Virtuous-Geyser — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.2%

Resolved

Trades

996

lifetime

Volume

$3.49K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 05-17 21:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 54% +$1

Politics

9% — —

Other

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 268 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will our homeland movement mi haznk win at least one seat in the next hungarian parliamentary election	3	$313	202	202	+0	open	—	04-13 17:33
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	4	$173	980	980	+0	open	—	04-12 19:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	6	$129	199	199	+0	open	—	05-17 20:24
btc updown 5m 1776163500	2	$114	77	74	+3	open	—	04-14 10:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	2	$107	124	124	+0	open	—	05-17 20:17
btc updown 5m 1776160800	4	$80	80	58	+23	open	—	04-14 10:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	4	$74	72	72	+0	open	—	05-17 21:20
btc updown 5m 1776162300	9	$71	71	42	+29	open	—	04-14 10:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	3	$65	99	57	+41	open	—	05-17 20:29
btc updown 5m 1776164400	2	$53	48	46	+2	open	—	04-14 11:01
btc updown 5m 1776159900	2	$52	42	40	+2	open	—	04-14 09:47
btc updown 5m 1776161400	5	$47	41	20	+21	open	—	04-14 10:14
btc updown 5m 1776165000	4	$44	46	12	+35	open	—	04-14 11:14
btc updown 5m 1776161700	5	$43	33	24	+9	open	—	04-14 10:19
btc updown 5m 1776159300	6	$43	50	49	+2	open	—	04-14 09:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	6	$40	28	28	+0	Down	+$0	05-13 11:07
btc updown 5m 1776151800	5	$32	24	13	+10	open	—	04-14 07:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	8	$30	26	26	+0	Down	+$4	05-13 19:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	2	$27	24	24	+0	Down	+$7	05-13 08:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	3	$27	21	20	+1	open	—	05-03 20:29
btc updown 5m 1776104400	3	$27	23	19	+4	open	—	04-13 18:24
btc updown 5m 1776162600	3	$27	31	4	+28	open	—	04-14 10:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	3	$26	30	18	+13	Up	+$4	05-13 11:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	7	$26	37	25	+12	Down	$-0	05-13 11:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	3	$25	30	28	+2	Up	+$1	05-13 20:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	6	$25	14	14	+0	open	—	05-03 19:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	5	$23	17	13	+5	Up	$-1	05-13 21:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	4	$22	12	12	+0	Down	+$0	05-13 09:23
btc updown 5m 1776153900	3	$21	27	6	+21	open	—	04-14 08:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	5	$21	23	20	+4	open	—	05-13 19:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 21:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x0e9f17…
05-17 21:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xb07724…
05-17 21:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xe76934…
05-17 21:41:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xefeef1…
05-17 21:26:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x22308a…
05-17 21:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0x5ed069…
05-17 21:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x0b7ec6…
05-17 21:02:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	62	50¢	$31	0xf99c97…
05-17 20:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	62	51¢	$32	0xb6fc3e…
05-17 20:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x0800d4…
05-17 20:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x0e7ff2…
05-17 20:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x08e5a8…
05-17 20:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xab3d5f…
05-17 20:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x2b7249…
05-17 20:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x3a355f…
05-17 20:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x81c86a…
05-17 20:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0xffcce3…
05-17 20:32:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x831780…
05-17 20:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xdae5ab…
05-17 20:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x99717f…
05-17 20:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	41	50¢	$21	0x27b601…
05-17 20:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	57	39¢	$22	0xcf1794…
05-17 20:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	57	39¢	$22	0x8112d6…
05-17 20:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	47	12¢	$6	0x9b6164…
05-17 20:24:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	47	21¢	$10	0xb60e78…
05-17 20:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	25	85¢	$21	0x451031…
05-17 20:22:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x2c2ca7…
05-17 20:21:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	127	23¢	$29	0xe0b4db…
05-17 20:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	127	34¢	$43	0x0ce4e9…
05-17 20:17:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	124	38¢	$47	0x78cb6f…
05-17 20:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	124	48¢	$60	0x6a8bbc…
05-17 20:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd27e7d…
05-17 20:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x1de825…
05-17 20:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xfdb126…
05-17 20:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x39c1a3…
05-17 20:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	23¢	$1	0xfaf68a…
05-17 19:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xcb095a…
05-17 19:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x3cf37e…
05-17 19:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xf77482…
05-17 19:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x8d35e6…
05-17 19:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x6053d5…
05-17 19:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xb87463…
05-17 19:50:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x02736f…
05-17 19:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xf2f427…
05-17 19:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xd26dcc…
05-17 19:48:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xbc9bec…
05-17 19:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x02d8f2…
05-17 19:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xe5df5a…
05-17 19:38:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0x33380c…
05-17 19:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x449bd1…
05-17 19:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x7ad44a…
05-17 19:26:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xaf852d…
05-17 19:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x161f77…
05-17 19:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x89f017…
05-17 19:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0x702194…
05-17 19:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe37b3e…
05-17 19:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x149b97…
05-16 09:13:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x34fa18…
05-16 09:12:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xc188f6…
05-16 09:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x3f1588…
05-16 09:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	4	58¢	$3	0xdf2a7a…
05-16 09:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xb32eb2…
05-16 09:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0x62710c…
05-16 09:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x24bef5…
05-16 08:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xfad5c6…
05-16 08:56:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	12	56¢	$7	0xf951b6…
05-16 08:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x2b9a37…
05-16 08:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xc196c5…
05-16 08:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x2f44fa…
05-16 08:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x7b2939…
05-16 08:52:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	16	42¢	$7	0x02e925…
05-16 08:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x51bd80…
05-16 08:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xa7971e…
05-16 08:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xb86061…
05-16 08:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xd75f5d…
05-16 08:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x9a95dc…
05-16 08:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xc4e3fb…
05-16 08:32:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x04b14b…
05-16 08:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xd68ed1…
05-16 08:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	32¢	$2	0x56a0dc…
05-16 08:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x845f95…
05-16 08:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x903b76…
05-16 08:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x79292a…
05-16 08:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	19	63¢	$12	0xd221d8…
05-15 22:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x53b046…
05-15 22:14:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x857282…
05-15 22:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x430e01…
05-15 22:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x44df8d…
05-15 22:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	12	10¢	$1	0xfb3e4a…
05-15 22:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x504db6…
05-15 22:10:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x48575f…
05-15 22:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x6902bc…
05-15 22:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x39d665…
05-15 22:07:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x70365e…
05-15 22:06:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	4	58¢	$2	0xbd6c02…
05-15 22:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x9533fd…
05-15 22:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x91f2f9…
05-15 22:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4dc14a…
05-15 22:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x54be55…
05-15 22:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0xfd4778…