Positive-Mochi — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.3%

Resolved

Trades

316

lifetime

Volume

$896

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-11

last 05-05 09:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 48% $-3

Other

6% — —

Politics

1% — —

Sports

1% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	52	$52	84	84	+0	open	—	04-21 22:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	7	$27	15	15	+0	open	—	05-03 00:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	6	$27	15	15	+0	open	—	04-30 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	6	$27	15	15	+0	open	—	05-02 23:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	7	$27	15	15	+0	open	—	05-02 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	6	$26	15	15	+0	Up	$-0	05-05 01:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	10	$25	20	20	+0	open	—	04-27 00:38
eth updown 15m 1777019400	4	$22	15	15	+0	open	—	04-24 08:34
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	6	$21	15	15	+0	open	—	04-25 00:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	4	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	04-27 02:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	4	$18	10	10	+0	Down	$-0	05-05 09:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	4	$18	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 09:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	6	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	05-03 00:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	4	$18	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 01:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	4	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	04-27 02:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	4	$18	10	10	+0	Down	$-0	05-05 09:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	4	$17	10	10	+0	Down	$-0	05-05 08:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	5	$17	10	10	+0	open	—	04-30 22:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	4	$17	10	10	+0	Up	$-0	05-05 08:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	4	$17	10	10	+0	Down	$-0	05-05 06:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	7	$17	15	15	+0	open	—	04-25 19:13
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	6	$17	15	15	+0	open	—	04-25 00:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	6	$16	15	15	+0	open	—	04-25 18:25
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	6	$16	15	14	+0	open	—	04-24 23:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	6	$15	14	14	+1	open	—	04-27 01:43
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	5	$13	15	10	+5	open	—	04-25 00:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	5	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	04-27 00:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	4	$10	15	5	+10	open	—	04-27 01:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	9	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-13 03:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	05-03 00:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 09:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x75c7f2…
05-05 09:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x87ed9f…
05-05 09:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x67fc11…
05-05 09:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x8aa0bb…
05-05 09:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0xb4cabe…
05-05 09:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x684545…
05-05 09:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x117860…
05-05 09:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xfed004…
05-05 09:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xf8fe35…
05-05 09:22:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x979266…
05-05 09:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x18fe2f…
05-05 09:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xfc37ac…
05-05 09:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x7af6ea…
05-05 09:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x14cca4…
05-05 08:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x3e973e…
05-05 08:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x8757dc…
05-05 08:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xc4a4a5…
05-05 08:52:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xd89190…
05-05 08:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xd01543…
05-05 08:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xb5931c…
05-05 08:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0xbfce25…
05-05 08:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x12558d…
05-05 07:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x1b8ed3…
05-05 07:26:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x4ec5fb…
05-05 07:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xc68390…
05-05 07:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xadd9ae…
05-05 06:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x643704…
05-05 06:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x7c6c78…
05-05 06:22:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x660ac9…
05-05 06:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x423b66…
05-05 06:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xd76e3a…
05-05 06:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x1c720f…
05-05 06:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x37d924…
05-05 06:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x06952a…
05-05 05:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x22be6f…
05-05 05:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xd8aca7…
05-05 05:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x3a34e0…
05-05 05:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x342881…
05-05 04:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	85¢	$4	0x3e6ae3…
05-05 04:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x3ec76d…
05-05 04:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0x2ae387…
05-05 01:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x538f4c…
05-05 01:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xa6d35d…
05-05 01:37:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x55ee66…
05-05 01:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xe74797…
05-05 01:17:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x2f5f89…
05-05 01:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xe94934…
05-05 01:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xf65258…
05-05 01:16:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x547035…
05-05 01:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x406e40…
05-05 01:16:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x4a092d…
05-05 01:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x263e65…
05-05 01:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x23cda1…
05-05 01:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x5d218e…
05-05 01:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xa1ae04…
05-05 00:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x749549…
05-05 00:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x5b667f…
05-05 00:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x2a416b…
05-05 00:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x5d2cdd…
05-05 00:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x730cb7…
05-05 00:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xa4abfc…
05-03 01:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x4551b8…
05-03 01:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x551c9c…
05-03 01:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x0a2394…
05-03 01:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xa6dcc7…
05-03 01:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x91859f…
05-03 01:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xc59444…
05-03 00:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x08e645…
05-03 00:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x0d42f7…
05-03 00:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xc74312…
05-03 00:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x40d0fa…
05-03 00:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0xec5c23…
05-03 00:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0xd8f245…
05-03 00:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	89¢	$2	0x94bd6f…
05-03 00:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xaecc51…
05-03 00:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x79329c…
05-03 00:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x7165af…
05-03 00:28:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xf88f0d…
05-03 00:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x43037d…
05-03 00:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x947270…
05-03 00:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x11add0…
05-03 00:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x03241b…
05-03 00:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x82baf4…
05-03 00:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xec091b…
05-03 00:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0x32977f…
05-03 00:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xe2633e…
05-03 00:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xd0e55a…
05-03 00:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xfc5ee1…
05-02 23:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x4112b2…
05-02 23:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xfdd836…
05-02 23:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x7f38a7…
05-02 23:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xcd468e…
05-02 23:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x16cd83…
05-02 23:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x9608ba…
05-02 23:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x8a7237…
05-02 23:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xe0aef5…
05-02 23:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0x85b846…
05-02 23:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xf0a9fa…
05-02 21:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x09f0bd…
05-02 21:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xdbe643…