43
Celtics vs. 76ers	2	$20	15	15	+0	open	—	05-01 02:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	4	$20	521	11	+510	Down	$-10	05-12 00:55
76ers vs. Knicks	2	$19	11	11	+0	Knicks	+$3	05-05 02:31
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5	4	$18	15	15	+0	Over	+$2	05-11 02:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	2	$17	12	12	+0	Up	+$7	05-11 05:24
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners	2	$17	12	12	+0	Atlanta Braves	+$7	05-06 04:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	05-11 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Up	+$5	05-11 05:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	05-12 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	Up	+$4	05-11 04:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	Up	+$4	05-11 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	Down	+$3	05-12 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	05-11 05:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 04:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	2	$11	8	8	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 00:48
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	2	$10	24	24	+0	Cavaliers	$-10	05-12 02:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	2	$10	7	7	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 04:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	4	$10	7	7	+0	Down	+$2	05-12 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	2	$9	7	7	+0	Down	$-1	05-11 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	3	$9	12	12	+0	Down	$-5	05-12 00:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 04:34
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	1	$6	28	0	+28	Spurs	$-6	05-06 21:06
Rockets vs. Lakers	1	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	04-30 02:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	05-12 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	2	$5	9	9	+0	Down	$-5	05-12 00:19
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox	1	$5	10	0	+10	Tampa Bay Rays	+$5	05-08 00:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 02:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x7ec751…
05-12 02:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x630712…
05-12 02:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x7db840…
05-12 02:07:58	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	SELL	24	2¢	$0	0x8c3a1d…
05-12 00:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x3e41e1…
05-12 00:51:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xf0dc47…
05-12 00:51:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	11	45¢	$5	0xe5dec0…
05-12 00:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xef9955…
05-12 00:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	8	79¢	$6	0x8197c4…
05-12 00:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0x1ec1c0…
05-12 00:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xad5bee…
05-12 00:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x732bb1…
05-12 00:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x37de3b…
05-12 00:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xe6c2ae…
05-12 00:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0x7d959a…
05-12 00:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x9f1a76…
05-12 00:31:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x7e9a93…
05-12 00:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x89eebd…
05-12 00:25:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xa42b8c…
05-12 00:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	12	17¢	$2	0x9e0c94…
05-12 00:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xeaaab6…
05-12 00:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xf20455…
05-12 00:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x2fd89a…
05-12 00:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x237715…
05-12 00:12:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	7	93¢	$7	0x93591e…
05-12 00:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x7b227b…
05-12 00:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	9	45¢	$4	0x96c10a…
05-12 00:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x5dd8b8…
05-12 00:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x821bef…
05-12 00:06:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x6b047e…
05-11 22:20:53	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x1b95ea…
05-11 05:24:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x373b82…
05-11 05:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xda666d…
05-11 05:17:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	7	93¢	$7	0xcc6fb1…
05-11 05:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x31796e…
05-11 05:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0x93bfb3…
05-11 05:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x69b92d…
05-11 05:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	40	18¢	$7	0x179cc4…
05-11 05:05:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x45c4ac…
05-11 05:02:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	SELL	10	92¢	$10	0xaf94d6…
05-11 05:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x0f4acd…
05-11 04:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x3b4b1a…
05-11 04:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x357826…
05-11 04:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x0a947c…
05-11 04:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x01523b…
05-11 04:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0xd78ca9…
05-11 04:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xc0ee17…
05-11 04:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x520a3a…
05-11 04:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x59c2d2…
05-11 04:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	60¢	$4	0x72ed55…
05-11 04:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x997d3c…
05-11 04:20:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x357cdb…
05-11 04:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x42aab1…
05-11 04:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x936af6…
05-11 02:58:53	Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5	Over	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x96ba72…
05-11 00:44:13	Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5	Over	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x59fb8b…
05-11 00:41:14	Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5	Over	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x685964…
05-10 23:25:02	Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5	Over	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xcf26ad…
05-08 00:23:32	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x2fc70d…
05-06 21:06:21	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	28	23¢	$6	0x58afd4…
05-06 04:07:50	Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners	Atlanta Braves	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x7ec9de…
05-06 02:17:02	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xbb7a14…
05-06 02:09:36	Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners	Atlanta Braves	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x9e9d2a…
05-06 02:04:50	Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x4a1a34…
05-05 23:27:28	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xb10b09…
05-05 04:32:04	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xe079eb…
05-05 02:34:04	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x65eab1…
05-05 02:31:58	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x901857…
05-04 23:22:24	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	11	72¢	$8	0xec6295…
05-03 23:24:10	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Raptors	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x76f311…
05-01 04:43:34	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x0843dc…
05-01 02:27:10	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x4a9909…
05-01 02:24:48	Celtics vs. 76ers	76ers	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xe20e73…
05-01 00:07:06	Celtics vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x76b7b1…
04-30 02:13:30	Rockets vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x4b016d…