Amusing-Sovereignty — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$62

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.2%

Resolved

126

Trades

388

lifetime

Volume

$1.46K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 06-07 19:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 64% $-63

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 115 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	7	$55	70	0	+70	Up	+$15	05-04 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	7	$51	36	21	+15	Down	$-9	05-04 22:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	10	$50	63	0	+63	Up	+$5	05-04 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	9	$50	74	66	+8	Up	+$8	05-08 05:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	7	$40	40	32	+8	Down	+$0	05-08 19:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	5	$37	31	31	+0	Up	+$7	05-08 18:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	7	$35	46	0	+46	Down	$-35	05-06 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	7	$35	42	0	+42	Up	+$7	05-06 06:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	6	$32	22	22	+0	Up	+$2	05-05 04:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	6	$32	24	24	+0	Up	+$2	05-08 18:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	4	$32	29	22	+7	Down	+$9	05-08 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	6	$31	20	20	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 17:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	4	$26	25	11	+14	Up	$-4	05-08 18:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	3	$25	30	30	+0	Up	+$5	05-08 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	4	$25	23	23	+0	Up	+$5	05-08 18:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	1	$25	27	0	+27	open	—	05-04 17:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	5	$25	36	0	+36	Down	$-25	05-04 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	4	$22	24	24	+0	Down	+$2	05-08 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	5	$22	19	19	+0	Up	+$2	05-05 04:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	4	$21	23	23	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 16:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	3	$20	11	11	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 05:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	4	$20	48	0	+48	Up	+$5	05-08 18:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	4	$20	24	0	+24	Up	+$4	05-05 03:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	4	$18	29	29	+0	Up	+$3	05-08 20:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	3	$16	20	8	+12	Up	$-4	05-08 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	3	$15	27	7	+20	Down	+$15	05-08 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	3	$15	15	9	+6	Up	+$1	05-05 15:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	3	$15	34	0	+34	Up	$-4	05-08 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	3	$15	22	0	+22	open	—	05-04 17:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	3	$15	16	0	+16	Down	+$1	05-05 15:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 19:39:37	btc updown 5m 1780860900	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x7aede1…
06-07 19:39:16	btc updown 5m 1780860900	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x530c07…
06-07 19:37:16	btc updown 5m 1780860900	Up	SELL	4	59¢	$2	0xbcaca6…
06-07 19:36:37	btc updown 5m 1780860900	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x31141f…
06-07 19:34:30	btc updown 5m 1780860600	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x2318f5…
06-03 22:08:09	btc updown 5m 1780524300	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xd04613…
06-03 22:03:22	btc updown 5m 1780524000	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xce45c5…
06-03 21:57:43	btc updown 5m 1780523700	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x25a095…
06-03 21:52:03	btc updown 5m 1780523400	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xdd358d…
06-03 21:48:04	btc updown 5m 1780523100	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x99d873…
06-03 21:43:27	btc updown 5m 1780522800	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x9ff52b…
06-03 21:40:19	btc updown 5m 1780522800	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xb05fad…
06-03 21:36:21	btc updown 5m 1780522500	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x4700d0…
06-03 21:32:45	btc updown 5m 1780522200	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x0b61e5…
06-03 21:30:31	btc updown 5m 1780522200	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x8acbd7…
05-31 22:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7ef00a…
05-31 22:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x30bba1…
05-31 22:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x563d25…
05-31 22:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xf49a5a…
05-31 22:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xd6e663…
05-31 22:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x1856f5…
05-31 22:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x90f263…
05-31 22:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5e56ba…
05-31 22:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xc5e9b7…
05-31 22:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x4b7b7d…
05-31 22:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x252ced…
05-31 22:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7400aa…
05-31 22:11:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x67e3c2…
05-31 22:10:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xbbf063…
05-31 22:05:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x508a47…
05-31 22:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	34¢	$0	0x9589c5…
05-31 22:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0xc354ee…
05-31 22:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x46ce93…
05-31 22:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0x76faff…
05-31 22:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x1327cb…
05-31 22:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xa669c1…
05-31 21:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x100652…
05-16 11:34:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x513d92…
05-13 23:25:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x48df74…
05-13 23:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xda6d0e…
05-10 22:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xd7cc2c…
05-10 22:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x7e88a1…
05-10 22:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x2f3625…
05-10 22:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x9aa0b7…
05-10 22:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xfa5512…
05-10 22:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x9997e1…
05-10 22:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xd26e5e…
05-10 22:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xe986bb…
05-10 22:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x4901c5…
05-10 22:13:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x249c32…
05-10 22:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x2d8d48…
05-10 22:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x154fac…
05-10 22:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xf2ead2…
05-10 22:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xeb3ce1…
05-10 22:09:47	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0x0c0076…
05-10 22:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xdc2a6a…
05-10 22:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x779e07…
05-10 22:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2b7a86…
05-10 22:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	7	64¢	$5	0x139657…
05-10 22:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xaaeb89…
05-10 21:55:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x2758ed…
05-10 21:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x88c6f3…
05-10 21:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x5d503a…
05-10 21:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x280bcf…
05-10 21:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xf9da12…
05-10 21:43:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8e2023…
05-10 21:42:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x162ff4…
05-10 21:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xdc5d31…
05-10 21:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xc27235…
05-10 21:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xde2dff…
05-10 21:34:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xdd9346…
05-10 21:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x54f202…
05-10 21:32:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xa75f2d…
05-10 21:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x6f92a6…
05-10 21:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x8832ff…
05-10 21:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xf758f8…
05-10 21:25:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x025f2b…
05-10 21:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6b0553…
05-10 21:22:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x480953…
05-10 21:21:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xda47d7…
05-10 21:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xafcba0…
05-10 21:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xfbb498…
05-10 21:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x58670c…
05-10 21:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xebc515…
05-10 18:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x8954c7…
05-10 18:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x380ad8…
05-10 18:25:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xe6fde9…
05-10 18:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x206c03…
05-10 18:22:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x68cf46…
05-10 18:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xeab062…
05-10 18:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x6fac3d…
05-10 18:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xd97d28…
05-10 18:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x5ca5af…
05-10 18:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x55b3e9…
05-10 18:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x51515c…
05-10 18:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x3018aa…
05-10 17:31:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xfc1647…
05-10 17:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xd42ead…
05-10 17:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x3c99e0…
05-10 17:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4b417b…