Pale-Conception — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$123

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.4%

Resolved

Trades

1,173

lifetime

Volume

$8.52K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-20

last 06-09 08:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 73% +$123

Other

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 419 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	4	$417	372	372	+0	Up	+$17	05-13 16:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	4	$259	253	253	+0	open	—	05-13 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	2	$231	171	171	+0	Down	+$31	05-13 15:49
btc updown 5m 1780548000	2	$224	200	200	+0	open	—	06-04 04:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	3	$213	385	135	+250	Down	+$3	05-13 15:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	2	$209	111	111	+0	Down	+$9	05-13 11:59
btc updown 5m 1780520400	6	$208	168	168	+0	open	—	06-03 21:02
btc updown 5m 1780539000	2	$206	112	112	+0	open	—	06-04 02:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	2	$205	115	115	+0	Down	+$5	05-13 02:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	2	$203	131	131	+0	Down	+$3	05-13 13:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	2	$202	109	109	+0	Down	+$2	05-12 05:54
btc updown 5m 1776822600	8	$200	171	166	+5	open	—	04-22 01:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	5	$136	102	102	+0	open	—	06-03 03:50
btc updown 5m 1774058400	11	$113	91	78	+13	open	—	03-21 02:03
btc updown 5m 1774318200	5	$109	64	64	+0	open	—	03-24 02:14
btc updown 5m 1774058100	8	$107	108	63	+45	open	—	03-21 01:58
btc updown 5m 1774331400	14	$104	100	99	+1	open	—	03-24 05:54
btc updown 5m 1780993800	1	$100	282	0	+282	open	—	06-09 08:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	1	$100	289	0	+289	open	—	05-18 13:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	1	$100	218	0	+218	open	—	05-18 13:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	1	$100	145	0	+145	open	—	05-15 07:37
btc updown 5m 1780754100	1	$100	196	0	+196	open	—	06-06 13:56
btc updown 5m 1774319400	10	$99	97	96	+1	open	—	03-24 02:34
btc updown 5m 1774057500	16	$97	96	95	+1	open	—	03-21 01:49
btc updown 5m 1780754400	7	$96	125	36	+89	open	—	06-06 14:01
btc updown 5m 1776821700	7	$85	103	52	+51	open	—	04-22 01:39
btc updown 5m 1774331700	16	$82	73	64	+9	open	—	03-24 06:00
btc updown 5m 1776822300	5	$80	61	32	+29	open	—	04-22 01:50
btc updown 5m 1774056900	8	$79	79	78	+1	open	—	03-21 01:39
btc updown 5m 1774330800	10	$78	65	65	+0	open	—	03-24 05:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 08:33:16	btc updown 5m 1780993800	Down	BUY	282	35¢	$100	0xf61307…
06-09 08:15:46	btc updown 5m 1780992900	Up	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0xe96e2a…
06-06 14:01:57	btc updown 5m 1780754400	Up	SELL	36	71¢	$26	0xca8c6b…
06-06 14:01:01	btc updown 5m 1780754400	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x9866b7…
06-06 14:01:01	btc updown 5m 1780754400	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x84b5fc…
06-06 14:01:01	btc updown 5m 1780754400	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x34b3d5…
06-06 14:01:01	btc updown 5m 1780754400	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x2c331c…
06-06 14:00:25	btc updown 5m 1780754400	Down	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x6589ee…
06-06 14:00:24	btc updown 5m 1780754400	Down	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0xb2a4f3…
06-06 13:56:40	btc updown 5m 1780754100	Down	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xf5abaf…
06-04 04:43:48	btc updown 5m 1780548000	Up	SELL	200	62¢	$124	0x552c25…
06-04 04:43:12	btc updown 5m 1780548000	Up	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x040459…
06-04 02:12:16	btc updown 5m 1780539000	Up	SELL	112	94¢	$106	0x6e5d47…
06-04 02:11:58	btc updown 5m 1780539000	Up	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x23fc2a…
06-03 21:02:16	btc updown 5m 1780520400	Up	SELL	168	73¢	$123	0x100399…
06-03 21:00:37	btc updown 5m 1780520400	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x594e9a…
06-03 21:00:37	btc updown 5m 1780520400	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x14d097…
06-03 21:00:33	btc updown 5m 1780520400	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x68f68f…
06-03 21:00:31	btc updown 5m 1780520400	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xd7573a…
06-03 21:00:31	btc updown 5m 1780520400	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x8f0914…
06-03 20:57:31	btc updown 5m 1780520100	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xda1992…
06-03 20:57:30	btc updown 5m 1780520100	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x70ab54…
06-03 20:57:30	btc updown 5m 1780520100	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x5b1ace…
06-03 08:06:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xcc3d07…
06-03 04:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x1eed7f…
06-03 03:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x1c1af0…
06-03 03:49:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	57¢	$8	0xb1dfe1…
06-03 03:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	87	72¢	$63	0xb2f75f…
06-03 03:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x819590…
06-03 03:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x4f8e7f…
06-01 13:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	21	87¢	$18	0xf0224d…
06-01 13:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x4c9b98…
06-01 12:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x979842…
06-01 12:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x39faa2…
06-01 12:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0xb2dcee…
06-01 12:31:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xd42dae…
05-18 19:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xd12f95…
05-18 19:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x7a71cb…
05-18 19:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x236929…
05-18 19:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x150337…
05-18 13:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0x66cc51…
05-18 13:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	289	35¢	$100	0x3c6424…
05-18 13:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	218	46¢	$100	0x22bf3b…
05-15 07:37:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x1bbf0a…
05-15 06:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	SELL	51	58¢	$30	0x6369c4…
05-15 06:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x5bfe69…
05-14 17:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0xdc60dc…
05-14 17:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x6a910e…
05-14 07:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x04ee48…
05-13 18:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	64	54¢	$35	0x95eb21…
05-13 18:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0xf3967e…
05-13 18:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	189	53¢	$99	0x36c0de…
05-13 18:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x28cd91…
05-13 18:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	36	5¢	$2	0x86dcc7…
05-13 18:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x48d072…
05-13 18:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	33	83¢	$28	0xfe230d…
05-13 18:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0xe04017…
05-13 18:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	30	89¢	$27	0x8a5637…
05-13 18:01:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x831256…
05-13 16:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	12	57¢	$7	0x2daa40…
05-13 16:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xd553c0…
05-13 16:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	194	54¢	$104	0x84ec2b…
05-13 16:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	194	52¢	$100	0x7834b3…
05-13 16:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	179	63¢	$112	0xb4ca3b…
05-13 16:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0xdc2c2e…
05-13 16:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	21	19¢	$4	0xc42498…
05-13 16:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xf3e08e…
05-13 16:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	42	82¢	$35	0xa345ab…
05-13 15:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x3a31bc…
05-13 15:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x008821…
05-13 15:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	135	80¢	$108	0xd45b3b…
05-13 15:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0xf2870b…
05-13 15:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	SELL	171	77¢	$131	0xc11bd0…
05-13 15:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	171	58¢	$100	0x1f6361…
05-13 15:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	22	15¢	$3	0x7f4e93…
05-13 15:42:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xdcfc13…
05-13 15:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	37	87¢	$32	0xa6a1a7…
05-13 15:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x09fd26…
05-13 13:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	131	79¢	$103	0x245783…
05-13 13:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	131	76¢	$100	0xb9c17a…
05-13 12:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	45	81¢	$36	0x97228b…
05-13 12:24:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x761c67…
05-13 12:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0x95e454…
05-13 12:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x408f6b…
05-13 12:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x1281de…
05-13 11:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	111	98¢	$109	0x9f903b…
05-13 11:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x458463…
05-13 02:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	115	91¢	$105	0x4fec45…
05-13 02:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x7323c8…
05-12 05:59:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0x495228…
05-12 05:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	37¢	$0	0x2d8a60…
05-12 05:56:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xd3efbd…
05-12 05:56:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x01f265…
05-12 05:54:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	SELL	109	94¢	$102	0xcd0542…
05-12 05:51:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xee75d2…
05-12 05:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb55d09…
05-12 05:49:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	19¢	$0	0xe4856d…
05-12 05:47:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x8384da…
05-12 05:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x6cee1d…
05-12 05:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x0fa8c2…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	214	$80.6K	8,801	06-01 13:02
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	209	$192.3K	47,202	06-09 08:34
Favorite-Sunflower 0xba01…8535	206	$56.6K	3,993	06-09 08:32
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	206	$34.4K	4,146	06-09 08:32
(anonymous) 0xa3d0…ec04	199	$8.84K	1,560	06-09 08:33
Worldly-Miracle 0x7041…5c73	198	$10.4K	2,567	06-09 08:33
Definite-Smoke 0x4b6b…5578	197	$5.28K	615	06-09 08:20
Mixed-Riot 0x5384…8ff7	196	$6.21K	731	06-09 08:33