Muffled-Commander — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$32

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

12.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$38

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 05-13 10:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 6% +$32

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776360600	2	$9	8	8	+1	open	—	04-16 17:36
btc updown 5m 1776360900	3	$3	7	1	+6	open	—	04-16 17:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	3	$3	30	0	+30	Down	$-1	05-13 10:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	3	$3	51	1	+50	Down	+$49	05-13 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	3	$2	117	17	+100	Up	$-2	05-12 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	2	$2	165	0	+165	Down	$-2	05-13 06:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	2	$2	80	0	+80	Down	$-2	05-13 10:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	1	$1	20	0	+20	Down	$-1	05-13 07:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Down	$-1	05-13 10:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Up	$-1	05-13 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Up	$-1	05-13 09:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Down	$-1	05-12 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Down	$-1	05-12 21:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	1	$1	50	0	+50	Down	$-1	05-13 06:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	1	$1	33	0	+33	Down	$-1	05-12 21:23
btc updown 5m 1776360300	1	$1	33	0	+33	open	—	04-16 17:29
btc updown 5m 1776360000	1	$1	33	0	+33	open	—	04-16 17:24
btc updown 5m 1776361800	1	$1	11	0	+11	open	—	04-16 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	1	$1	33	0	+33	Up	$-1	05-13 07:43
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	1	$1	8	0	+8	Up	$-1	05-13 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	1	$0	7	0	+7	Up	$-0	05-13 07:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 10:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xba2760…
05-13 10:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	78	1¢	$1	0x820a0f…
05-13 10:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x0be8aa…
05-13 10:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xfaee8b…
05-13 10:02:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x90bc50…
05-13 10:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x25f914…
05-13 09:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4cd96f…
05-13 09:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x947580…
05-13 07:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xcb8a50…
05-13 07:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x2d2395…
05-13 07:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x77a69e…
05-13 07:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0x2b3058…
05-13 07:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x2e4885…
05-13 07:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0xe2448c…
05-13 07:04:38	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0xdfee6f…
05-13 06:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd10c17…
05-13 06:54:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	115	1¢	$1	0xe6c415…
05-13 06:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x425f8d…
05-12 21:23:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x4f9b4d…
05-12 21:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xddf97b…
05-12 21:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x29eb69…
05-12 21:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa6add3…
05-12 21:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	17	3¢	$0	0x3634e2…
05-12 21:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x43ba34…
04-16 17:53:28	btc updown 5m 1776361800	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x58d459…
04-16 17:40:38	btc updown 5m 1776360900	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0d1729…
04-16 17:37:24	btc updown 5m 1776360900	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xa15a30…
04-16 17:37:10	btc updown 5m 1776360900	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x75796d…
04-16 17:36:10	btc updown 5m 1776360600	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xf889d0…
04-16 17:34:54	btc updown 5m 1776360600	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xfda8fa…
04-16 17:29:40	btc updown 5m 1776360300	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xcddbff…
04-16 17:24:14	btc updown 5m 1776360000	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x39c8e8…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	20	$10.4K	488	05-13 10:15
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	20	$9.71K	758	05-13 10:11
Svelte-Chicory 0x9412…0cd0	20	$9.49K	730	05-13 10:14
(anonymous) 0x3375…a69c	20	$9.05K	1,474	05-13 10:12
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	20	$5.28K	719	05-13 10:11
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	20	$4.79K	651	05-13 10:11
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	20	$4.67K	1,230	05-13 10:12
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	20	$4.48K	1,145	05-13 10:12