Phony-Sandpaper — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$78

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

35.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$8.08K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$253

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-12 06:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

34% — —

Politics

33% — —

Sports

21% 50% $-78

Crypto

11% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$1.7K	887	887	+0	open	—	02-16 07:02
Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?	3	$1.2K	1,259	0	+1,259	open	—	01-06 04:24
will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	1	$987	1,027	0	+1,027	open	—	03-18 10:38
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	1	$974	1,016	0	+1,016	open	—	03-06 05:12
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	1	$901	979	0	+979	open	—	02-23 09:45
will germany win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	1	$847	901	0	+901	open	—	02-16 09:23
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	3	$389	13,410	0	+13,410	open	—	01-19 17:14
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	1	$147	181	0	+181	open	—	04-27 07:44
UFC Fight Night: Joselyne Edwards vs. Norma Dumont (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)	7	$128	188	0	+188	open	—	04-23 17:27
Magic vs. Pistons	1	$122	159	0	+159	open	—	04-29 08:32
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	1	$107	131	0	+131	Sean Strickland	$-107	05-07 10:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	1	$107	232	0	+232	open	—	04-13 03:22
ufc jja jam16 2026 04 18	1	$104	176	0	+176	open	—	04-17 02:21
Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies	1	$76	120	0	+120	open	—	05-22 06:28
Wild vs. Avalanche	1	$60	89	0	+89	Avalanche	+$29	05-13 08:40
nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	1	$50	77	0	+77	open	—	06-12 06:05
nba min phi 2026 04 03	1	$48	108	0	+108	open	—	04-03 09:53
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	1	$45	68	0	+68	open	—	06-05 02:50
ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	1	$44	92	0	+92	open	—	04-03 09:52
cbb lehi pvam 2026 03 18	1	$11	18	0	+18	open	—	03-18 08:45
bitcoin above 76k on march 18	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	03-18 08:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 06:05:18	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Spurs	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0x9d211c…
06-05 02:50:22	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	BUY	68	67¢	$45	0x8c7792…
05-22 06:28:25	Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	120	63¢	$76	0xe91631…
05-13 08:40:03	Wild vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	BUY	89	67¢	$60	0x28e0e4…
05-07 10:33:51	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	131	82¢	$107	0x1893ff…
04-29 08:32:54	Magic vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	159	77¢	$122	0xb15fdc…
04-27 07:44:16	Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	BUY	181	81¢	$147	0x078a36…
04-23 17:27:56	UFC Fight Night: Joselyne Edwards vs. Norma Dumont (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)	Norma Dumont	BUY	55	68¢	$37	0xa594da…
04-23 14:44:26	UFC Fight Night: Joselyne Edwards vs. Norma Dumont (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)	Norma Dumont	BUY	17	68¢	$12	0xb696e7…
04-23 10:46:32	UFC Fight Night: Joselyne Edwards vs. Norma Dumont (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)	Norma Dumont	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x47b241…
04-23 09:43:24	UFC Fight Night: Joselyne Edwards vs. Norma Dumont (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)	Norma Dumont	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x855253…
04-23 08:41:00	UFC Fight Night: Joselyne Edwards vs. Norma Dumont (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)	Norma Dumont	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x0123e8…
04-23 07:46:20	UFC Fight Night: Joselyne Edwards vs. Norma Dumont (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)	Norma Dumont	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x4f4bc3…
04-23 07:44:42	UFC Fight Night: Joselyne Edwards vs. Norma Dumont (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)	Norma Dumont	BUY	92	68¢	$63	0xba20e7…
04-17 02:21:30	ufc jja jam16 2026 04 18	Jamey-Lyn Horth	BUY	176	59¢	$104	0xbe8657…
04-13 03:22:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	232	46¢	$107	0x68e5d8…
04-03 09:53:05	nba min phi 2026 04 03	Timberwolves	BUY	108	44¢	$48	0x76e4d7…
04-03 09:52:23	ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	No	BUY	92	48¢	$44	0xd9d41c…
03-18 10:38:07	will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	No	BUY	1,027	96¢	$987	0xc62b74…
03-18 08:45:59	bitcoin above 76k on march 18	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x741b00…
03-18 08:45:13	cbb lehi pvam 2026 03 18	Lehigh Mountain Hawks	BUY	18	60¢	$11	0xe496d7…
03-06 05:12:25	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	No	BUY	1,016	96¢	$974	0xd79566…
02-23 09:45:52	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	No	BUY	979	92¢	$901	0xbeccde…
02-16 09:23:37	will germany win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	No	BUY	901	94¢	$847	0x78d2cf…
02-16 07:02:09	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	887	96¢	$847	0x616f13…
02-03 13:41:54	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	887	98¢	$870	0xc481a3…
01-19 17:14:50	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	7,978	3¢	$231	0x35ea5d…
01-18 05:59:00	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	120	3¢	$3	0x5b26bf…
01-18 05:55:32	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	5,311	3¢	$154	0x6708b0…
01-06 04:24:17	Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?	Yes	BUY	72	96¢	$69	0xc12b74…
01-06 04:24:07	Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?	Yes	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xbb2d7f…
01-06 04:21:13	Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?	Yes	BUY	1,087	96¢	$1,044	0xc19e8f…