Barren-Snakebite — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

61.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.09K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$19

1 position

First seen

2026-02-16

last 05-28 20:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

51% — —

Politics

29% 100% +$2

Crypto

10% 0% $-6

Sports

9% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No		+24	$15	80¢	$19	+$4	05-28 20:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$104	86	86	+0	open	—	03-22 19:27
will turkey qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	3	$93	85	85	+0	open	—	03-04 13:23
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	2	$67	47	47	+0	open	—	05-12 20:06
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	2	$59	39	39	+0	open	—	03-19 05:01
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$39	31	31	+0	open	—	03-09 09:04
iran strike on israel by february 28	3	$39	38	38	+0	open	—	02-28 07:21
cs2 furia fal2 2026 02 16	3	$37	46	31	+14	open	—	02-16 19:08
will trump visit china by march 31	2	$33	24	24	+0	open	—	03-19 05:01
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	2	$33	37	0	+37	open	—	04-13 04:47
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	3	$32	140	140	+0	open	—	03-09 23:56
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	1	$30	33	0	+33	open	—	03-10 06:14
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	2	$26	18	18	+0	open	—	05-28 20:19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	1	$20	61	0	+61	open	—	04-02 07:11
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$20	286	0	+286	open	—	02-16 18:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	1	$20	45	0	+45	open	—	04-13 04:42
spx opens up or down on february 17 2026	1	$20	47	0	+47	open	—	02-16 15:02
pakistan x afghanistan ceasefire by march 31	2	$17	16	16	+0	open	—	02-28 22:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$15	24	0	+24	open	—	05-28 20:19
spx opens up or down on march 2 2026	2	$15	21	0	+21	open	—	02-28 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	5	$15	69	24	+45	Down	$-6	05-12 20:08
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	1	$14	16	0	+16	No	+$2	05-02 18:53
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$14	14	14	+0	open	—	03-04 13:23
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	2	$13	9	9	+0	open	—	03-19 05:01
will qatar strike iran by march 31	2	$12	23	23	+0	open	—	03-19 05:01
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$12	17	17	+0	open	—	03-04 13:23
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	2	$12	20	20	+0	open	—	03-11 16:53
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	2	$11	147	147	+0	open	—	02-28 07:46
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	2	$11	38	38	+0	open	—	02-27 16:07
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	2	$10	28	28	+0	Yes	+$0	02-28 07:46
will russia capture zaliznychne by february 28	1	$10	334	0	+334	open	—	02-21 07:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-28 20:19:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0x1da820…
05-28 20:19:05	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$17	0xe3539b…
05-12 20:26:49	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0xb9075b…
05-12 20:26:13	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x1abbad…
05-12 20:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xbb9190…
05-12 20:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	24	19¢	$5	0xbd14e7…
05-12 20:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	23¢	$1	0xdf79bc…
05-12 20:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	0	23¢	$0	0x158e4a…
05-12 20:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x0bade7…
05-12 20:06:38	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	No	SELL	47	79¢	$37	0x463ffc…
05-02 18:53:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	16	87¢	$14	0xe58a1b…
05-02 16:01:56	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	No	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0xf9d6bd…
04-13 04:47:03	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	4	90¢	$3	0xa308a2…
04-13 04:44:47	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0xfc59f1…
04-13 04:43:27	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x0b79f2…
04-13 04:42:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x34e7db…
04-02 07:11:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x0aacbd…
03-22 19:27:27	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	86	63¢	$54	0xcb0efe…
03-19 05:05:21	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xa46623…
03-19 05:04:13	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xc07926…
03-19 05:03:53	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xc5eea3…
03-19 05:01:29	will qatar strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	23	11¢	$2	0xd163a6…
03-19 05:01:25	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	SELL	9	95¢	$8	0xce405e…
03-19 05:01:15	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	24	99¢	$23	0x440564…
03-19 05:01:07	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	SELL	39	75¢	$29	0x48c13e…
03-12 17:23:59	will russia capture rodynske by march 31	No	BUY	12	69¢	$8	0xcb894e…
03-12 17:23:07	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x93d6a1…
03-11 16:53:59	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x4b5879…
03-10 06:14:15	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	No	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0x778775…
03-10 06:12:23	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0x513016…
03-09 23:57:35	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xc43422…
03-09 23:56:19	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	140	12¢	$17	0xe9ddd4…
03-09 09:04:27	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	31	94¢	$29	0x61a202…
03-05 17:35:55	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x4aa4db…
03-04 13:24:27	spx opens up or down on march 4 2026	Down	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x3fe4a5…
03-04 13:23:45	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	SELL	17	43¢	$7	0xa5aef8…
03-04 13:23:37	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	14	63¢	$9	0x97bb05…
03-04 13:23:31	will turkey qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	43	50¢	$21	0x1b873e…
03-04 05:12:31	will qatar strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x0c8d47…
03-04 05:11:29	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xd85c07…
03-04 05:11:01	will us or israel strike iran on march 5 2026	No	BUY	333	2¢	$5	0xe947e9…
03-03 19:49:35	will trump say drone during meetings with chancellor merz	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x4e22e6…
03-03 19:49:15	will trump say fake news during meetings with chancellor merz	Yes	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xbd6cc0…
03-02 07:20:01	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xaa9ba5…
03-02 07:19:15	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x4749a7…
03-02 07:17:55	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x161d88…
03-02 07:17:25	will turkey qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	43	51¢	$22	0x014c7d…
02-28 22:15:45	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x3c94fb…
02-28 22:15:37	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	68	15¢	$10	0x02b101…
02-28 22:15:09	pakistan x afghanistan ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	16	77¢	$12	0x5bf420…
02-28 22:13:33	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xced0a7…
02-28 21:49:49	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0x2b4d6c…
02-28 21:49:27	spx opens up or down on march 2 2026	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x651edc…
02-28 14:49:31	will scream 7 score at least 50 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	SELL	621	0¢	$3	0x895fa8…
02-28 13:45:03	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xcb1208…
02-28 13:44:03	will scream 7 score at least 50 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	BUY	621	1¢	$5	0x2a224f…
02-28 13:43:25	will the individual taxation referendum be approved in switzerlands 8 march 2026 popular vote	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xedfdb8…
02-28 07:49:25	pakistan x afghanistan ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xe0ddec…
02-28 07:49:09	spx opens up or down on march 2 2026	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xf65153…
02-28 07:46:43	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	SELL	28	19¢	$5	0x91d7b7…
02-28 07:46:35	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	147	4¢	$6	0xf452c9…
02-28 07:21:41	iran strike on israel by february 28	Yes	SELL	38	77¢	$29	0x36cb73…
02-27 16:07:13	israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	Yes	SELL	38	16¢	$6	0xdc8c8b…
02-26 17:29:46	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xb51435…
02-25 14:10:14	will the us not strike iran by february 28 2026	Yes	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x0e2d75…
02-25 14:09:42	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x02d41d…
02-25 14:08:38	will company b be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x21fc57…
02-23 14:24:44	Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xbb9f17…
02-23 14:24:36	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x1d933c…
02-23 14:23:54	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xd8b608…
02-23 14:23:06	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	63	8¢	$5	0x5fb617…
02-23 14:22:34	spx up or down on february 23 2026	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xa6b6d1…
02-23 14:16:00	israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xccfc6f…
02-23 14:15:26	will trump say iq during the 2026 state of the union address	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x2d294e…
02-23 14:14:54	will trump say biden 10 times during the 2026 state of the union address 599	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x698825…
02-21 07:33:56	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xfd7c27…
02-21 07:33:10	will russia capture zaliznychne by february 28	No	BUY	334	3¢	$10	0x5ba4d6…
02-20 16:58:46	cs2 nip 100t 2026 02 20	100 Thieves	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x8b5c76…
02-20 16:58:10	cs2 vit aur1 2026 02 20 game2	Aurora Gaming	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x01bde9…
02-20 14:11:58	cs2 mouz navi 2026 02 20	MOUZ	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xff8d67…
02-19 21:06:38	iran strike on israel by february 28	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xe8a7a8…
02-19 21:05:58	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	147	3¢	$5	0x62d648…
02-19 21:05:16	spx up or down on february 19 2026	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x37eae3…
02-19 16:08:20	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 280 299	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x396de5…
02-19 16:07:28	will trump say hottest during board of peace events on february 19	Yes	BUY	81	6¢	$5	0x1ec55a…
02-19 16:06:38	btc updown 5m 1771517100	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xbe9b60…
02-19 16:05:26	will the bank of israel make no change to the bank of israel interest rate after the february decision	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x811ded…
02-18 18:33:18	iran strike on israel by february 28	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x4ebc66…
02-18 18:31:40	will the united states win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	No	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x90e1ac…
02-17 17:51:49	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x639fe3…
02-17 14:44:43	will russia capture all of stepnohirsk by february 28 2026	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x9642a2…
02-16 19:08:07	cs2 furia fal2 2026 02 16	Team Falcons	SELL	31	56¢	$17	0xbe225e…
02-16 18:35:27	cs2 furia fal2 2026 02 16	Team Falcons	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x93966c…
02-16 18:35:09	cs2 furia fal2 2026 02 16	FURIA	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x393036…
02-16 18:33:21	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	286	7¢	$20	0xb8ef1f…
02-16 18:03:19	will turkey qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0xa32eea…
02-16 15:03:31	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0xd772f9…
02-16 15:02:53	spx opens up or down on february 17 2026	Down	BUY	47	42¢	$20	0xe7465f…