Elementary-Quilt — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.50K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 06-14 12:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

74% 100% +$0

Politics

21% — —

Other

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 8 2026	4	$127	5,034	5,034	+0	open	—	02-08 20:23
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	2	$67	910	910	+0	open	—	02-21 08:06
bitcoin above 82k on april 24	1	$37	37	0	+37	open	—	04-24 13:09
bitcoin above 74k on april 12	1	$37	37	0	+37	open	—	04-12 10:44
bitcoin above 76k on april 10	1	$37	37	0	+37	open	—	04-10 13:02
bitcoin above 74k on april 9	1	$36	37	0	+37	open	—	04-09 08:25
bitcoin above 72k on april 7	1	$36	36	0	+36	open	—	04-07 13:22
ethereum above 2300 on april 6	1	$36	36	0	+36	open	—	04-05 23:16
bitcoin above 74k on april 1	1	$36	36	0	+36	open	—	04-01 09:24
ethereum above 2200 on march 31	1	$36	36	0	+36	open	—	03-31 12:32
ethereum above 2300 on march 30	1	$36	36	0	+36	open	—	03-30 08:26
ethereum above 2200 on march 29	1	$36	36	0	+36	open	—	03-29 09:15
ethereum above 2200 on march 28	1	$36	36	0	+36	open	—	03-28 08:10
ethereum above 1800 on march 27	1	$36	36	0	+36	open	—	03-27 14:21
ethereum above 1900 on march 26	1	$36	36	0	+36	open	—	03-26 01:39
ethereum above 1900 on march 24	1	$36	36	0	+36	open	—	03-24 12:11
bitcoin above 76k on march 25	1	$36	36	0	+36	open	—	03-25 03:23
will the price of ethereum be less than 1800 on march 23	1	$36	36	0	+36	open	—	03-23 08:30
ethereum above 2200 on march 22	1	$36	36	0	+36	open	—	03-22 14:15
will bitcoin reach 76k on march 21	1	$36	36	0	+36	open	—	03-21 14:09
will bitcoin reach 78k on march 20	1	$36	36	0	+36	open	—	03-20 14:00
will bitcoin reach 76k on march 19	1	$36	36	0	+36	open	—	03-19 15:29
us strikes iraq by march 7	1	$35	35	0	+35	open	—	03-11 09:19
will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	1	$35	35	0	+35	open	—	03-03 07:50
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	02-22 03:07
us strikes iran by february 18 2026	1	$29	30	0	+30	open	—	02-18 14:51
bitcoin above 74k on april 13	2	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	04-13 13:20
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	02-28 15:59
bitcoin above 68k on march 16	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	03-16 09:42
will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	03-01 15:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 12:01:18	bitcoin above 68k on june 14 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x0e8c5b…
06-12 09:43:27	ethereum above 1800 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xd7d79c…
06-11 05:53:15	bitcoin above 66k on june 11 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xe91cc2…
06-07 08:33:28	bitcoin above 66k on june 7 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xbb117c…
05-30 07:18:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x50dc06…
05-23 12:29:05	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 23?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x11e715…
05-21 10:06:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xdbf3c0…
05-20 14:02:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xbba6b5…
05-15 12:13:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x96c8ba…
05-14 10:42:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4d99e8…
05-10 13:16:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x68214b…
05-07 15:04:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcc4c12…
05-05 13:49:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xa5481e…
05-03 10:26:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x668215…
05-02 14:08:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0x3598f5…
04-27 12:49:08	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$14	0x1a1f2a…
04-25 15:41:48	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xb1f23c…
04-24 13:09:46	bitcoin above 82k on april 24	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xe7d6aa…
04-23 13:03:38	bitcoin above 82k on april 23	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x3cdbab…
04-22 13:43:44	bitcoin above 82k on april 22	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xec9734…
04-21 10:40:50	ethereum above 2500 on april 21	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xefdb06…
04-20 13:30:40	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 90 114	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa95694…
04-19 12:00:04	bitcoin above 78k on april 19	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xce0bf0…
04-18 13:15:40	ethereum above 2500 on april 18	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xae3431…
04-17 14:00:56	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 340 359	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xb7ac91…
04-17 12:52:58	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x639111…
04-15 08:17:24	bitcoin above 78k on april 15	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x727e18…
04-14 13:32:21	ethereum above 2100 on april 14	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xcee92e…
04-13 13:20:03	bitcoin above 74k on april 13	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x38177d…
04-13 13:04:07	bitcoin above 74k on april 13	No	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0x5ad92e…
04-12 10:44:35	bitcoin above 74k on april 12	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xb80f12…
04-10 13:02:51	bitcoin above 76k on april 10	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x7b76f4…
04-09 08:25:17	bitcoin above 74k on april 9	No	BUY	37	99¢	$36	0x524a61…
04-07 13:22:01	bitcoin above 72k on april 7	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x9fa070…
04-05 23:16:07	ethereum above 2300 on april 6	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x24cced…
04-01 09:24:35	bitcoin above 74k on april 1	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xfadc3e…
03-31 12:32:09	ethereum above 2200 on march 31	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x781bdb…
03-30 08:26:18	ethereum above 2300 on march 30	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x5071c4…
03-29 09:15:50	ethereum above 2200 on march 29	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x0fe912…
03-28 08:10:21	ethereum above 2200 on march 28	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x3043b1…
03-27 14:21:31	ethereum above 1800 on march 27	Yes	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x4b4814…
03-26 01:39:19	ethereum above 1900 on march 26	Yes	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xde62ff…
03-25 03:23:59	bitcoin above 76k on march 25	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x97c2d6…
03-24 12:11:05	ethereum above 1900 on march 24	Yes	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x5b4e4f…
03-23 08:30:23	will the price of ethereum be less than 1800 on march 23	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x6164b7…
03-22 14:15:57	ethereum above 2200 on march 22	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xa3378b…
03-21 14:09:55	will bitcoin reach 76k on march 21	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x33650f…
03-20 14:00:05	will bitcoin reach 78k on march 20	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x7f48b3…
03-19 15:29:59	will bitcoin reach 76k on march 19	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x01b04f…
03-18 02:20:19	bitcoin above 80k on march 18	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x43e09e…
03-17 09:50:47	bitcoin above 80k on march 17	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xee814c…
03-16 09:42:51	bitcoin above 68k on march 16	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xa372d2…
03-15 18:37:27	will bitcoin reach 79k on march 15	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x19f5e4…
03-12 16:27:27	bitcoin above 62k on march 13	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xafacd3…
03-11 09:19:47	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x5849c9…
03-03 07:50:29	will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x79ec52…
03-01 15:15:39	will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	Yes	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0x02b49a…
02-28 15:59:35	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x63ba77…
02-22 03:07:54	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xac08f2…
02-21 08:06:52	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	910	4¢	$34	0x77e62f…
02-21 04:30:36	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	910	4¢	$34	0x919ad0…
02-18 14:51:12	us strikes iran by february 18 2026	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x0989cf…
02-08 20:23:47	us strikes iran by february 8 2026	Yes	SELL	5,000	1¢	$30	0x18d530…
02-08 18:52:23	us strikes iran by february 8 2026	Yes	BUY	5,000	1¢	$30	0x34cc0a…
02-08 18:51:03	us strikes iran by february 8 2026	No	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x1a030c…
02-08 18:18:33	us strikes iran by february 8 2026	No	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0x8dab52…
02-08 16:56:17	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$2	0xa9acee…
02-08 16:55:59	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0xd563be…