Realized P&L
-$229
Unrealized P&L
-$77
Hit rate
29.3%
Resolved
4
Trades
1,533
lifetime
Volume
$124.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$81
Open exposure
$491
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-12 06:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
74% 25% $-229
Other
19%
Sports
4%
Crypto
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 122 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes -360 $-181 48¢ $-175 +$6 06-01 08:56
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -287 $-92 33¢ $-95 $-3 05-28 13:46
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes -400 $-120 22¢ $-90 +$30 05-29 14:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +325 $161 18¢ $60 $-101 06-10 11:42
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes -113 $-59 48¢ $-55 +$4 06-01 14:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? Yes -350 $-18 $-16 +$2 06-03 05:17
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? No +15 $4 $1 $-3 05-28 14:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +0 $12 26¢ $0 $-12 06-08 10:10