Big-Initial — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$38

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 05-08 11:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 62% +$2

Politics

13% — —

Other

11% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Up	+$3	05-05 01:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-03 10:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-04 00:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-03 10:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	2	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	05-04 00:33
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	2	$2	9	9	+0	open	—	05-08 11:10
Will Sam Altman testify against Musk?	2	$1	4	4	+0	open	—	04-29 02:49
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	1	$1	16	0	+16	open	—	05-08 11:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-06 03:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	open	—	05-03 10:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-05 01:40
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 29?	1	$1	11	0	+11	open	—	04-28 09:59
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 28?	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	04-27 06:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-27 05:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-04 07:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	$-1	05-06 01:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-05 10:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-04 00:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-04 12:48
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-27 05:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	05-06 01:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-08 02:55
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 29?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-28 09:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-04 03:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-04 03:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-08 04:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-04 00:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 11:10:42	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x1419e4…
05-08 11:10:23	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	9	11¢	$1	0xe1e9c9…
05-08 10:24:16	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x0eb744…
05-08 04:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8f18fd…
05-08 02:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x267edf…
05-06 03:22:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xb4f33c…
05-06 01:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x321070…
05-06 01:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x0a8fba…
05-05 10:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x68365d…
05-05 01:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x29777e…
05-05 01:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x7abdc6…
05-04 12:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xd20129…
05-04 07:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x651248…
05-04 03:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x4a28a7…
05-04 03:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xe875e0…
05-04 00:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x63811a…
05-04 00:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0xa42f02…
05-04 00:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6a6d66…
05-04 00:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x927126…
05-04 00:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x7073d9…
05-04 00:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf70442…
05-03 10:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x605861…
05-03 10:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x487fc2…
05-03 10:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x41ddac…
05-03 10:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6d1f0d…
05-03 10:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xfbd85f…
04-29 02:49:48	Will Sam Altman testify against Musk?	No	SELL	4	9¢	$0	0x801488…
04-28 09:59:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xd028c4…
04-28 09:58:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 29?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xe82b54…
04-28 09:56:32	Will Sam Altman testify against Musk?	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xe60dca…
04-27 06:05:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xfa4888…
04-27 05:21:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x2c3b9e…
04-27 05:17:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x2d70cc…