Reliable-Spec — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$202

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-06

last 05-09 07:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 70% $-3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	2	$13	12	12	+0	Down	+$3	05-07 12:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	2	$12	23	23	+0	Down	+$2	05-08 14:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$12	18	18	+0	Down	+$2	05-08 14:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	2	$11	9	9	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 10:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 11:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 08:19
btc updown 15m 1770375600	2	$8	25	0	+25	open	—	02-06 11:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	1	$8	10	0	+10	Down	$-8	05-07 07:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	1	$8	9	0	+9	Up	+$1	05-07 07:24
btc updown 15m 1770668100	4	$8	13	13	+0	open	—	02-09 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	3	$7	9	3	+5	Up	+$0	05-07 11:59
btc updown 15m 1770462000	9	$7	10	10	+0	open	—	02-07 11:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	2	$6	9	9	+0	Up	+$2	05-08 10:47
btc updown 5m 1775318400	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	04-04 16:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	4	$6	17	25	-8	Up	$-2	05-08 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	2	$5	10	10	+0	Down	$-5	05-07 07:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Up	+$2	05-06 12:33
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	05-06 13:34
btc updown 15m 1770634800	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	02-09 11:07
btc updown 5m 1775317800	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	04-04 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	3	$4	4	2	+2	Up	+$0	05-07 08:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	2	$4	6	6	+0	Up	+$2	05-07 11:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	2	$4	8	8	+0	Down	+$2	05-07 11:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	2	$3	11	11	+0	Up	$-3	05-09 07:19
btc updown 5m 1771252200	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	02-16 14:31
btc updown 15m 1770376500	2	$3	5	5	+0	open	—	02-06 11:24
btc updown 15m 1770633900	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	02-09 10:55
btc updown 5m 1776685500	2	$2	3	2	+0	open	—	04-20 11:46
btc updown 5m 1776685200	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-20 11:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	2	$2	6	6	+0	Up	$-2	05-08 11:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 07:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0xafc2ff…
05-09 07:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x9e3963…
05-08 14:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	18	40¢	$7	0x675f6d…
05-08 14:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xc490ef…
05-08 14:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	23	32¢	$7	0x4077c0…
05-08 14:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xc5e423…
05-08 14:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	4	39¢	$2	0x662875…
05-08 14:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	17	11¢	$2	0x36e678…
05-08 14:31:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x792fd1…
05-08 14:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	4	7¢	$0	0x5a18af…
05-08 14:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xe37098…
05-08 14:27:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xc676e9…
05-08 11:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	9	7¢	$1	0x205f92…
05-08 11:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0xe6e47d…
05-08 11:26:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xfca75e…
05-08 10:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	9	69¢	$6	0xefef14…
05-08 10:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xfca0c0…
05-08 10:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	9	44¢	$4	0xe50989…
05-08 10:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x2f58ad…
05-08 10:32:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0xf6541d…
05-08 10:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xe3fa45…
05-07 12:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	12	64¢	$8	0xff08b6…
05-07 12:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xf4bac7…
05-07 12:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x881ba2…
05-07 11:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x70e25d…
05-07 11:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0xbd7c82…
05-07 11:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x0b2fff…
05-07 11:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	8	31¢	$3	0x31c985…
05-07 11:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xa5cc9c…
05-07 11:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xa2cd3e…
05-07 11:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xd58feb…
05-07 11:39:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0xf32fd6…
05-07 11:37:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x124373…
05-07 08:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xfdfb25…
05-07 08:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xae03e3…
05-07 08:26:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x27bae7…
05-07 08:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x1511f6…
05-07 08:18:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xce3584…
05-07 07:48:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x75e52d…
05-07 07:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x9caa50…
05-07 07:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x0f1d60…
05-07 07:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x78e5e0…
05-06 13:34:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x1715aa…
05-06 12:33:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x6f169f…
04-20 11:46:52	btc updown 5m 1776685500	Down	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xd02277…
04-20 11:45:38	btc updown 5m 1776685500	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xd57817…
04-20 11:44:48	btc updown 5m 1776685200	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcb3236…
04-20 11:44:04	btc updown 5m 1776685200	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x0c5b22…
04-04 16:09:17	btc updown 5m 1775318700	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x3175cc…
04-04 16:05:13	btc updown 5m 1775318400	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xc8e881…
04-04 16:01:07	btc updown 5m 1775318400	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x1845c5…
04-04 15:54:25	btc updown 5m 1775317800	Down	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0x6a1ece…
04-04 15:52:33	btc updown 5m 1775317800	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x005a49…
02-16 14:31:19	btc updown 5m 1771252200	Up	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0xe19cae…
02-10 12:25:37	btc updown 15m 1770725700	Down	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0x970dfb…
02-10 12:18:59	btc updown 15m 1770725700	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xc396d7…
02-09 20:24:03	btc updown 15m 1770668100	Down	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0x28858c…
02-09 20:22:27	btc updown 15m 1770668100	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x8390fe…
02-09 20:21:55	btc updown 15m 1770668100	Up	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0xe5fe49…
02-09 20:20:29	btc updown 15m 1770668100	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x539915…
02-09 11:07:11	btc updown 15m 1770634800	Up	SELL	3	80¢	$3	0xd9c44a…
02-09 11:03:39	btc updown 15m 1770634800	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xa50225…
02-09 10:55:17	btc updown 15m 1770633900	Up	SELL	2	84¢	$1	0xa38f47…
02-09 10:46:03	btc updown 15m 1770633900	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x7890a5…
02-08 00:17:11	btc updown 15m 1770509700	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xb4c32a…
02-07 11:13:37	btc updown 15m 1770462000	Down	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x4c0c89…
02-07 11:09:27	btc updown 15m 1770462000	Down	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0xc73941…
02-07 11:09:27	btc updown 15m 1770462000	Down	BUY	0	23¢	$0	0xa862ae…
02-07 11:09:27	btc updown 15m 1770462000	Down	BUY	0	23¢	$0	0x79b93d…
02-07 11:09:27	btc updown 15m 1770462000	Down	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0x78b47f…
02-07 11:09:27	btc updown 15m 1770462000	Down	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x539c8b…
02-07 11:09:27	btc updown 15m 1770462000	Down	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x4bdf34…
02-07 11:07:29	btc updown 15m 1770462000	Up	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x3791d7…
02-07 11:03:13	btc updown 15m 1770462000	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xdc3fbc…
02-07 10:52:39	btc updown 15m 1770461100	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x8e0e89…
02-07 10:38:37	btc updown 15m 1770460200	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x4b4e37…
02-07 10:29:25	btc updown 15m 1770459300	Down	SELL	8	11¢	$1	0x8815e7…
02-07 10:25:17	btc updown 15m 1770459300	Down	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xd1c4b7…
02-06 11:24:59	btc updown 15m 1770376500	Down	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x704604…
02-06 11:23:45	btc updown 15m 1770376500	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x122696…
02-06 11:13:47	btc updown 15m 1770375600	Up	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x2cf49d…
02-06 11:03:51	btc updown 15m 1770375600	Up	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0x7e1c30…