Selfish-Habitat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$47

Unrealized P&L

-$13

Hit rate

68.7%

Resolved

Trades

188

lifetime

Volume

$29.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$154

Open exposure

$802

1 position

First seen

2026-01-29

last 05-29 15:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

43% — —

Politics

30% — —

Other

18% 50% +$47

Crypto

9% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No		-813	$-789	99¢	$-802	$-13	05-29 15:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will canada win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	14	$2.6K	2,772	2,772	+0	open	—	02-22 14:39
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	7	$2.2K	1,635	1,635	+0	open	—	03-27 11:33
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	7	$2.2K	1,175	1,175	+0	open	—	04-13 08:09
will china record a gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics 113	12	$1.9K	976	1,046	-70	open	—	02-18 16:06
will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	17	$1.8K	1,418	1,418	+0	open	—	03-10 10:59
will the united states win the second most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	4	$1.6K	802	802	+0	open	—	02-21 06:03
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	12	$1.3K	1,082	1,082	+0	open	—	03-01 09:39
will pheu thai party pt finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	5	$1.2K	658	658	+0	open	—	02-08 16:03
will italy win the third most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	1	$1.2K	1,243	0	+1,243	open	—	02-21 08:23
will italy win the third most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	7	$1.0K	592	592	+0	open	—	02-21 06:30
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	1	$1000	1,087	0	+1,087	open	—	04-26 09:03
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	8	$902	1,190	1,190	+0	open	—	03-01 12:22
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	4	$902	541	541	+0	open	—	02-14 12:26
will norway win the most medal points in the 2026 winter olympics	8	$878	518	518	+0	open	—	02-18 03:51
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	1	$855	1,001	0	+1,001	open	—	01-29 18:43
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	1	$789	0	813	-813	open	—	05-29 15:01
2026 winter olympics ski halfpipe womens eileen gu chn	12	$744	507	507	+0	open	—	02-22 10:56
will bangladesh nationalist party win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	3	$674	388	388	+0	open	—	02-12 16:21
will donald trump announce a new nominee for chair of the federal reserve on january 30 2026	1	$640	679	0	+679	open	—	01-30 11:31
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$636	1,136	1,136	+0	open	—	02-28 06:37
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?	10	$534	550	0	+550	open	—	02-27 16:21
cl up or down on march 2 2026	2	$518	270	270	+0	open	—	03-02 16:28
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	5	$318	403	403	+0	open	—	02-24 04:33
will nepal workers peasants party win the most seats in the nepal house of representatives election 685 483	2	$288	222	222	+0	open	—	02-28 21:02
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$264	200	200	+0	open	—	02-28 04:59
will kp sharma oli be the next prime minister of nepal	2	$250	132	132	+0	open	—	02-28 07:40
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic	2	$235	180	178	+2	open	—	05-02 06:10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	1	$225	299	0	+299	Yes	+$74	05-03 09:03
will sweden win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	4	$190	111	90	+21	open	—	02-17 16:18
will bangladesh jamaat e islami finish with the second most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	7	$185	95	95	+0	open	—	02-13 09:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-29 15:01:02	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	SELL	813	97¢	$789	0x4f5b92…
05-09 14:14:00	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Mariano Navone	Felix Auger-Aliassime	SELL	102	37¢	$38	0x3e10a3…
05-09 13:59:07	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Mariano Navone	Felix Auger-Aliassime	BUY	102	64¢	$65	0x395091…
05-03 09:03:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	Yes	BUY	299	75¢	$225	0x9b0812…
05-02 15:45:38	Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Marta Kostyuk	Marta Kostyuk	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0xeda2f8…
05-02 15:17:34	76ers vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0x412f9a…
05-02 08:04:16	Huzhou: Katarzyna Kawa vs Hanyu Guo	Katarzyna Kawa	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0x3e1eda…
05-02 06:10:34	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic	Pistons	SELL	178	76¢	$134	0x951347…
04-26 09:04:12	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic	Pistons	BUY	180	56¢	$101	0xa7f5d5…
04-26 09:03:26	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	1,087	92¢	$1,000	0x395ec3…
04-13 08:09:31	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	1,175	94¢	$1,101	0x87c690…
04-11 20:03:59	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	65	93¢	$60	0x3a72c6…
04-11 20:03:35	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	258	93¢	$240	0x3b6341…
04-11 20:03:17	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	258	93¢	$240	0x97c2cd…
04-11 20:03:07	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	258	93¢	$240	0xc66210…
04-11 20:02:43	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	258	93¢	$240	0xc60a11…
04-11 19:58:33	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	81	93¢	$75	0xf15357…
03-27 11:33:29	will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	1,635	67¢	$1,095	0x63393d…
03-10 11:06:25	will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	722	55¢	$401	0x0a1a24…
03-10 11:05:49	will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	144	56¢	$80	0xc15477…
03-10 10:59:39	will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	Yes	SELL	26	98¢	$25	0xbc31d3…
03-10 10:59:01	will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	Yes	SELL	464	98¢	$456	0xed573d…
03-02 16:34:39	will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	294	70¢	$205	0xb774aa…
03-02 16:34:19	will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0xda869f…
03-02 16:32:55	will bitcoin reach 70k in march 2026	No	BUY	1,000	6¢	$60	0xe39007…
03-02 16:28:13	cl up or down on march 2 2026	Up	SELL	270	99¢	$268	0x8237c6…
03-01 12:24:39	will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0x4c669c…
03-01 12:24:03	will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	417	93¢	$388	0xf4dd91…
03-01 12:22:55	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	Yes	SELL	119	35¢	$42	0x2ce321…
03-01 12:07:55	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	Yes	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x537881…
03-01 12:05:37	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	Yes	SELL	11	37¢	$4	0x4baa2e…
03-01 12:03:29	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	Yes	SELL	135	37¢	$50	0x05118e…
03-01 12:02:21	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	Yes	SELL	268	37¢	$99	0x1fc8e8…
03-01 11:53:47	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	Yes	SELL	600	37¢	$222	0x522c56…
03-01 11:52:33	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	Yes	SELL	54	37¢	$20	0x34d32e…
03-01 09:56:39	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	Yes	BUY	1,190	39¢	$464	0x0d5e62…
03-01 09:46:07	cl up or down on march 2 2026	Up	BUY	270	92¢	$250	0xd9f760…
03-01 09:39:43	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	343	66¢	$226	0x8e7f9b…
03-01 09:39:03	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	13	66¢	$9	0xc90466…
03-01 09:38:47	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	30	66¢	$20	0x23ccc7…
03-01 09:38:33	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	8	66¢	$5	0xcb29eb…
03-01 09:37:31	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	88	66¢	$58	0x2086bb…
03-01 09:35:09	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	600	66¢	$396	0x78ded8…
02-28 21:05:55	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	317	58¢	$184	0xffa870…
02-28 21:05:37	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	59	57¢	$34	0x24f341…
02-28 21:04:27	will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	Yes	SELL	473	46¢	$218	0xbead4c…
02-28 21:03:31	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	199	55¢	$109	0x572e65…
02-28 21:03:17	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	65	54¢	$35	0x9edd76…
02-28 21:02:59	will nepal workers peasants party win the most seats in the nepal house of representatives election 685 483	Yes	SELL	222	65¢	$144	0xf73b4e…
02-28 21:00:29	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	402	54¢	$217	0xe4faba…
02-28 21:00:09	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	40	53¢	$21	0xff7f3a…
02-28 20:59:21	will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	Yes	SELL	200	51¢	$102	0x4a2934…
02-28 20:59:13	will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	Yes	SELL	139	52¢	$72	0x468cb5…
02-28 20:58:57	will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	Yes	SELL	30	53¢	$16	0xac1fce…
02-28 20:58:43	will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	Yes	SELL	30	54¢	$16	0x2f7521…
02-28 20:58:23	will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	Yes	SELL	56	56¢	$32	0xdfc63a…
02-28 08:07:47	will nepal workers peasants party win the most seats in the nepal house of representatives election 685 483	Yes	BUY	222	65¢	$144	0xcef49c…
02-28 07:40:31	will kp sharma oli be the next prime minister of nepal	No	SELL	132	95¢	$126	0x0c0b4f…
02-28 07:24:59	will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	Yes	BUY	53	60¢	$32	0xe07b28…
02-28 07:24:01	will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	Yes	BUY	14	60¢	$8	0x3a1f4d…
02-28 07:23:31	will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	Yes	BUY	26	59¢	$16	0xac0960…
02-28 07:22:59	will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	Yes	BUY	139	59¢	$82	0xfcbf76…
02-28 07:22:47	will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	Yes	BUY	85	58¢	$49	0xb0db18…
02-28 07:22:33	will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	Yes	BUY	1,017	59¢	$600	0xa80c4c…
02-28 06:37:59	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	1,136	12¢	$136	0x07826a…
02-28 06:29:45	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	1,136	44¢	$500	0x398f6e…
02-28 05:04:13	will kp sharma oli be the next prime minister of nepal	No	BUY	132	94¢	$124	0x7df72f…
02-28 04:59:33	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	68¢	$136	0xe8a064…
02-27 16:21:43	Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?	Yes	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xd70821…
02-27 16:20:55	will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	Yes	BUY	30	55¢	$16	0x2fd834…
02-27 16:20:29	will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	Yes	BUY	24	55¢	$13	0xe66174…
02-27 16:19:43	will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	Yes	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0xb9d0d6…
02-27 16:15:39	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	64¢	$128	0x3f8607…
02-27 16:11:09	Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?	Yes	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xb29a7d…
02-27 16:08:43	Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?	Yes	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x6c0a37…
02-27 14:06:47	Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?	Yes	BUY	325	97¢	$315	0x81b574…
02-27 13:32:05	Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?	Yes	BUY	88	97¢	$85	0x100ca0…
02-27 13:31:41	Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?	Yes	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x4db5ff…
02-27 13:31:17	Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xe7393a…
02-27 13:31:01	Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?	Yes	BUY	43	97¢	$41	0x78139d…
02-27 13:30:47	Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd9e219…
02-27 13:29:13	Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$9	0xef1823…
02-24 04:33:04	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	Yes	SELL	3	50¢	$2	0xc0155d…
02-24 04:32:48	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	Yes	SELL	300	50¢	$150	0x18c3bd…
02-23 18:04:00	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	Yes	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0xc4a230…
02-22 14:39:44	will canada win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	SELL	200	50¢	$100	0xad5a52…
02-22 13:30:04	will canada win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0x3be31f…
02-22 13:29:24	will canada win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0xa599f3…
02-22 10:56:52	2026 winter olympics ski halfpipe womens eileen gu chn	Yes	SELL	28	95¢	$27	0x605015…
02-22 10:37:34	2026 winter olympics ski halfpipe womens eileen gu chn	Yes	BUY	28	84¢	$24	0x9aa683…
02-22 10:32:40	2026 winter olympics ski halfpipe womens eileen gu chn	Yes	SELL	74	79¢	$58	0x577032…
02-22 10:31:28	2026 winter olympics ski halfpipe womens eileen gu chn	Yes	SELL	26	73¢	$19	0xb3fce1…
02-22 10:30:54	2026 winter olympics ski halfpipe womens eileen gu chn	Yes	SELL	200	73¢	$146	0xb836d3…
02-22 10:30:12	2026 winter olympics ski halfpipe womens eileen gu chn	Yes	SELL	124	73¢	$91	0x1e3e12…
02-22 10:29:52	2026 winter olympics ski halfpipe womens eileen gu chn	Yes	SELL	25	78¢	$20	0x4c5ef6…
02-22 10:28:22	2026 winter olympics ski halfpipe womens eileen gu chn	Yes	SELL	30	84¢	$25	0x171943…
02-22 10:26:50	2026 winter olympics ski halfpipe womens eileen gu chn	Yes	BUY	45	67¢	$30	0x140594…
02-22 10:26:38	2026 winter olympics ski halfpipe womens eileen gu chn	Yes	BUY	150	67¢	$100	0xde6155…
02-22 10:26:22	2026 winter olympics ski halfpipe womens eileen gu chn	Yes	BUY	271	74¢	$200	0xc500b9…
02-22 10:16:42	2026 winter olympics ski halfpipe womens eileen gu chn	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xdbe069…