Realistic-Ironclad — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$86

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$327

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 05-16 16:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

72% 49% $-96

Other

18% 67% +$26

Sports

6% 0% $-16

Politics

2% — —

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	2	$50	87	0	+87	Down	$-50	05-10 07:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	2	$30	32	0	+32	Up	+$2	05-10 07:04
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	2	$28	23	23	+0	MOUZ	+$18	05-10 09:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	1	$25	27	0	+27	Down	+$2	05-10 06:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	1	$25	28	0	+28	Up	+$3	05-10 07:06
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	2	$15	14	14	+0	GIANTX	+$13	05-10 16:31
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	1	$10	10,000	0	+10,000	Sean Strickland	$-10	05-10 06:47
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	1	$10	34	0	+34	open	—	05-10 06:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	1	$10	12	0	+12	Down	+$2	05-12 15:42
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)	1	$5	5,000	0	+5,000	Sean Brady	$-5	05-10 06:49
UFC: Khamzat Chimaev to Land 1st Minute Takedown?	1	$5	500	0	+500	open	—	05-10 06:12
Jiujiang: Xiaodi You vs En-Shuo Liang	1	$5	10	0	+10	En-Shuo Liang	$-5	05-10 06:56
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$5	50	0	+50	open	—	05-10 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	$-5	05-10 07:42
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	1	$5	167	0	+167	Up	$-5	05-10 07:18
Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?	1	$5	252	0	+252	open	—	05-10 06:26
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	$-5	05-10 07:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	1	$5	24	0	+24	Up	$-5	05-10 07:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	$-5	05-10 07:36
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Up	$-5	05-10 16:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Up	+$6	05-10 16:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Up	$-5	05-10 16:46
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	1	$5	45	0	+45	Down	$-5	05-10 06:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	1	$5	13	0	+13	Down	$-5	05-10 17:07
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	1	$5	23	0	+23	Down	$-5	05-10 07:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Down	+$2	05-10 07:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	$-5	05-10 07:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	$-5	05-10 16:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	05-10 07:01
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	1	$2	100	0	+100	Up	$-2	05-10 16:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 16:14:18	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xe8d07c…
05-12 15:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x0a034d…
05-10 17:07:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x0e3750…
05-10 17:06:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x266c3b…
05-10 16:46:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x79827c…
05-10 16:45:41	Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins	Washington Nationals	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x9c3a37…
05-10 16:40:50	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x9360e7…
05-10 16:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x8a9e88…
05-10 16:37:36	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xb49c37…
05-10 16:35:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xb07139…
05-10 16:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x6199ee…
05-10 16:31:06	LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	GIANTX	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x109e7e…
05-10 14:25:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x403d7b…
05-10 14:25:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb6a2a6…
05-10 13:52:55	LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	GIANTX	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xf8e0e9…
05-10 09:10:48	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xe002f9…
05-10 09:10:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x2fbe5b…
05-10 09:10:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xab15c6…
05-10 09:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xb1a881…
05-10 09:10:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x632722…
05-10 09:08:57	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	MOUZ	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xebc34c…
05-10 09:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x40271f…
05-10 09:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x491202…
05-10 08:56:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xb42404…
05-10 08:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x55f741…
05-10 08:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x827666…
05-10 08:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x04917d…
05-10 08:07:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x19b408…
05-10 08:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xdaf824…
05-10 07:52:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x48ee7d…
05-10 07:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xdfea22…
05-10 07:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x2b8050…
05-10 07:36:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x7a97d3…
05-10 07:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x8e3937…
05-10 07:36:18	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x40eba7…
05-10 07:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xe29221…
05-10 07:28:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	23	21¢	$5	0xb38b13…
05-10 07:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xe64d34…
05-10 07:18:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x6254f0…
05-10 07:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x305aa1…
05-10 07:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x8588f9…
05-10 07:06:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0xecdaa5…
05-10 07:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x15b2d4…
05-10 07:01:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xaabb79…
05-10 07:01:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x9a4431…
05-10 06:58:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x413f04…
05-10 06:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x247b49…
05-10 06:56:06	Jiujiang: Xiaodi You vs En-Shuo Liang	Xiaodi You	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1eda61…
05-10 06:49:18	UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)	Joaquin Buckley	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x98dfd0…
05-10 06:47:25	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xb99850…
05-10 06:26:02	Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?	No	BUY	252	2¢	$5	0xc9845c…
05-10 06:18:16	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x18f028…
05-10 06:14:43	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x0119ed…
05-10 06:13:40	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	MOUZ	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xf34655…
05-10 06:12:14	UFC: Khamzat Chimaev to Land 1st Minute Takedown?	No	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x48d28c…