Thrifty-Subgroup — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

39.7%

Resolved

Trades

134

lifetime

Volume

$169

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 05-12 11:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 40% $-10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 133 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	8	$24	21	21	+0	Up	+$2	05-11 02:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	8	$22	24	24	+0	Down	$-2	05-11 02:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	10	$13	27	27	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 01:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	7	$13	20	15	+5	Up	$-3	05-11 02:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	9	$13	17	17	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	7	$13	18	12	+7	Down	$-0	05-11 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	9	$12	12	9	+3	Down	$-0	05-11 10:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	10	$10	42	42	+0	Up	$-1	05-11 02:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	6	$9	20	20	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 01:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	5	$4	8	8	+0	Up	$-2	05-11 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	4	$4	11	11	+0	Down	$-2	05-11 21:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	4	$4	5	5	+0	Down	$-1	05-11 10:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	4	$4	6	6	+0	Down	$-0	05-11 03:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	4	$3	5	7	-2	Up	$-1	05-11 21:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	3	$3	8	8	+0	Down	$-3	05-11 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 21:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	3	$3	2	1	+1	Down	$-1	05-11 01:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	$-1	05-11 11:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	3	$2	0	4	-4	Down	$-0	05-11 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	2	$1	2	1	+1	Up	+$1	05-11 21:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	2	$1	0	2	-2	Up	+$0	05-11 22:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	Down	$-1	05-11 02:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$1	0	1	-1	Down	+$0	05-11 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	2	$1	0	1	-1	Up	$-0	05-11 22:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	1	$1	0	1	-1	Down	$-0	05-11 22:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	2	$1	0	1	-1	Up	+$0	05-11 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	2	$0	0	1	-1	Up	$-0	05-11 23:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	2	$0	0	1	-1	Down	+$0	05-11 23:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	2	$0	0	0	-0	Up	+$0	05-11 22:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	2	$0	0	0	-0	Up	+$0	05-11 22:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 11:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	0	52¢	$0	0xe5fedc…
05-11 23:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x231596…
05-11 23:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0x0d2fe2…
05-11 23:07:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x3a99b6…
05-11 23:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x87598f…
05-11 22:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0xe92462…
05-11 22:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	0	50¢	$0	0x56c791…
05-11 22:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x70ec40…
05-11 22:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	0	50¢	$0	0x532e92…
05-11 22:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0xa660f2…
05-11 22:37:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	0	78¢	$0	0x4e2534…
05-11 22:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	0	56¢	$0	0x8d9e19…
05-11 22:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0xdde36d…
05-11 22:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0x6640be…
05-11 22:27:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0x79645a…
05-11 22:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	0	61¢	$0	0xe51e42…
05-11 22:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x263da9…
05-11 22:16:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	51¢	$0	0x276c91…
05-11 22:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf3bde5…
05-11 22:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0xcba77e…
05-11 22:06:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	59¢	$1	0x53d1fc…
05-11 22:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xecb696…
05-11 22:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x6cc04d…
05-11 21:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	11¢	$0	0xc77f62…
05-11 21:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x14de84…
05-11 21:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	10¢	$0	0xbe6405…
05-11 21:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0xeb285d…
05-11 21:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x2c9c21…
05-11 21:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0xdb27e1…
05-11 21:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x921e5b…
05-11 21:47:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xe54734…
05-11 21:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0x362a65…
05-11 21:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x9f677e…
05-11 21:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xe6c9c2…
05-11 21:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x2d0b34…
05-11 21:44:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	96¢	$2	0xebaace…
05-11 21:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x36bf52…
05-11 21:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x003438…
05-11 21:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	23¢	$2	0x5dbde5…
05-11 21:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xf16fb2…
05-11 21:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x31c180…
05-11 21:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x6678c9…
05-11 21:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x4ac8d1…
05-11 21:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xe0ef0d…
05-11 21:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x120b66…
05-11 21:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xb7410b…
05-11 21:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	32¢	$1	0x90489c…
05-11 21:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	45¢	$1	0x8f08ac…
05-11 21:28:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0xcd8cdc…
05-11 21:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xc07ed2…
05-11 21:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0xd8fc1c…
05-11 21:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x6b10cc…
05-11 11:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	25¢	$1	0x18597d…
05-11 10:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x6fd8fe…
05-11 10:54:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xafef6f…
05-11 10:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	SELL	4	8¢	$0	0x998786…
05-11 10:53:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x0ea981…
05-11 10:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb0bf6a…
05-11 10:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x3ede6e…
05-11 10:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xaee4fd…
05-11 10:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x9c2186…
05-11 10:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x0d92fa…
05-11 10:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$1	0xcae1ec…
05-11 10:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	4	17¢	$1	0xae455a…
05-11 10:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x4c71ae…
05-11 10:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x6043c5…
05-11 10:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x642bbc…
05-11 03:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x8399eb…
05-11 03:01:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x05992b…
05-11 03:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x032b47…
05-11 03:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xafe9a3…
05-11 02:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0x3e85ae…
05-11 02:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x84e534…
05-11 02:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xc02669…
05-11 02:54:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x955c2a…
05-11 02:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0xce725c…
05-11 02:52:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x6309ea…
05-11 02:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x9e3717…
05-11 02:52:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x3c546b…
05-11 02:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x0e594e…
05-11 02:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xff36e5…
05-11 02:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xdb2261…
05-11 02:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x22c1df…
05-11 02:49:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xd972f2…
05-11 02:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x3f64d3…
05-11 02:47:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0xf414be…
05-11 02:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	SELL	9	23¢	$2	0xdc5ba4…
05-11 02:46:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xfe12c2…
05-11 02:46:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x7fb8c2…
05-11 02:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xfac96e…
05-11 02:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xd17f76…
05-11 02:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0x044b8f…
05-11 02:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	62¢	$4	0x5c631d…
05-11 02:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x2b529f…
05-11 02:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xe53d18…
05-11 02:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x609956…
05-11 02:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x12aea0…
05-11 02:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x828d6f…
05-11 02:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xb6715c…
05-11 02:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	16¢	$1	0xd62186…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	35	$108.3K	3,789	05-12 11:14
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	35	$47.3K	1,412	05-12 11:15
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	35	$23.0K	481	05-12 11:14
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	35	$18.8K	1,281	05-12 11:14
Svelte-Chicory 0x9412…0cd0	35	$18.8K	1,651	05-12 11:14
Weird-Peak 0x9f5f…a008	35	$17.9K	1,910	05-12 11:14
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	35	$17.2K	2,360	05-12 11:14
Outlandish-Dragon-Curler 0x218f…17bc	35	$15.9K	1,020	05-12 11:14