Bare-Spyglass — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.34K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$181

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 05-12 13:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

92% 100% +$1

Other

5% 100% +$1

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Steve Lanier win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?	3	$2.3K	1,185	1,185	+0	open	—	03-25 23:51
Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	7	$1.7K	1,450	1,450	+0	Yes	+$1	03-25 10:38
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	7	$198	2,246	2,246	+0	open	—	03-25 08:42
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	4	$104	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-25 08:26
US Catanzaro 1929 vs. US Avellino 1912: O/U 4.5	1	$17	18	0	+18	Under	+$1	05-12 13:28
highest temperature in tokyo on march 24 2026 15c	1	$15	16	0	+16	open	—	03-24 04:22
highest temperature in chicago on march 24 2026 54 55f	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	03-24 02:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 13:28:52	US Catanzaro 1929 vs. US Avellino 1912: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	18	92¢	$17	0x75121b…
03-25 23:51:45	Will Steve Lanier win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	1,185	96¢	$1,136	0x24a4e7…
03-25 23:42:11	Will Steve Lanier win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	192	96¢	$184	0x71b9ff…
03-25 23:42:11	Will Steve Lanier win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	993	96¢	$951	0x6beb28…
03-25 10:38:01	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	No	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x92ad65…
03-25 10:37:59	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	No	SELL	472	3¢	$16	0x6853c1…
03-25 10:27:57	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	No	BUY	572	4¢	$21	0xcfeb44…
03-25 08:42:57	Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Yes	SELL	436	4¢	$17	0xd00844…
03-25 08:42:55	Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Yes	SELL	258	4¢	$10	0x48c1df…
03-25 08:36:09	Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Yes	BUY	694	4¢	$29	0x921ec3…
03-25 08:26:17	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	223	5¢	$12	0xe443e8…
03-25 08:26:17	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	777	5¢	$42	0x7789ac…
03-25 08:19:35	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	670	5¢	$34	0xc7e0e8…
03-25 08:19:35	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	330	5¢	$16	0xb16b06…
03-25 07:58:57	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	Yes	SELL	671	97¢	$648	0x02aef8…
03-25 07:58:55	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	Yes	SELL	207	97¢	$200	0x9e3488…
03-25 07:49:17	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	Yes	BUY	584	96¢	$563	0x6d76d9…
03-25 07:49:17	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	Yes	BUY	294	96¢	$283	0x149b57…
03-25 07:42:45	Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,195	5¢	$56	0xc47087…
03-25 07:42:45	Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Yes	SELL	357	5¢	$17	0x90b0d6…
03-25 07:32:45	Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Yes	BUY	926	4¢	$41	0xae338f…
03-25 07:32:45	Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Yes	BUY	626	4¢	$28	0x1b0f0c…
03-24 04:22:53	highest temperature in tokyo on march 24 2026 15c	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x60aa48…
03-24 02:56:43	highest temperature in chicago on march 24 2026 54 55f	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x54cd01…