Aching-Oleo — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.58K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$54

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 06-09 06:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

61% 100% +$0

Other

27% — —

Politics

8% — —

Tech

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	1	$101	101	+101	open	—	05-25 09:27
ethereum above 1800 on march 8	1	$101	101	+101	open	—	03-08 10:42
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 94000 on february 5	1	$101	101	+101	open	—	02-04 02:00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	1	$101	101	+101	open	—	05-15 02:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 10?	1	$100	100	+100	Yes	+$0	05-09 06:33
ethereum above 1700 on february 27	1	$100	100	+100	open	—	02-27 02:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	05-06 06:24
bitcoin above 74k on march 21	1	$99	99	+99	open	—	03-21 09:38
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 540 559	1	$99	99	+99	open	—	02-10 07:06
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 300 319	1	$99	99	+99	open	—	04-10 09:54
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 440 459	1	$99	99	+99	open	—	03-03 08:23
bitcoin above 96k on january 13	1	$98	98	+98	open	—	01-13 03:27
bitcoin above 58k on june 9 2026	1	$98	98	+98	open	—	06-09 06:13
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 720 739	1	$98	98	+98	open	—	01-04 03:30
will the price of bitcoin be between 98000 100000 on january 27	1	$98	98	+98	open	—	01-26 03:20
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	1	$97	97	+97	open	—	01-30 09:57
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	1	$96	96	+96	open	—	04-25 05:30
ethereum above 2500 on april 20	1	$96	96	+96	open	—	04-20 07:44
bitcoin above 80k on april 15	1	$96	96	+96	open	—	04-15 02:29
bitcoin above 86k on january 9	1	$96	96	+96	open	—	01-09 07:00
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 540 559	1	$96	96	+96	open	—	01-22 02:35
bitcoin above 58k on march 16	1	$95	95	+95	open	—	03-14 03:26
bitcoin above 74k on april 6	1	$95	95	+95	open	—	04-05 10:51
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	1	$95	95	+95	open	—	03-28 06:33
bitcoin above 64k on march 19	1	$95	95	+95	open	—	03-18 08:18
will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on january 18	1	$83	84	+84	open	—	01-18 07:33
ethereum above 3100 on january 18	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	01-18 07:33
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 560 579	1	$3	1,500	+1,500	open	—	03-21 09:37
will openai have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	03-28 06:32
will threads be 1 free app in the us apple app store on february 13	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	02-10 07:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 06:13:03	bitcoin above 58k on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x903db2…
05-25 09:27:33	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x70f229…
05-15 02:47:46	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xac3fa1…
05-09 06:33:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2ad615…
05-06 06:24:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe11d4d…
04-25 05:30:32	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xd4d70d…
04-20 07:44:40	ethereum above 2500 on april 20	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x468d38…
04-20 07:44:26	Will Baidu have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc61bfe…
04-20 07:44:12	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdb4f81…
04-15 02:29:40	bitcoin above 80k on april 15	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x73240b…
04-15 02:29:28	ethereum above 2600 on april 15	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1a4d72…
04-15 02:29:18	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x21a08e…
04-15 02:29:06	will threads be 1 free app in the us apple app store on april 17	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x092573…
04-10 09:54:15	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 300 319	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x0b6284…
04-05 10:51:59	bitcoin above 74k on april 6	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xb35e6c…
03-28 06:33:09	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x26e347…
03-28 06:32:59	will tonalenergy tuner metronome be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9ba7ab…
03-28 06:32:39	elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 115 139	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc399aa…
03-28 06:32:27	will openai have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x428a30…
03-21 09:38:03	bitcoin above 74k on march 21	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0xd39031…
03-21 09:37:55	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 560 579	Yes	BUY	1,500	0¢	$3	0x93535a…
03-18 08:18:29	bitcoin above 64k on march 19	Yes	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xc8f2a9…
03-14 03:26:43	bitcoin above 58k on march 16	Yes	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xe91960…
03-14 03:26:31	ethereum above 2300 on march 14	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xee85e1…
03-14 03:26:15	will ethereum reach 2700 march 9 15	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x77db23…
03-08 10:42:57	ethereum above 1800 on march 8	Yes	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xecb547…
03-03 08:23:35	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 440 459	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0xc10b15…
03-03 08:22:59	bitcoin up or down on march 3	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x6414c2…
03-03 08:22:39	ethereum above 2300 on march 3	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc5512b…
02-27 02:16:28	ethereum above 1700 on february 27	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xfe9be3…
02-10 07:06:29	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 540 559	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x7e7e7e…
02-10 07:05:53	will threads be 1 free app in the us apple app store on february 13	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8ccc70…
02-10 07:05:39	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7b2432…
02-04 02:00:02	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 94000 on february 5	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x9f4a9c…
01-30 09:57:56	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0xdfd6eb…
01-30 09:57:06	will the us next strike iran on january 30 2026 et 866	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5c85cc…
01-26 03:20:26	will the price of bitcoin be between 98000 100000 on january 27	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0xc7933f…
01-22 02:35:16	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 540 559	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x2336ec…
01-22 02:35:04	will freecash get paid real money be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 23	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbc961d…
01-22 02:34:58	will grok 4pt20 be released on january 21 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x622ad0…
01-18 07:33:42	will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on january 18	No	BUY	84	100¢	$83	0x58e886…
01-18 07:33:34	ethereum above 3100 on january 18	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf4e16a…
01-13 03:27:19	bitcoin above 96k on january 13	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x3f7b1a…
01-09 07:00:28	bitcoin above 86k on january 9	Yes	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x2406b6…
01-09 07:00:08	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8a4bd6…
01-09 06:59:50	solana above 150 on january 9	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc73774…
01-09 06:59:10	will alibaba have the top ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc8e6e3…
01-04 03:30:05	elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 720 739	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x1549e2…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	33	$7.08K	4,710	04-14 17:51
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	27	$2.71K	875	06-08 12:17
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	26	$56.1K	1,213	05-24 23:19
Well-Documented-Hit 0x30ce…6b2b	21	$122.7K	5,647	04-09 19:44
Real-Veteran 0xe8dd…ec86	18	$526.2K	7,813	04-23 17:04
Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf	18	$34.9K	942	04-20 20:12
Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345	18	$2.82K	1,766	04-19 14:27
Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f	17	$28.3K	470	05-08 08:23