Worse-Declination — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

5.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$27

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 05-10 19:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Sports

48% 17% $-10

Politics

30% 0% $-1

Crypto

22% 0% $-6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Phillies	2	$6	16	+16	Philadelphia Phillies	$-6	05-09 21:38
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	1	$5	111	+111	open	—	05-09 20:38
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?	1	$2	7	+7	open	—	05-09 20:59
Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Reds	2	$2	4	+4	Cincinnati Reds	$-2	05-09 21:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	1	$1	1,000	+1,000	Down	$-1	05-10 19:07
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 11?	1	$1	256	+256	Yes	$-1	05-10 06:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	1	$1	100	+100	Down	$-1	05-10 06:31
Will Sean Strickland become UFC champion in 2026?	1	$1	1,000	+1,000	Yes	$-1	05-10 18:50
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	1	$1	5	+5	Cavaliers	$-1	05-09 21:23
UFC: Khamzat Chimaev to Land 1st Minute Takedown?	1	$1	1,000	+1,000	open	—	05-10 07:08
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)	1	$1	2	+2	Philadelphia Phillies	$-1	05-09 22:08
New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers	1	$1	2	+2	Milwaukee Brewers	+$1	05-09 22:09
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	1	$1	23	+23	Yes	$-1	05-10 06:30
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 11?	1	$1	51	+51	Yes	$-1	05-10 06:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	1	$1	35	+35	Up	$-1	05-10 06:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Up	$-1	05-09 20:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 19:07:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xfdf744…
05-10 18:50:17	Will Sean Strickland become UFC champion in 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x52f694…
05-10 07:08:19	UFC: Khamzat Chimaev to Land 1st Minute Takedown?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xfbabca…
05-10 06:57:58	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 11?	No	BUY	256	0¢	$1	0x587fe5…
05-10 06:49:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 11?	No	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0x6f90e4…
05-10 06:39:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0xdb559a…
05-10 06:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x61a83f…
05-10 06:30:03	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	No	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0xaaef1e…
05-09 22:09:12	New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xc524c9…
05-09 22:08:34	Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)	Colorado Rockies	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x5636b3…
05-09 21:38:03	Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Colorado Rockies	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xda4ab1…
05-09 21:27:44	Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Colorado Rockies	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x585175…
05-09 21:23:20	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x5ee619…
05-09 21:22:34	Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Reds	Houston Astros	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x602b12…
05-09 21:16:07	Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Reds	Houston Astros	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x9a3b6f…
05-09 20:59:49	Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?	No	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xba1ef9…
05-09 20:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xa8e4d5…
05-09 20:38:58	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	111	4¢	$5	0xda403e…