Forked-Eyrie — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$20.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$267

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 04-30 02:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

87% 67% +$3

Sports

13% 0% —

Politics

0% 0% —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Cyprus win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	4	$1.8K	1,850	1,850	+0	open	—	04-13 08:02
Will Dee Valladares win Survivor Season 50?	2	$1.8K	900	900	+0	open	—	04-02 07:40
Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$1.8K	900	900	+0	No	+$1	04-11 05:41
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$1.8K	900	900	+0	open	—	04-11 02:54
Will Alex De Minaur win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$1.8K	900	900	+0	open	—	04-21 02:30
will corey conners win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$1.8K	900	900	+0	open	—	03-25 08:30
Will Italy win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	2	$1.8K	900	900	+0	open	—	03-27 07:27
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$1.8K	900	900	+0	open	—	04-18 02:38
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$1.4K	1,650	1,650	+0	open	—	04-16 02:14
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$1.4K	700	700	+0	No	+$0	03-18 08:36
will hoppers opening weekend box office be greater than 31m	2	$993	500	500	+0	open	—	03-06 07:05
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	4	$978	600	600	+0	No	+$0	02-28 08:11
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	4	$962	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-16 08:09
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	4	$240	121	121	+0	open	—	04-15 16:45
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$196	100	100	+0	open	—	02-28 08:22
SAVE Act becomes law by April 30, 2026?	2	$46	700	700	+0	open	—	03-20 07:13
Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$46	950	950	+0	open	—	04-08 05:51
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	4	$36	800	800	+0	open	—	03-03 07:15
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	2	$32	900	900	+0	open	—	04-28 09:23
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?	2	$31	500	500	+0	open	—	03-02 06:55
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 340 359	2	$28	500	500	+0	open	—	03-06 01:15
will justin thomas win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$22	950	950	+0	open	—	04-09 07:47
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$18	920	920	+0	No	+$0	04-15 06:55
will movie a win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards 551	2	$18	500	500	+0	open	—	03-04 02:32
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	2	$18	500	500	+0	open	—	03-12 07:07
will ethan hawke win best actor at the 98th academy awards	2	$14	300	300	+0	open	—	03-03 09:06
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$13	100	100	+0	open	—	02-25 09:10
Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$13	950	950	+0	No	+$2	04-16 00:55
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$13	950	950	+0	open	—	04-16 03:19
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	2	$13	920	920	+0	open	—	04-29 07:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-30 02:14:58	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	450	0¢	$1	0xd6d156…
04-30 02:12:34	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	450	0¢	$1	0x7cc6f5…
04-29 07:48:50	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	920	1¢	$6	0x472c52…
04-29 07:34:00	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	920	1¢	$6	0x5b624b…
04-28 09:23:50	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	Yes	SELL	900	2¢	$16	0x1de21b…
04-28 06:19:54	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	Yes	BUY	900	2¢	$16	0xb5a61d…
04-21 02:30:30	Will Alex De Minaur win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	900	100¢	$896	0xb07a91…
04-21 01:38:12	Will Alex De Minaur win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	900	100¢	$896	0x8d5d3d…
04-18 02:38:02	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	900	98¢	$878	0x324456…
04-18 01:59:12	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	900	98¢	$878	0xee7a9c…
04-16 03:19:18	Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	SELL	950	1¢	$7	0xb97285…
04-16 03:08:32	Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	950	1¢	$7	0x72db56…
04-16 02:14:46	Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	950	2¢	$16	0x83992e…
04-16 01:34:00	Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	950	2¢	$16	0xb9b689…
04-16 00:55:00	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	950	1¢	$8	0x82ea3f…
04-15 16:45:06	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x97eba3…
04-15 15:20:20	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0xe6dee7…
04-15 14:51:08	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x1ad45b…
04-15 06:55:12	Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	920	1¢	$9	0x3e48bb…
04-15 06:01:32	Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	920	1¢	$9	0x9d33ac…
04-15 02:30:24	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	950	1¢	$6	0x2af6ac…
04-14 03:16:41	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	950	0¢	$5	0x80b70d…
04-14 02:25:09	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	950	0¢	$5	0x8b76fe…
04-13 08:02:17	Will Cyprus win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	950	1¢	$10	0xb524f2…
04-13 05:34:11	Will Cyprus win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	950	1¢	$10	0x9b9773…
04-13 02:43:49	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	121	99¢	$120	0xbc576a…
04-11 05:41:29	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	900	100¢	$896	0xf9bb06…
04-11 03:14:33	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	900	100¢	$896	0x65a7e7…
04-11 02:54:29	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	900	100¢	$896	0x853db7…
04-11 01:27:59	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	900	100¢	$896	0x88660a…
04-09 07:47:57	will justin thomas win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	SELL	950	1¢	$11	0xb34b16…
04-09 01:55:43	will justin thomas win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	950	1¢	$10	0xd916fa…
04-08 05:51:03	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	950	3¢	$26	0x742c73…
04-08 02:08:21	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	950	2¢	$20	0x62b494…
04-02 07:40:33	Will Dee Valladares win Survivor Season 50?	No	SELL	900	100¢	$896	0xd3b4e3…
04-02 06:36:43	Will Dee Valladares win Survivor Season 50?	No	BUY	900	100¢	$896	0x146f00…
03-29 02:01:16	Will Cyprus win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	900	99¢	$894	0xf99e0f…
03-29 01:49:18	Will Cyprus win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	900	99¢	$894	0x99c9b9…
03-27 07:27:07	Will Italy win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	900	98¢	$886	0xa96e72…
03-27 05:52:31	Will Italy win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	900	98¢	$886	0xf5c137…
03-25 08:30:53	will corey conners win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	900	99¢	$893	0x14a569…
03-25 05:59:03	will corey conners win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	900	99¢	$893	0xc550fb…
03-20 07:13:07	SAVE Act becomes law by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	700	3¢	$23	0x1dcedb…
03-20 05:43:15	SAVE Act becomes law by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	700	3¢	$23	0x68e015…
03-18 08:36:53	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	700	97¢	$680	0xda1e56…
03-18 06:34:35	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	700	97¢	$680	0xf620fb…
03-16 08:09:19	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$2	0xd1c39b…
03-16 06:34:59	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0x5db96c…
03-12 07:07:25	Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	SELL	500	2¢	$9	0xa9e02e…
03-12 05:46:07	Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$9	0xc06237…
03-10 09:13:43	Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	700	98¢	$687	0x34a594…
03-09 02:42:03	Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	700	99¢	$696	0x6d9c3d…
03-06 07:05:55	will hoppers opening weekend box office be greater than 31m	Yes	SELL	500	99¢	$496	0xd42641…
03-06 06:38:47	will hoppers opening weekend box office be greater than 31m	Yes	BUY	500	99¢	$496	0xbe007b…
03-06 01:15:27	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 340 359	Yes	SELL	500	4¢	$20	0xbaaead…
03-05 01:16:05	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 340 359	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$9	0xa3a2b9…
03-04 02:32:23	will movie a win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards 551	Yes	SELL	500	2¢	$9	0xdfbb87…
03-04 02:04:05	will movie a win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards 551	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$9	0x9f1c7c…
03-03 09:06:31	will ethan hawke win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	300	2¢	$7	0xecac99…
03-03 08:51:29	will ethan hawke win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	300	2¢	$7	0x16ccf8…
03-03 07:15:33	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	500	2¢	$10	0x602e54…
03-03 06:20:13	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$8	0x8de5f9…
03-02 06:55:13	Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?	Yes	SELL	500	3¢	$16	0x017dae…
03-02 06:41:21	Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?	Yes	BUY	500	3¢	$16	0x142dfb…
03-02 06:37:23	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	300	3¢	$9	0x9e9e5e…
03-02 06:26:51	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	300	3¢	$9	0x4cff44…
03-01 07:48:03	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	No	SELL	500	96¢	$478	0xda3e93…
03-01 07:24:35	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	No	BUY	500	96¢	$479	0xa86e49…
02-28 08:22:53	Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0xd1d39b…
02-28 08:16:59	Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x50f016…
02-28 08:11:35	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	500	97¢	$486	0x6f4127…
02-28 08:04:15	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	500	97¢	$486	0x8454dc…
02-28 08:01:13	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x0fd9f3…
02-28 07:57:47	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x8c0ced…
02-28 06:41:05	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xee5d42…
02-28 06:24:59	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x9e780b…
02-25 09:10:28	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x3d9067…
02-25 08:31:24	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x4de369…