Wilted-Graphic — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$64

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

23.1%

Resolved

Trades

296

lifetime

Volume

$841

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 06-05 19:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 22% $-64

Other

9% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 79 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 12?	3	$45	449	449	+0	No	$-18	05-12 13:28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	3	$41	24	24	+0	Yes	$-2	05-12 11:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	6	$32	21	21	+0	Down	+$1	05-14 01:16
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	7	$30	180	239	-60	open	—	05-11 21:58
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	2	$29	34	34	+0	open	—	05-12 07:18
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	8	$24	38	38	+0	Down	$-23	05-14 03:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	4	$20	15	15	+0	open	—	05-24 02:13
Will gas hit (High) $4.60 by May 31?	3	$20	60	160	-100	open	—	05-12 02:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	3	$17	13	13	+0	open	—	05-24 02:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	2	$16	11	11	+0	open	—	05-24 02:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	2	$16	11	11	+0	open	—	05-24 02:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	7	$15	21	14	+8	open	—	05-24 02:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	05-24 02:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	3	$14	10	7	+3	open	—	05-24 11:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	3	$13	12	12	+0	Up	$-3	05-13 23:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	2	$13	15	15	+0	Up	+$7	05-12 23:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10PM ET	3	$13	15	15	+0	Down	$-1	05-14 02:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	2	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	05-24 02:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	1	$10	38	0	+38	Up	$-10	05-12 23:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10PM ET	2	$10	22	0	+22	Down	$-10	05-14 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	8	$9	27	13	+14	open	—	05-30 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	3	$8	7	3	+4	open	—	05-30 03:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9PM ET	3	$8	13	13	+0	Up	$-6	05-14 01:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	3	$8	12	8	+4	open	—	05-24 02:53
btc updown 5m 1780686000	5	$8	14	10	+4	open	—	06-05 19:02
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9PM ET	3	$8	10	10	+0	Down	$-2	05-14 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	05-24 02:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	6	$7	7	7	+0	open	—	05-24 01:47
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	3	$7	10	10	+0	open	—	05-14 09:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	05-30 02:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 19:32:10	btc updown 5m 1780687800	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x800b7d…
06-05 19:32:00	btc updown 5m 1780687800	Up	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0x3a8908…
06-05 19:31:12	btc updown 5m 1780687800	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x407492…
06-05 19:26:13	btc updown 5m 1780687500	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x6eec75…
06-05 19:21:30	btc updown 5m 1780687200	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xd5a098…
06-05 19:21:21	btc updown 5m 1780687200	Down	SELL	3	17¢	$0	0xb01dff…
06-05 19:20:45	btc updown 5m 1780687200	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x6934b8…
06-05 19:16:01	btc updown 5m 1780686900	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xb772b3…
06-05 19:13:03	btc updown 5m 1780686600	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x6e757a…
06-05 19:12:58	btc updown 5m 1780686600	Up	SELL	2	29¢	$1	0xd1eada…
06-05 19:11:58	btc updown 5m 1780686600	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x55ccda…
06-05 19:11:12	btc updown 5m 1780686600	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x74e8bc…
06-05 19:07:16	btc updown 5m 1780686300	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x8b1abb…
06-05 19:02:55	btc updown 5m 1780686000	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xc25d21…
06-05 19:02:18	btc updown 5m 1780686000	Up	SELL	6	58¢	$3	0x7527e7…
06-05 19:01:34	btc updown 5m 1780686000	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xb01237…
06-05 19:01:09	btc updown 5m 1780686000	Up	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0xb7eb69…
06-05 19:00:43	btc updown 5m 1780686000	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xb2469d…
06-05 18:53:09	btc updown 5m 1780685400	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5c2793…
06-05 18:52:46	btc updown 5m 1780685700	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xaa4ade…
05-30 18:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xad33e4…
05-30 18:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x347e2c…
05-30 18:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x49bdaf…
05-30 18:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	4	41¢	$2	0xad4c64…
05-30 18:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x7db27d…
05-30 18:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x073ab9…
05-30 18:16:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x27b5c5…
05-30 18:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x34e3f2…
05-30 18:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x67c2b2…
05-30 18:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x16380e…
05-30 18:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc19c4f…
05-30 18:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x7bee34…
05-30 18:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x712c89…
05-30 18:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xbb6795…
05-30 18:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe1e916…
05-30 18:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	11	19¢	$2	0xc0a80e…
05-30 18:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xb9b947…
05-30 18:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x38b276…
05-30 18:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x4f32ef…
05-30 18:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0x8b7894…
05-30 18:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x05edbd…
05-30 18:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x9e89a1…
05-30 17:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x22b742…
05-30 17:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x107ef1…
05-30 17:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xa74a60…
05-30 17:50:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x3d0af6…
05-30 17:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xdec8bd…
05-30 17:45:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xd0ae06…
05-30 17:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xdf8200…
05-30 17:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0x7c050f…
05-30 17:41:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x186330…
05-30 17:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x537463…
05-30 17:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	3	23¢	$1	0x2ef4e8…
05-30 17:38:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x9bd0e7…
05-30 17:37:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0x555842…
05-30 17:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x700771…
05-30 17:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x8799cc…
05-30 17:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x189238…
05-30 17:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x996600…
05-30 17:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x8b99b9…
05-30 17:23:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0x13cf63…
05-30 17:21:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xd0e325…
05-30 17:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xf203bc…
05-30 17:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0xc3e2db…
05-30 17:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x99060b…
05-30 17:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	52¢	$1	0xc81b8e…
05-30 17:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x241b51…
05-30 11:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x88215e…
05-30 11:05:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x44b076…
05-30 11:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x52fe3f…
05-30 11:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x7474e8…
05-30 10:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0xc4bcc2…
05-30 10:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xee4c02…
05-30 04:33:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x93826c…
05-30 03:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0xf200d6…
05-30 03:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	73¢	$3	0xfc673a…
05-30 03:48:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x97c32f…
05-30 03:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x33ab96…
05-30 03:18:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	84¢	$3	0x1fad4f…
05-30 03:18:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x226cb2…
05-30 02:33:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	4	92¢	$3	0x35bdad…
05-30 02:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xbef137…
05-30 02:23:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x8d6522…
05-30 02:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0xc4e0a4…
05-30 01:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x40cc8b…
05-30 01:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x1410c6…
05-30 01:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x659943…
05-30 01:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	81¢	$3	0x21d380…
05-30 01:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xb82438…
05-30 01:02:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	40¢	$1	0xcee3a6…
05-30 01:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x1e2800…
05-30 00:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0xc398e9…
05-30 00:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	7	44¢	$3	0x9a3801…
05-30 00:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x2f3acd…
05-30 00:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xc7f8fc…
05-30 00:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x33aec4…
05-30 00:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x05a264…
05-30 00:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x496b45…
05-30 00:23:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0xd4dfed…
05-29 23:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xb19d8b…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	142	$123.5K	5,355	06-05 19:34
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	132	$31.4K	6,461	06-05 19:33
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	125	$27.8K	1,150	06-05 19:33
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	123	$27.2K	8,974	06-05 19:33
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	123	$26.3K	4,987	06-05 19:33
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	123	$23.9K	8,051	06-05 19:33
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	122	$241.1K	10,733	06-05 19:34
Agile-Analogy 0x1015…bac8	122	$20.0K	3,527	06-05 19:32