Insignificant-Default — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$24

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$421

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 05-19 12:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 42% +$26

Politics

2% 0% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	2	$82	80	80	+0	Up	+$24	05-08 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	2	$44	35	35	+0	Up	+$26	05-07 21:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	2	$35	31	31	+0	Up	+$13	05-11 01:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$31	24	24	+0	Down	+$15	05-07 20:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	1	$19	38	0	+38	Down	$-19	05-11 01:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	2	$15	15	15	+0	Up	+$5	05-11 01:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	2	$14	12	12	+0	Down	+$2	05-11 00:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	2	$12	9	9	+0	open	—	05-19 12:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	2	$10	12	12	+0	Up	$-1	05-11 02:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	2	$10	8	8	+0	Up	+$2	05-11 00:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	2	$10	9	9	+0	Up	+$8	05-07 19:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	2	$9	9	9	+0	open	—	05-19 09:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	1	$9	19	0	+19	Down	$-9	05-11 01:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	1	$8	28	0	+28	Down	$-8	05-08 02:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	05-19 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	1	$8	84	0	+84	Up	$-8	05-07 18:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	2	$7	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 01:16
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	2	$6	273	273	+0	open	—	05-11 04:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	1	$6	11	0	+11	Up	$-6	05-08 03:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 00:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	3	$5	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 23:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$5	18	0	+18	Down	$-5	05-07 20:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	2	$5	7	7	+0	open	—	05-19 08:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	4	$5	13	13	+0	open	—	05-19 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	1	$4	9	0	+9	Down	$-4	05-11 02:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	05-07 18:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	2	$4	100	100	+0	open	—	05-19 08:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	1	$4	19	0	+19	Down	$-4	05-08 02:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	05-11 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	1	$3	8	0	+8	Down	$-3	05-07 20:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 12:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	9	86¢	$8	0x2e7237…
05-19 12:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x20dc20…
05-19 09:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0x8adff0…
05-19 09:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x2e7ed8…
05-19 09:44:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	9	6¢	$1	0x4f054c…
05-19 09:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x2b2484…
05-19 09:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0xe2021f…
05-19 09:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x75385e…
05-19 09:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	9	59¢	$5	0xa3c39b…
05-19 09:21:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0xca8328…
05-19 09:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x9cd41b…
05-19 09:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xe0f5bf…
05-19 09:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xcd53c8…
05-19 08:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0x06d538…
05-19 08:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xbb6ddc…
05-19 08:49:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x9d9cbf…
05-19 08:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb0d181…
05-19 08:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x5963e7…
05-19 08:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x31bd22…
05-19 08:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x2181be…
05-19 08:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	85¢	$5	0xff1d31…
05-19 08:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x41b4f9…
05-19 08:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	32¢	$2	0xb5f89b…
05-19 08:28:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xe326bf…
05-11 04:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	62¢	$3	0xfcec8e…
05-11 04:43:53	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	273	1¢	$3	0x1c08bf…
05-11 02:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$4	0xeab31c…
05-11 02:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	12	39¢	$4	0xeeafcb…
05-11 02:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0xb8b3f9…
05-11 02:16:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x115df6…
05-11 02:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	85¢	$3	0x009621…
05-11 02:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xf8b040…
05-11 02:01:27	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	273	1¢	$3	0x2251d9…
05-11 01:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x11038b…
05-11 01:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x60d93a…
05-11 01:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	38	51¢	$19	0x427d1e…
05-11 01:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	46¢	$9	0x169da1…
05-11 01:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	SELL	15	66¢	$10	0x4f9c6c…
05-11 01:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x5e5250…
05-11 01:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	SELL	6	69¢	$4	0x20e32b…
05-11 01:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x15fa26…
05-11 01:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	31	78¢	$24	0x825852…
05-11 01:10:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	31	36¢	$11	0x4e3584…
05-11 00:58:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	74¢	$2	0x3f644e…
05-11 00:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xb869b4…
05-11 00:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xe0f12d…
05-11 00:42:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0xd20ab7…
05-11 00:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x9ca4af…
05-11 00:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	12	68¢	$8	0x290577…
05-11 00:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x54d753…
05-11 00:31:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	8	85¢	$6	0x4bf616…
05-11 00:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x12dc31…
05-11 00:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x34e87f…
05-11 00:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	85¢	$3	0xd29010…
05-10 23:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x21477f…
05-10 23:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	11	28¢	$3	0xbda0d6…
05-10 23:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xe3cefa…
05-10 23:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x58fb86…
05-08 03:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0xec7992…
05-08 03:24:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	SELL	80	66¢	$53	0xfb1b8e…
05-08 03:21:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	80	36¢	$29	0xa2b4f7…
05-08 03:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x43a29b…
05-08 02:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	28	29¢	$8	0x7c0752…
05-08 02:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0xf1408e…
05-07 21:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x24aa64…
05-07 21:15:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	35	26¢	$9	0x877e15…
05-07 21:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x7a142e…
05-07 20:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x5e101c…
05-07 20:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	24	97¢	$23	0xdb2cba…
05-07 20:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	24	34¢	$8	0x9bba41…
05-07 20:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x6163db…
05-07 19:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x40ae53…
05-07 19:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x478a38…
05-07 19:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xc005d7…
05-07 19:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x20f128…
05-07 19:33:58	Will Trump say "Teleprompter" during events with Brazilian president?	Yes	BUY	118	2¢	$2	0x8059f1…
05-07 18:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x1d2565…
05-07 18:46:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xab4e21…
05-07 18:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	84	9¢	$8	0x5e1b36…